814 Avondale Rd · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- ARV discount +3.1/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath home located in a quiet Montgomery neighborhood. Featuring beautiful hardwood flooring, blinds throughout, and a functional layout, this home offers both comfort and style. Enjoy the spacious backyard, perfect for entertaining or unwinding, along with the convenience of a covered carport and attractive curb appeal. Ideal for first-time homebuyers or anyone seeking a move-in-ready home!
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Spacious backyard
- Covered carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $359 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 51% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $91k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.82%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $109,313
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- 9.78%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3927 Bienville Rd | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,105 (+3%) | 0mo | $115,000 | $104 | 82 |
| 3831 Avondale Ct | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (+6%) | 4mo | $151,000 | $132 | 71 |
| 963 Green Ridge Rd | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,032 (-4%) | 5mo | $104,000 | $101 | 68 |
| 735 Duval Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,174 (+9%) | 2mo | $147,000 | $125 | 66 |
| 3506 Farwood Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,053 (-2%) | 3mo | $81,000 | $77 | 63 |
| 1200 Beth Manor Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,160 (+8%) | 5mo | $70,500 | $61 | 62 |
| 975 Green Ridge Rd | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 952 (-11%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $63 | 58 |
| 1227 Avondale Rd | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 944 (-12%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $74 | 56 |
| 3346 Bedford Ln | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,134 (+6%) | 6mo | $86,500 | $76 | 55 |
| 3700 Ramos Ct | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (+15%) | 3mo | $134,400 | $109 | 52 |
| 3318 Bedford Ln | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,134 (+6%) | 2mo | $72,999 | $64 | 51 |
| 968 Karen Rd | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,221 (+14%) | 4mo | $92,000 | $75 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $2,882
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $29,789
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36109
- Home prices YoY
- -20.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 207
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,354 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $377/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $359
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $427 | -5% $393 | +0% $359 | +5% $325 | +10% $291 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $252 | -5% $305 | +0% $359 | +5% $412 | +10% $466 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $419 | -0.5pp $389 | base $359 | +0.5pp $328 | +1.0pp $296 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 895 Greg Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1489 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 860 Greg Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,295 | $0.93 | 14d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 750 S Marquette Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1325 | $1,195 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 4041A Beth Manor Dr Montgomery, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $1,000 | $1.08 | 21d | 20 | 0.37mi |
| 3456 Harrison Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,300 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 688 Joryne Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1216 Beechdale Rd Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,325 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1117 Karen Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1308 | $1,195 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1154 Lakewood Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1066 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1229 Karen Rd Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,590 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3602 Little John Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1286 | $1,400 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3346 Bedford Ln Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $1,295 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3323 Bedford Ln Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,200 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3318 Habersham Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,250 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 118 Nottingham Ct Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,275 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3233 Hillcrest Ln Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,395 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4132 Carmichael Rd Montgomery, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,156 | $1.28 | 14d | 10 | 0.98mi |
| 3515 Cottonwood Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1246 | $1,350 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3136 Harrison Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1355 | $1,025 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2845 Zelda Rd Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1013 | $1,042 | $1.03 | 14d | 3 | 1.10mi |
| 239 Forest Hills Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,450 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3334 Cottonwood Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,295 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3329 Vermont Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1465 | $1,395 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 103 Dalraida Rd Unit D Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 838 | $875 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4046 Camellia Dr Unit 1 Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 107 Dalraida Rd Unit A Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1237 | $1,200 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3319 Willow Lane Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $1,200 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 311 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $825 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 301 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $935 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2736 Chevy Chase Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 122 Oak Forest Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $975 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4365 Hillside Oaks Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 319 Olivia Ct Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $700 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4023 Ware Hill Dr Unit 1507324P Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $4,076 | $2.87 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1814 Pinecrest Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $990 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19status $120,000 Pending 85 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $120,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-03-24$120,000 Active 437-char remark
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
Step into this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath home located in a quiet Montgomery neighborhood. Featuring beautiful hardwood flooring, blinds throughout, and a functional layout, this home offers both comfort and style. Enjoy the spacious backyard, perfect for entertaining or unwinding, along with the convenience of a covered carport and attractive curb appeal. Ideal for first-time homebuyers or anyone seeking a move-in-ready home!
-
2025-06-16$128,000 Active
-
2025-05-05price $128,000
-
2025-04-23$130,000 Active
-
2024-11-23$130,000 Active
-
2022-08-03soldstatus $91,000
-
2022-07-26soldstatus $91,000
-
2022-06-27$105,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $377 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $492 · $41/mo
- Expected delta
- +$115/yr (+$10/mo · 30.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,246
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$377
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,300
- − Management
- −$1,300
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $2,457
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$590
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,716/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,581
- Household income
- $59,193
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1039.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.64%
- Current HPI
- 149.3867
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.65%
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+14.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Listed $120,000 EABOR
- 2025-06-16 Listed $128,000 MAAR
- 2025-05-05 Price Changed $128,000 MAAR
- 2025-04-23 Listed $130,000 MAAR
- 2024-11-23 Listed $130,000 MAAR
- 2022-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-26 Sold (MLS) $91,000 MAAR
- 2022-06-27 Listed $105,000 MAAR
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $377 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…