411 Old Plantation Dr · Cayce, SC 29172

$115,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,431 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market

Built 1974 10,672 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.6/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Schools +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

This is a great opportunity to own a home in the Lloydwoods West Columbia area. It is priced below market and it is being sold “as is”. Disclaimer: CMLS has not reviewed and, therefore, does not endorse vendors who may appear in listings.

Key facts

• 0.24 acre lot
• Garage
• Built 1974

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Attached carport; One garage space
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family property; Paved road access
• Construction: Crawlspace foundation
• Exterior features: Partial brick exterior above the foundation; Rear chain link fence

Interior

• Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level; Second bedroom on the main level; Third bedroom on the main level
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
• Interior features: Central heating and central air conditioning

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $433 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#55 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, commute F.
• Lexington 02 (suburban): math 30% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #45 of 80 in SC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Cayce Elementary (math 24% / reading 22%, grade F, #469 of 597 statewide, top 79%, 998 students, 100% FRL); R. H. Fulmer Middle (math 30% / reading 39%, grade F, #107 of 229 statewide, top 47%, 568 students, 100% FRL); Airport High (math 40% / reading 79%, grade C+, #110 of 196 statewide, top 58%, 1,428 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 59% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $12k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $78k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $115,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.36% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.81%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.13%
• DSCR: 1.72
• GRM: 6.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 36.2%
• Equity multiple: 3.80×
• Total profit: $90,233
• Equity at exit: $103,601

10-year hold

• IRR: 31.2%
• Equity multiple: 8.58×
• Total profit: $244,098
• Equity at exit: $223,420

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Carolina: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 29172

• Home prices YoY: 14.4%
• Active inventory: 56
• Price-to-rent: 6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,565 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$603
• Tax from tax record: −$153 /mo · $1,834/yr
• Insurance: −$48
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$329
• Net cashflow: $433

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,017

Max offer price $115,000

Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $498	-5% $465	+0% $433	+5% $400	+10% $368
Rent	-10% $309	-5% $371	+0% $433	+5% $495	+10% $557
Rate	-1.0pp $491	-0.5pp $462	base $433	+0.5pp $403	+1.0pp $373

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $28,750
• Closing costs: $3,450
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
357 Creighton Dr West Columbia, SC	3.0	2.0	1417	$1,600	$1.13	4d	1	0.09mi
137 Miranda Rd West Columbia, SC	3.0	1.0	1080	$1,300	$1.20	4d	1	0.68mi
315 Gardners Terrace Rd West Columbia, SC	2.0	1.0	1333	$1,500	$1.13	25d	1	1.30mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-05-15
   status Pending
2. 2026-05-12
   listed $115,000 Active
3. 2015-09-29
   price $42,000
4. 2002-11-26
   soldstatus $78,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,834 · $153/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,834 · $153/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,785
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,442
• − Property taxes: −$1,834
• − Insurance: −$575
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,503
• − Management: −$1,503
• − Depreciation: −$3,345
• Taxable income: $3,584
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$860
• After-tax cash flow: $4,335/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lexington 02
• NCES district ID: 4502730
• Math proficiency: 30% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 38% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $42,532
• Composite: 28.78/100
• National rank: #6669
• State rank: #45 of 80 in SC

Livability — Cayce

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #55
• US rank: #7173

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 12,837
• Population (ZIP): 9,354

Population outlook (Lexington County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 322,999 people
• By 2030: 342,356 · +6.0%
• By 2040: 377,715 · +16.9%
• By 2050: 406,984 · +26.0%
• By 2075: 465,447 · +44.1%
• By 2100: 485,674 · +50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
• Race & ethnicity: White 60% Black 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 7% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lexington

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+33.5) · D 32.5% · R 66.0% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.6pp toward D · 2008: -38.0pp · 2024: -33.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+33.5 2020: R+30.1 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+38.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 45.94%
• Current HPI: 364.73
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Packaging	1	$7B

Price history

+46.5% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-15 Pending — Consolidated MLS
• 2026-05-12 Listed $115,000 Consolidated MLS
• 2015-09-29 Price Changed $42,000 Consolidated MLS
• 2002-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $78,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,834 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.