🏷️ Likely Rental
4588 Cadillac St · Baton Rouge, LA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home on a large Lot. Freshly painted interior and exterior, washer/dryer connections inside and in Flood Zone X. Tenant occupied month to month. Perfect for investors or first time home buyers.
Key facts
- Large lot
- Flood zone x
- 4,791 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $557 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($967 rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $28k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 28.7% vs local median 4.3% in Baton Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#24 in LA, #4,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, employment D-.
- East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 79.90%
- DSCR
- 4.56
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $40,176
- List price
- $29,900
- Delta
- -25.58%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4959 Packard St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+4%) | 7mo | $40,000 | $50 | 76 |
| 4261 Gurney Ln | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (+2%) | 8mo | $40,000 | $51 | 58 |
| 4242 Gurney Ln | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 787 (+3%) | 9mo | $74,900 | $95 | 55 |
| 5010 Oaklon Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 850 (+11%) | 17mo | $25,000 | $29 | 46 |
| 4347 Gurney Ln | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 882 (+15%) | 12mo | $64,900 | $74 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 80.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.66×
- Total profit
- $30,672
- Equity at exit
- $4,458
- IRR
- 83.5%
- Equity multiple
- 9.66×
- Total profit
- $72,483
- Equity at exit
- $2,585
Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70811
- Home prices YoY
- -30.8%
- Active inventory
- 123
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $967 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$37 /mo · $448/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$203
- Net cashflow
- $557
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $578 | -5% $568 | +0% $557 | +5% $547 | +10% $537 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $481 | -5% $519 | +0% $557 | +5% $596 | +10% $634 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $572 | -0.5pp $565 | base $557 | +0.5pp $550 | +1.0pp $542 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,475
- Closing costs
- $897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4540 Crown Ave Unit 94 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4540 Crown Ave Unit 91 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 19d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4540 Crown Ave Unit 94 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,098 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4540 Crown Ave Unit 93 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4540 Crown Ave Unit 85 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 8210 Cypress Rd Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $920 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 8280 Cypress Rd Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $1,148 | $1.54 | 15d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 5665 McClelland Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 545 | $800 | $1.47 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5665 McClelland Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $825 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5665 McClelland Dr Apt 220 Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 870 | $950 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5665 McClelland Dr Apt 133 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $825 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5665 McClelland Dr Unit 245 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 765 | $800 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5665 McClelland Dr Unit 116 Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 545 | $750 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5665 McClelland Dr Apt 201 Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 870 | $1,050 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2203 Fairchild St Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-15status $29,900 Pending 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $29,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $29,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $29,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $29,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $29,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $29,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $29,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $29,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $29,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $29,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $29,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $29,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $39,900 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Nice 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home on a large Lot. Freshly painted interior and exterior, washer/dryer connections inside and in Flood Zone X. Tenant occupied month to month. Perfect for investors or first time home buyers.
-
2026-05-06price $39,900 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Nice 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home on a large Lot. Freshly painted interior and exterior, washer/dryer connections inside and in Flood Zone X. Tenant occupied month to month. Perfect for investors or first time home buyers.
-
2026-04-13$42,000 Active 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Nice 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home on a large Lot. Freshly painted interior and exterior, washer/dryer connections inside and in Flood Zone X. Tenant occupied month to month. Perfect for investors or first time home buyers.
-
2026-04-13$42,000 Active 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Nice 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home on a large Lot. Freshly painted interior and exterior, washer/dryer connections inside and in Flood Zone X. Tenant occupied month to month. Perfect for investors or first time home buyers.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,606
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,675
- − Property taxes
- −$448
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$928
- − Management
- −$928
- − Depreciation
- −$870
- Taxable income
- $6,606
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,586
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,104/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This home requires moderate renovations, including exterior painting, flooring replacement, and siding repair, to significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major siding — Severe weathering and peeling
- Major paint — Peeling paint on exterior
- Minor flooring — Worn hardwood floors
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both replace worn flooring — New flooring improves comfort and value
- Both repair and paint siding — New siding and paint improve curb appeal and home value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| siding · Severe weathering and peeling | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| paint · Peeling paint on exterior | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · Worn hardwood floors | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $30,500–103,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both replace worn flooring — New flooring improves comfort and value ↑
- Both repair and paint siding — New siding and paint improve curb appeal and home value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Baton Rouge Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200540
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,263
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7745
- State rank
- #47 of 98 in LA
Livability — Baton Rouge
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #4535
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baton Rouge, LA
- County
- East Baton Rouge Parish · 399,686 people
- City population
- 351,868
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,154
- Household income
- $45,523
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 444.0
Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 464,810 people
- By 2030
- 472,137 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 480,243 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 484,422 · +4.2%
- By 2075
- 492,069 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 476,347 · +2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 82% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge
- 2024 margin
- D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.98%
- Current HPI
- 146.22
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-5.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $39,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $39,900 GBRMLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $42,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $42,000 AcadianaMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…