101 Hummingbird Trl · Pomona Park, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.5/30.0
- ARV discount +8.7/15.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well maintained 3 bed 2 bath single wide mobile home. Inside you will find comfort and cozy nestled all around. Open floor plan with kitchen and dining room combo. Split master with own bathroom. Updated roof and electrical. Outside you have a work shed with its own electrical and water; what a great mancave that would make! Come take a look at this one of a kind property.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Own bathroom
- Updated roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Additional parking
- Security: Closed-circuit camera(s)
- Utilities: Septic tank; Cable available and connected; Electricity connected; Water available and connected
- Home design: Single wide mobile home; One level
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Closed-circuit camera(s); Back yard fencing; Shed(s); Corner lot; Alley and county road frontage; Asphalt and dirt road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Heat pump; Hot water heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Primary bathroom with tub and shower; Accessible approach with ramp; Accessible central living area; Accessible full bath; Accessible kitchen; Accessible washer/dryer; Accessible bedroom
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (13.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $120k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.0% in Pomona Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#774 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Putnam (town): math 34% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 73 in FL (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Middleton-Burney Elementary School (math 31% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,862 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 1,046 students, 70% FRL); Crescent City Jr-Sr High School (math 17% / reading 34%, grade F, #499 of 667 statewide, top 75%, 1,005 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools at 71% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 113 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($961 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
- Putnam County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $23k; list at $139k implies a 504% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.09%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $142,800
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 212 Paradise Shores Rd | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,080 (+13%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $116 | 54 |
| 246 Spec Ln | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,012 (+6%) | 6mo | $160,000 | $158 | 50 |
| 126 Fishermans Cove Paradise Rd | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,032 (+8%) | 20mo | $155,000 | $150 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.86% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $24,104
- Equity at exit
- $61,409
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $75,162
- Equity at exit
- $93,799
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32112
- Home prices YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $341/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $133
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 258 Old Highway 17 Crescent City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 2d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $139,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$139,000 Active
-
2026-05-15historical 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Welcome to this well maintained 3 bed 2 bath single wide mobile home. Inside you will find comfort and cozy nestled all around. Open floor plan with kitchen and dining room combo. Split master with own bathroom. Updated roof and electrical. Outside you have a work shed with its own electrical and water; what a great mancave that would make! Come take a look at this one of a kind property.
-
2025-11-15$145,000 Active 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Welcome to this well maintained 3 bed 2 bath single wide mobile home. Inside you will find comfort and cozy nestled all around. Open floor plan with kitchen and dining room combo. Split master with own bathroom. Updated roof and electrical. Outside you have a work shed with its own electrical and water; what a great mancave that would make! Come take a look at this one of a kind property.
-
1999-12-17soldstatus $23,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $341 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,154 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$813/yr (+$68/mo · 238.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$341
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,152
- − Management
- −$1,152
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable loss
- −$769
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$185
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,778/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Putnam
- NCES district ID
- 1201620
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,350
- Composite
- 29.99/100
- National rank
- #6361
- State rank
- #66 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pomona Park
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #774
- US rank
- #17514
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 2,512
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,099
Population outlook (Putnam County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,299 people
- By 2030
- 61,255 · -6.2%
- By 2040
- 52,930 · -18.9%
- By 2050
- 45,051 · -31.0%
- By 2075
- 28,720 · -56.0%
- By 2100
- 15,852 · -75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 30% Black 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 34% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Putnam
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.8% · R 73.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -47.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+36.6 2012: R+24.5 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.86%
- Current HPI
- 279.58
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+504.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $139,000 realMLS
- 2026-05-15 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2025-11-15 Listed $145,000 realMLS
- 1999-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $341 · +22.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…