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613 Nance Ford Rd Multi-family
B- Composite 68.37
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$360,000

613 Nance Ford Rd · Hartselle, AL 35640
8 bd · None ba · 3,656 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1986 0.40 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Key facts

  • 0.4 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1986

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions available
  • HOA & community: Subdivision: Sharpley

Exterior

  • Parking: Basement garage; Parking lot; 8 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential income property; Apartment; Built in 1986
  • Exterior features: No view; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Interior features: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Laundry & utility: Washer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 8-bed/?-bath multifamily listed at $360k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $360k).
  • Recommended offer: $355k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.1% in Hartselle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#32 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Hartselle City (other): math 41% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #10 of 129 in AL (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Hartselle Junior High School (math 33% / reading 63%, grade C-, #29 of 257 statewide, top 12%, 527 students, 38% FRL); Hartselle High School (math 44% / reading 48%, grade D-, #18 of 305 statewide, top 6%, 1,031 students, 34% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 231 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Morgan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $101k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($355k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $354,600 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
10.98%
Cash-on-cash
16.73%
DSCR
1.74
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$31,099
Equity at exit
$53,677
10-year hold
IRR
17.1%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$141,992
Equity at exit
$31,126

Cash invested: $100,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35640

Home prices YoY
-13.6%
Active inventory
193
Price-to-rent
26.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,600 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,888
Tax from tax record
$190 /mo · $2,286/yr
Insurance
$150
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$966
Net cashflow
$1,406

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,821
Max offer price $360,000
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,609 -5% $1,508 +0% $1,406 +5% $1,304 +10% $1,202
Rent -10% $1,042 -5% $1,224 +0% $1,406 +5% $1,587 +10% $1,769
Rate -1.0pp $1,587 -0.5pp $1,497 base $1,406 +0.5pp $1,312 +1.0pp $1,217

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $4,600

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$90,000
Closing costs
$10,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $360,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $360,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $360,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $360,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $360,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $360,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $360,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $360,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $360,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $360,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $360,000 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $360,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,286 · $190/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,286 · $190/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$55,200
− Mortgage interest
−$20,166
− Property taxes
−$2,286
− Insurance
−$1,800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,416
− Management
−$4,416
− Depreciation
−$10,473
Taxable income
$11,644
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,794
After-tax cash flow
$14,073/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hartselle City
NCES district ID
0101730
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$51,169
Composite
44.88/100
National rank
#2717
State rank
#10 of 129 in AL

Livability — Hartselle

Score
72/100
State rank
#32
US rank
#6515

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hartselle, AL
City population
26,976
Population (ZIP)
26,976

Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
118,775 people
By 2030
116,979 · -1.5%
By 2040
111,800 · -5.9%
By 2050
105,181 · -11.4%
By 2075
87,736 · -26.1%
By 2100
67,624 · -43.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Morgan

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.6) · D 23.2% · R 75.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -52.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.6 2020: R+49.2 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+44.5 2008: R+43.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -38.12%
Current HPI
242.5778
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $360,000 VMLS

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,286 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…