1306 SE 11th Ave · Amarillo, TX 79102

$185,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,976 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 145 Days on market

Built 1926 6,970 sqft lot $94/sqft · 50% above area Est $152k · 21% over ↓ 1% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +9.3/30.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• 1% rule +2.8/10.0
• DSCR +2.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• 6,970 sq ft lot
• Garage
• Built 1926

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-135 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (12.9% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (21.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $145k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
• Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $144,582 (21.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.78% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.42%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.12%
• DSCR: 0.86
• GRM: 10.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $152,280
• List price: $185,000
• Delta: 21.49%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 4 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -21.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.26×
• Total profit: $-38,540
• Equity at exit: $27,584

10-year hold

• IRR: -15.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.14×
• Total profit: $-44,526
• Equity at exit: $15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 79102

• Home prices YoY: -33.0%
• Active inventory: 37
• Price-to-rent: 10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,446 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$970
• Tax from tax record: −$230 /mo · $2,756/yr
• Insurance: −$77
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$304
• Net cashflow: $-135

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,616

Max offer price $161,195

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-30	-5% $-82	+0% $-135	+5% $-187	+10% $-239
Rent	-10% $-249	-5% $-192	+0% $-135	+5% $-78	+10% $-21
Rate	-1.0pp $-42	-0.5pp $-88	base $-135	+0.5pp $-183	+1.0pp $-231

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $46,250
• Closing costs: $5,550
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
600 N Hayes St Amarillo, TX	4.0	2.0	2400	$1,600	$0.67	44d	1	1.24mi

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $185,000 Active 145 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $185,000 Active 144 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $185,000 Active 143 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $185,000 Active 142 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $185,000 Active 140 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   price $185,000 Active 139 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $197,300 Active 139 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $197,300 Active 138 DOM
9. 2026-06-03
   days on market $197,300 Active 134 DOM
10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $197,300 Active 133 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $197,300 Active 132 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $197,300 Active 131 DOM
13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $197,300 Active 130 DOM
14. 2026-03-10
    price $197,300
15. 2026-01-07
    listed $200,300 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,756 · $230/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,386 · $282/mo
• Expected delta: +$629/yr (+$52/mo · 22.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,350
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,363
• − Property taxes: −$2,756
• − Insurance: −$925
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,388
• − Management: −$1,388
• − Depreciation: −$5,382
• Taxable loss: −$4,852
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,165
• After-tax cash flow: $-452/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Amarillo ISD
• NCES district ID: 4808130
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $43,478
• Composite: 35.96/100
• National rank: #4798
• State rank: #336 of 826 in TX

Livability — Amarillo

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #624
• US rank: #11876

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Amarillo, TX
• County: Potter County · 72,216 people
• City population: 185,802
• Metro: Amarillo, TX
• Population (ZIP): 9,393
• Household income: $51,125
• Rent vs Own: 50.9% rent · 49.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 487.0

Population outlook (Potter County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 121,296 people
• By 2030: 120,883 · -0.3%
• By 2040: 119,668 · -1.3%
• By 2050: 117,788 · -2.9%
• By 2075: 110,250 · -9.1%
• By 2100: 92,923 · -23.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: White 50% Hispanic / Latino 40% Two or more races 15% Asian 4% Black 3% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 31%
• Common ancestry: Italian 3% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Philippines
• Languages at home: 77% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Potter

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.3% · R 71.7% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.4pp · 2024: -44.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+44.4 2020: R+38.7 2016: R+41.9 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+39.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -86.43%
• Current HPI: 175.582
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Amarillo, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-1.5% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-10 Price Changed $197,300 LARMLS
• 2026-01-07 Listed $200,300 LARMLS

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,756 · +12.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.