2327 Burr St · Gary, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This charming and recently updated 2-bedroom home offers both comfort and incredible workspace potential. The inviting living room features beautiful neutral tones, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere. The bright eat-in kitchen includes tiled walls and floors, with appliances included for added convenience. The dining room provides access to a spacious 13x34 enclosed patio, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Just beyond, you'll find an attached outdoor kitchen area ready to be completed to your taste, already equipped with plumbing, gas, and electric. The true highlight of this property is the impressive garage and workshop setup. A 23x37 garage workshop offers power capable of runn
Key facts
- Outdoor kitchen area
- Enclosed patio
- 8,320 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property vacant
- Financial info: No investment or income/expense details listed
- HOA & community: No HOA information listed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached oversized garage; Heated garage; Garage faces front; Garage door opener; 5 garage spaces; Additional parking
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: One-story home; Built in 1946
- Construction: Year built 1946; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Neighborhood view; Workshop; Additional detached garage structures
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dining room adjoins kitchen
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Second bedroom
- Flooring: No flooring details listed
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Other cooling
- Interior features: No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-50 ($-604/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (4.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (24.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $136k (24.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Lake Ridge New Tech Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #287 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.20%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $84,825
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2222 Burr St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,038 (+6%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $87 | 72 |
| 2329 Colfax St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,034 (+6%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $73 | 57 |
| 2173 Baker St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 950 (-3%) | 13mo | $48,000 | $51 | 50 |
| 4241 W 22nd Plz | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 925 (-5%) | 8mo | $63,000 | $68 | 47 |
| 2165 Williams St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 890 (-9%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $152 | 43 |
| 2392 Wheeler St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+15%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $76 | 42 |
| 4429 W 25th Pl | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 1,040 (+7%) | 21mo | $54,500 | $52 | 40 |
| 4263 W 22nd Pl | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 998 (+2%) | 24mo | $125,000 | $125 | 39 |
| 1961 Williams St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,095 (+12%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $142 | 38 |
| 4233 W 22nd Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 850 (-13%) | 6mo | $82,000 | $96 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.26% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $2,380
- Equity at exit
- $63,869
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $34,358
- Equity at exit
- $86,780
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46406
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,358 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $-50
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4328 W 22nd Plz Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 3d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4300 W 22nd Pl Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 977 | $1,395 | $1.43 | 2d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4134 W 22nd Pl Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,395 | $1.69 | 1d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4061 W 20th Pl Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,450 | $1.57 | 1d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1043 Mount St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 1d | 1 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $180,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $180,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-03-11$185,000 Active
-
2026-03-03historical
-
2026-01-22status Active
-
2026-01-15status Pending
-
2025-12-04price $189,000
-
2025-10-03$205,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,250 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,390 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- +$140/yr (+$12/mo · 11.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,295
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$1,250
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,304
- − Management
- −$1,304
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$3,781
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$908
- After-tax cash flow
- $303/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake Ridge New Tech Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1805460
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,568
- Composite
- 12.67/100
- National rank
- #9607
- State rank
- #287 of 301 in IN
Livability — Gary
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #5592
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gary, IN
- City population
- 63,701
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,513
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 21% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.26%
- Current HPI
- 147.0732
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-9.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-11 Listed $185,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-22 Relisted — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-15 Pending — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $189,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-03 Listed $205,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,250 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…