68840 E 314 Trl · Dodge, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PRICE REDUCED! MOTIVATED SELLER! Just minutes from quaint downtown Grove & just 10 minutes to GRAND LAKE! This 4-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home from 2019 sits on a full 1-acre lot in Grove, OK and offers functional, open living space. Inside, you’ll find new flooring and a spacious open-concept layout designed for everyday comfort. The split-bedroom floor plan provides privacy, with a generous primary suite separate from the additional bedrooms. The exterior features upgraded stone-look skirting for enhanced curb appearance, adding a finished and elevated touch. A covered back deck extends the living space outdoors — ideal for grilling, relaxing, or enjoying the peace a
Key facts
- New flooring
- Room for a shop
- Covered back deck
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed
Exterior
- Security: Smoke detector(s); No designated safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story; Faces south; Double wide mobile home
- Construction: Built with vinyl siding; Shingle and wood roof; Tie-down foundation; Has home warranty
- Exterior features: Located near Grand Lake (less than 10 miles); No additional exterior features listed; Smoke detectors
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Icemaker
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; Ceiling fans; Laminate countertops; Vinyl window frames
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#631 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Grove (town): math 26% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #77 of 270 in OK (top 28%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 51 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Delaware County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.96%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-8,176
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $11,606
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74344
- Home prices YoY
- -4.8%
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,511 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$175 /mo · $2,098/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$317
- Net cashflow
- $227
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending
-
2026-03-24price $139,900
-
2026-02-13$149,900 Active
-
2025-10-26status Pending
-
2025-10-25$140,000 Active
-
2025-10-25historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,137
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$2,098
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,451
- − Management
- −$1,451
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $531
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$127
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,599/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grove
- NCES district ID
- 4013530
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,379
- Composite
- 23.93/100
- National rank
- #7785
- State rank
- #77 of 270 in OK
Livability — Dodge
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #631
- US rank
- #24700
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,386
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,302 people
- By 2030
- 40,888 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 39,802 · -3.6%
- By 2050
- 38,839 · -6.0%
- By 2075
- 37,438 · -9.4%
- By 2100
- 34,910 · -15.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Two or more races 11% Native American 11% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.2% · R 79.6% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: -33.8pp · 2024: -60.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.4 2020: R+58.5 2016: R+54.1 2012: R+41.3 2008: R+33.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -14.29%
- Current HPI
- 281.8539
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-0.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $139,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-02-13 Listed $149,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-10-26 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-10-25 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-10-25 Listed $140,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…