19 Kenworthy Ave · Glens Falls, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If you are looking for a large, affordable city home this is one of the best buys in Glens Falls. Featuring 6 bedrooms, 2 full baths, new wall to wall carpeting, full basement, attic/game room, 3 season porch and 2 driveways with parking for 4+ cars! WOW! Very Good Condition
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Close to parks
- Manageable yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2 ($25/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
- Recommended offer: $202k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.8% in Glens Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#60 in NY, #894 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, housing A+.
- Glens Falls City School District (urban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #416 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Glens Falls Senior High School (math 98% / reading 64%, grade A, #485 of 1,100 statewide, top 45%, 601 students, 41% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 81% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Glens Falls City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Warren County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $185k (46%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $118k; list at $215k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.04%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $393,937
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 Grant Ave | 0.68mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,988 (+6%) | 2mo | $420,000 | $211 | 48 |
| 116 Crandall St | 0.71mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,768 (-5%) | 22mo | $302,000 | $171 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-34,540
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-29,230
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12801
- Home prices YoY
- -13.7%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,160 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$487 /mo · $5,843/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$454
- Net cashflow
- $2
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $124 | -5% $63 | +0% $2 | +5% $-59 | +10% $-120 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-169 | -5% $-83 | +0% $2 | +5% $87 | +10% $173 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $110 | -0.5pp $57 | base $2 | +0.5pp $-54 | +1.0pp $-110 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-03-31status Pending
-
2026-03-09status Active
-
2026-03-09status Pending
-
2026-02-23price $215,000
-
2026-01-13price $230,000
-
2026-01-12$399,777 Active
-
2025-05-01historical
-
2025-02-03$260,000 Active
-
2017-06-30soldstatus $118,500 275-char remark
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
If you are looking for a large, affordable city home this is one of the best buys in Glens Falls. Featuring 6 bedrooms, 2 full baths, new wall to wall carpeting, full basement, attic/game room, 3 season porch and 2 driveways with parking for 4+ cars! WOW! Very Good Condition
-
2017-06-30soldstatus $118,500
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
If you are looking for a large, affordable city home this is one of the best buys in Glens Falls. Featuring 6 bedrooms, 2 full baths, new wall to wall carpeting, full basement, attic/game room, 3 season porch and 2 driveways with parking for 4+ cars! WOW! Very Good Condition
-
2016-09-28$125,900 275-char remark
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
If you are looking for a large, affordable city home this is one of the best buys in Glens Falls. Featuring 6 bedrooms, 2 full baths, new wall to wall carpeting, full basement, attic/game room, 3 season porch and 2 driveways with parking for 4+ cars! WOW! Very Good Condition
-
2016-09-28$125,900
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
If you are looking for a large, affordable city home this is one of the best buys in Glens Falls. Featuring 6 bedrooms, 2 full baths, new wall to wall carpeting, full basement, attic/game room, 3 season porch and 2 driveways with parking for 4+ cars! WOW! Very Good Condition
-
2008-10-12historical
-
2007-10-12$135,500
-
2007-04-25soldstatus $110,000
-
2006-10-28historical
-
2006-04-28$149,900
-
2000-09-15soldstatus $80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,843 · $487/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,843 · $487/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,915
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$5,843
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,073
- − Management
- −$2,073
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$3,447
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$827
- After-tax cash flow
- $852/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Glens Falls City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3612240
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,216
- Composite
- 41.34/100
- National rank
- #3499
- State rank
- #416 of 590 in NY
Livability — Glens Falls
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #60
- US rank
- #894
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Glens Falls, NY
- County
- Warren County · 14,628 people
- City population
- 14,628
- Metro
- Glens Falls, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,628
- Household income
- $67,577
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 866.0
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,372 people
- By 2030
- 60,491 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 55,616 · -10.8%
- By 2050
- 50,437 · -19.1%
- By 2075
- 40,843 · -34.5%
- By 2100
- 31,159 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Romanian 5% Slovak 5%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.2 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+10.6 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.28%
- Current HPI
- 330.581
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Glens Falls, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+168.8% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-03-09 Relisted — Global MLS
- 2026-03-09 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $215,000 Global MLS
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $230,000 Global MLS
- 2026-01-12 Listed $399,777 Global MLS
- 2025-05-01 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2025-02-03 Listed $260,000 Global MLS
- 2017-06-30 Sold (MLS) $118,500 Global MLS
- 2017-06-30 Sold (MLS) $118,500 Global MLS
- 2016-09-28 Listed $125,900 Global MLS
- 2016-09-28 Listed $125,900 Global MLS
- 2008-10-12 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2007-10-12 Listed $135,500 Global MLS
- 2007-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2006-10-28 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2006-04-28 Listed $149,900 Global MLS
- 2000-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2025): $5,843 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…