510 Sky Vw · Perry, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$96,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This roomy three bedroom, two bath home backs up to woods. It also features central air, a master bedroom en-suite, a laundry room, and tons of storage space. A quaint front porch overlooks farm fields. Secluded yet secure, Morrice Meadows Manufactured Home Community is beautiful, convenient and amazingly affordable. Through our in-house, licensed manufactured home dealer, IMC Home Sales, Morrice Meadows also offers high-quality new and pre-owned homes, as well as spacious sites for those who already own a home. Our location, just east of Morrice Road, off Britton Road, is just three miles from the quaint, historic City of Perry. Our location also allows for easy access via I-69 to Flint and Grand Blanc to the east and Lansing to the west.
Key facts
- Laundry room
- Easy access via i-69
- Backs up to woods
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $97k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $550 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $97k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 2.2% in Perry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#142 in MI, #3,653 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Morrice Area Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #323 of 540 in MI (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 74 units permitted in Shiawassee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $670 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shiawassee County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 480 days — a 12% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 480 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.32%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $19,348
- Equity at exit
- $14,448
- IRR
- 26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.29×
- Total profit
- $62,046
- Equity at exit
- $8,378
Cash invested: $27,132 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48857
- Home prices YoY
- -7.5%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,544 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$508
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$121 /mo · $1,454/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$324
- Net cashflow
- $550
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,225
- Closing costs
- $2,907
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $96,900 Active 480 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $96,900 Active 479 DOM
-
2025-02-05$96,900 Active 749-char remark
Show marketing remark (749 chars)
This roomy three bedroom, two bath home backs up to woods. It also features central air, a master bedroom en-suite, a laundry room, and tons of storage space. A quaint front porch overlooks farm fields. Secluded yet secure, Morrice Meadows Manufactured Home Community is beautiful, convenient and amazingly affordable. Through our in-house, licensed manufactured home dealer, IMC Home Sales, Morrice Meadows also offers high-quality new and pre-owned homes, as well as spacious sites for those who already own a home. Our location, just east of Morrice Road, off Britton Road, is just three miles from the quaint, historic City of Perry. Our location also allows for easy access via I-69 to Flint and Grand Blanc to the east and Lansing to the west.
-
2025-02-05$96,900 Active 749-char remark
Show marketing remark (749 chars)
This roomy three bedroom, two bath home backs up to woods. It also features central air, a master bedroom en-suite, a laundry room, and tons of storage space. A quaint front porch overlooks farm fields. Secluded yet secure, Morrice Meadows Manufactured Home Community is beautiful, convenient and amazingly affordable. Through our in-house, licensed manufactured home dealer, IMC Home Sales, Morrice Meadows also offers high-quality new and pre-owned homes, as well as spacious sites for those who already own a home. Our location, just east of Morrice Road, off Britton Road, is just three miles from the quaint, historic City of Perry. Our location also allows for easy access via I-69 to Flint and Grand Blanc to the east and Lansing to the west.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,526
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,428
- − Property taxes
- −$1,454
- − Insurance
- −$484
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,482
- − Management
- −$1,482
- − Depreciation
- −$2,819
- Taxable income
- $5,377
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,290
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,309/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained, updated mobile home is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Improves aesthetics and is easier to maintain
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and adds modern appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Improves aesthetics and is easier to maintain ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and adds modern appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morrice Area Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2624630
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,064
- Composite
- 28.03/100
- National rank
- #6845
- State rank
- #323 of 540 in MI
Livability — Perry
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #3653
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,488
Population outlook (Shiawassee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 64,238 people
- By 2030
- 61,434 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 55,054 · -14.3%
- By 2050
- 48,426 · -24.6%
- By 2075
- 35,995 · -44.0%
- By 2100
- 26,678 · -58.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Lithuanian 6% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Shiawassee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.1) · D 37.7% · R 60.8% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.1 2020: R+19.9 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+3.7 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.21%
- Current HPI
- 273.1644
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-02-05 Listed $96,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-02-05 Listed $96,900 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…