1244 Center Ave · Chicago Heights, IL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.95%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$63,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CASE # 137-804724 4 bedroom ranch with full basement sits on a cornet lot.
Key facts
- 6,000 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1962
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Parcel number: 32211130780000
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: One parking space; Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Built approximately 61–70 years ago; Built before 1978
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Unfinished basement (approx. 1,538); Total finished + unfinished about 3,076
- Exterior features: Corner lot (approx. 60 x 100); Driveway; Concrete surfaces
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (~10 x 9); Range included
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (all on the main level) — primary ~12 x 11, others ~10 x 10, 9 x 9, 9 x 9
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living room
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Basement contains a bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Unfinished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $63k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $882 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $63k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.2% vs local median 6.4% in Chicago Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#339 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
- Bloom Twp Hsd 206 (suburban): math 8% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #591 of 620 in IL (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $436 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 63.79%
- DSCR
- 3.84
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $186,098
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1221 Emerald Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,410 (-8%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $106 | 64 |
| 227 E 16th St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,459 (-5%) | 18mo | $177,000 | $121 | 59 |
| 1541 Center St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,386 (-10%) | 7mo | $257,000 | $185 | 57 |
| 1425 E End Ave | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (-2%) | 20mo | $144,000 | $96 | 56 |
| 1541 Wallace St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,386 (-10%) | 16mo | $135,000 | $97 | 49 |
| 1026 Emerald Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,670 (+9%) | 16mo | $179,900 | $108 | 48 |
| 241 W 16th St | 0.37mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,642 (+7%) | 19mo | $226,000 | $138 | 46 |
| 202 Hillcrest Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,319 (-14%) | 11mo | $198,900 | $151 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 63.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.98×
- Total profit
- $52,500
- Equity at exit
- $9,394
- IRR
- 68.7%
- Equity multiple
- 9.32×
- Total profit
- $146,794
- Equity at exit
- $5,447
Cash invested: $17,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60411
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 222
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,778 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$330
- Tax from tax record
- −$110 /mo · $1,326/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $882
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,750
- Closing costs
- $1,890
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1203 Emerald Ave Unit 1 Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 1d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 41 W 14th Pl Unit 1 Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,750 | $1.40 | 11d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 531 Wallace St Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 5d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 169 E 23rd St Unit 1F Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 12d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 83 W 15th St #1 Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1631 Buena Vista Ave Unit 2 Chicago Heights, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1665 Buena Vista Ave Unit 3 Chicago Heights, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,800 | $1.06 | 18d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1667 Buena Vista Ave Unit 1st floor Chicago Heights, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,525 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $63,000 Pending 28 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $63,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $63,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $63,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $63,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $63,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$63,000 Active
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
CASE # 137-804724 4 bedroom ranch with full basement sits on a cornet lot.
-
2026-05-08$63,000 Active 76-char remark
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
CASE # 137-804724 4 bedroom ranch with full basement sits on a cornet lot.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,326 · $110/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,378 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$52/yr (+$4/mo · 3.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 95% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,339
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,529
- − Property taxes
- −$1,326
- − Insurance
- −$981
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,707
- − Management
- −$1,707
- − Depreciation
- −$1,833
- Taxable income
- $10,256
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,461
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,124/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bloom Twp Hsd 206
- NCES district ID
- 1706420
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,795
- Composite
- 7.4/100
- National rank
- #9952
- State rank
- #591 of 620 in IL
Livability — Chicago Heights
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #339
- US rank
- #6836
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chicago Heights, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 52,175
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,175
- Household income
- $62,073
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1714.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 19% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 21% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.75%
- Current HPI
- 212.4058
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.48%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $63,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Listed $63,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+15.0%/yrLatest (2023): $1,326 · +5914.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…