659 Old Reading Pike · West Pottsgrove, PA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attractive brick twin. Replacement windows, new carpet downstairs, interior freshly painted, remodeled bath and kitchen, large yard with plently of off street parking, 12' x 24' workshop. Country feeling yet only a minute to Route 422.
Key facts
- Private parking area
- Double sink
- Large yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Property condition noted as below average; Above-grade finished area reported (assessor source)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Semi-detached property; Brick construction
- Construction: Brick exterior; Stone foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Shared driveway with parking behind the home; Off-street parking available; Cable TV available
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (no appliance details provided)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level; Rooms include: Master bedroom, Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level); One half bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump with oil backup; Oil hot water
- Interior features: Full, unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Mud room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $270 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Pottsgrove SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #318 of 539 in PA (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,936 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $150k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.72%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $217,280
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 657 Old Reading Pike | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (0%) | 19mo | $232,000 | $207 | 84 |
| 663 Old Reading Pike | 0.01mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (+11%) | 13mo | $231,000 | $185 | 70 |
| 419 Center | 0.57mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,065 (-5%) | 11mo | $206,700 | $194 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-3,338
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $35,258
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19464
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 202
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,837 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$332 /mo · $3,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$386
- Net cashflow
- $270
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 W Vine St Stowe, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,395 | $1.86 | 1d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 303 Lemon St Stowe, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,950 | $1.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-18status $150,000 Pending 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-15$150,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,985 · $332/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,985 · $332/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,049
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$3,985
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,764
- − Management
- −$1,764
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $1,019
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$245
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,999/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pottsgrove SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219650
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,814
- Composite
- 36.08/100
- National rank
- #4763
- State rank
- #318 of 539 in PA
Livability — West Pottsgrove
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stowe, PA
- County
- Montgomery County · 712,331 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,101
- Household income
- $79,787
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1797.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 856,074 people
- By 2030
- 870,887 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 891,195 · +4.1%
- By 2050
- 896,417 · +4.7%
- By 2075
- 903,212 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 843,240 · -1.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Polish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.8) · D 60.9% · R 38.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.0pp toward D · 2008: 20.8pp · 2024: 22.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.8 2020: D+26.3 2016: D+21.1 2012: D+14.3 2008: D+20.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -253.73%
- Current HPI
- 271.9399
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.93%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+117.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-14 Coming Soon $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
- 2003-06-27 Sold (MLS) $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-02-27 Listed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1989-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $68,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2026): $3,985 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…