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406 Cherry St
C+ Composite 61.27
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$98,000

406 Cherry St · Madison, KS 66860
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,239 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1960 9,583 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy small town living in this charming two bedroom home. Lots of updates, move in ready! Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Recent updates
  • New walk-in shower
  • New gutter guards

Tags

RECENT UPDATESNEW WALK-IN SHOWERNEW KITCHEN APPLIANCESNEW CHAIN-LINK FENCINGNEW GARAGE DOORNEW GUTTER GUARDS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Vinyl siding construction; Composition roof
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Chain link fencing; Corner lot; Lot dimensions approximately 98 x 100 (0.22 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $98k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $137 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#318 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Madison-Virgil (rural): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #32 of 280 in KS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Madison High (math 24% / reading 15%, grade F, #198 of 327 statewide, top 66%, 95 students, 48% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 45% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Madison-Virgil average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Greenwood County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($678 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.9% local appreciation)).
  • Greenwood County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $23k; list at $98k implies a 328% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $98,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.97%
Cash-on-cash
6.00%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.86% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.2%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$42,136
Equity at exit
$67,016
10-year hold
IRR
20.7%
Equity multiple
5.23×
Total profit
$116,058
Equity at exit
$126,497

Cash invested: $27,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66860

Home prices YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,031 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$514
Tax est. 1.5%
$122 /mo · $1,470/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$217
Net cashflow
$137

Break-even live

Break-even rent $857
Max offer price $98,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,500
Closing costs
$2,940
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $98,000 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $98,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $98,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $98,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $98,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $98,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $98,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $98,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $98,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    listed $98,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,372
− Mortgage interest
−$5,490
− Property taxes
−$1,470
− Insurance
−$490
− Repairs & maintenance
−$990
− Management
−$990
− Depreciation
−$2,851
Taxable income
$92
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$22
After-tax cash flow
$1,625/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison-Virgil
NCES district ID
2009090
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$40,771
Composite
39.98/100
National rank
#7896
State rank
#32 of 280 in KS

Livability — Madison

Score
64/100
State rank
#318
US rank
#14619

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Madison, KS
Population (ZIP)
1,391

Population outlook (Greenwood County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,505 people
By 2030
5,103 · -7.3%
By 2040
4,287 · -22.1%
By 2050
3,576 · -35.0%
By 2075
2,370 · -56.9%
By 2100
1,459 · -73.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greenwood

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.0) · D 18.8% · R 79.7% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-17.2pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -61.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.0 2020: R+60.8 2016: R+59.1 2012: R+49.3 2008: R+43.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.86%
Current HPI
175.5345
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+327.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $98,000 Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2023-12-15 Sold (MLS) Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2023-11-26 Pending Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2023-11-25 Listed $79,900 Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2022-08-05 Sold (MLS) Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2022-07-12 Contingent Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2022-05-12 Listed $64,900 Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2014-11-14 Sold (MLS) Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2014-10-29 Listed $38,800 Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 1991-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $22,900 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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