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1913 Muriel Ave
B+ Composite 78.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$24,900

1913 Muriel Ave · Prichard, AL 36610
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,140 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1970 6,041 sqft lot $22/sqft · 14% below area Est $29k · 14% under ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is ready for its new owners! Enjoy a partially fenced yard with plenty of space for gardening, playtime, or pets to roam. Don’t miss your chance—contact your favorite realtor today to schedule a showing! Sale may be subject to Alabama’s One-Year Right of Redemption.

Key facts

  • Space for gardening
  • Space for playtime
  • Space for pets

Tags

PARTIALLY FENCED YARDSPACE FOR GARDENINGSPACE FOR PLAYTIMESPACE FOR PETS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Land is not leased; Property has a view; Chain link fencing
  • Financial info: No financial details provided
  • HOA & community: Subdivision: Mcarthur Court

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public sewer; No electric provider specified; No additional utilities listed
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Built in 1970
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: No exterior features listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Other kitchen features; Appliances: Other
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: No flooring specified
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: No specific laundry or utility features listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $598 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($947 rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $24k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 35.1% vs local median 11.4% in Prichard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#472 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $265 of equity ($172 loan paydown + $93 appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $24,153 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.80%
Cap rate
35.11%
Cash-on-cash
102.91%
DSCR
5.58
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$28,847
List price
$24,900
Delta
-13.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1207 Clara Ave 0.42mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,240 (+9%) 9mo $20,000 $16 54
853 Garrison Ave 0.69mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,020 (-10%) 13mo $15,000 $15 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.42×
Total profit
$37,791
Equity at exit
$7,697
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.29×
Total profit
$85,716
Equity at exit
$9,633

Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36610

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
41
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$947 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax from tax record
$9 /mo · $112/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$199
Net cashflow
$598

Break-even live

Break-even rent $190
Max offer price $24,900
Occupancy floor 32%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $612 -5% $605 +0% $598 +5% $591 +10% $584
Rent -10% $523 -5% $560 +0% $598 +5% $635 +10% $673
Rate -1.0pp $610 -0.5pp $604 base $598 +0.5pp $591 +1.0pp $585

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,225
Closing costs
$747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
100 Dairy Rd Mobile, AL 2.0–3.0 2.0 999 $975 $0.98 14d 1 0.62mi
3427 Stovall St Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1025 $850 $0.83 22d 1 1.23mi
408 Rawls Ave Mobile, AL 2.0 1.0 1032 $1,100 $1.07 14d 1 1.39mi
2966 Northwest Dr Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 792 $895 $1.13 22d 1 1.43mi
1701 Bear Fork Rd Unit 7 Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1064 $950 $0.89 44d 1 1.49mi
1701 Bear Fork Rd Unit 2 Mobile, AL 2.0 2.0 1064 $875 $0.82 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $24,900 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $24,900 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $24,900 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $24,900 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $24,900 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $24,900 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $24,900 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $24,900 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $24,900 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $24,900 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $24,900 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $24,900 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $24,900 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $24,900 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $24,900 Active 38 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $24,900 Active 37 DOM
  17. 2026-04-23
    listed $29,900 Active 314-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$112 · $9/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$112 · $9/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,365
− Mortgage interest
−$1,395
− Property taxes
−$112
− Insurance
−$124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$909
− Management
−$909
− Depreciation
−$724
Taxable income
$7,191
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,726
After-tax cash flow
$5,449/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mobile County
NCES district ID
0102370
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$42,455
Composite
22.9/100
National rank
#8002
State rank
#81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Prichard

Score
54/100
State rank
#472
US rank
#24080

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Prichard, AL
City population
13,402
Population (ZIP)
9,692

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,303 people
By 2030
411,755 · -0.9%
By 2040
399,670 · -3.8%
By 2050
382,616 · -7.9%
By 2075
337,353 · -18.8%
By 2100
283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (97%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 97% Hispanic / Latino 1% White 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

2024 margin
R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.37%
Current HPI
42.6203
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $24,900 GCMLS AL
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $29,900 GCMLS AL

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $112 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…