2069 Murray Dr · Pearl, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.4/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$147,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
this home offers a convenient central location with quick access to shopping, dining, and major commuting routes throughout the Jackson-metro area. This property is a great opportunity for a homeowner or investor looking for a solid home in an established neighborhood. The layout offers comfortable living space with functional flow, making it easy to personalize and add value. Situated on a level lot, the property provides room for outdoor enjoyment and everyday convenience. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or a rental opportunity in a high-demand area of Pearl, 2069 Murry Drive is well positioned for both.
Key facts
- Central location
- Functional flow
- 0.39 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $147k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $557 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $147k).
- Recommended offer: $129k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 5.5% in Pearl — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#19 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Pearl Public School District (suburban): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #32 of 130 in MS (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 265 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 343 units permitted in Rankin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rankin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($129k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.24%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $157,019
- List price
- $147,000
- Delta
- -6.38%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1010 Riverwood Cv | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,377 (-2%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $163 | 65 |
| 100 Magnolia Way | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,354 (-3%) | 3mo | $229,900 | $170 | 63 |
| 210 Pine Park Dr | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,329 (-5%) | 4mo | $139,900 | $105 | 56 |
| 102 Magnolia Way | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,292 (-8%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $139 | 54 |
| 312 E Magnolia Pl | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,445 (+3%) | 1mo | $233,598 | $162 | 53 |
| 1905 Gloria Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,525 (+9%) | 2mo | $186,000 | $122 | 51 |
| 411 Poplar Blvd | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,289 (-8%) | 2mo | $181,600 | $141 | 50 |
| 742 Grandmont St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,264 (-10%) | 6mo | $160,000 | $127 | 48 |
| 2384 Harahan Rd | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,335 (-5%) | 2mo | $209,000 | $157 | 48 |
| 117 Oak Park Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,305 (-7%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $134 | 46 |
| 2372 Upper Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,242 (-11%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $129 | 42 |
| 201 Richard Cv | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,282 (-9%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $140 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.34% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $18,360
- Equity at exit
- $21,918
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.21×
- Total profit
- $91,131
- Equity at exit
- $12,710
Cash invested: $41,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39208
- Home prices YoY
- -20.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 265
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,930 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$771
- Tax from tax record
- −$135 /mo · $1,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$61
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$405
- Net cashflow
- $557
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,750
- Closing costs
- $4,410
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2144 Napoleon Ave Pearl, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $1,550 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 200 Colony Park Dr Pearl, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1152 | $1,790 | $1.55 | 14d | 18 | 0.25mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $147,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $147,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $147,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $147,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $147,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $147,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $147,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $147,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $147,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $147,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $147,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $147,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $147,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $147,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-02-11$147,000 Active 634-char remark
Show marketing remark (634 chars)
this home offers a convenient central location with quick access to shopping, dining, and major commuting routes throughout the Jackson-metro area. This property is a great opportunity for a homeowner or investor looking for a solid home in an established neighborhood. The layout offers comfortable living space with functional flow, making it easy to personalize and add value. Situated on a level lot, the property provides room for outdoor enjoyment and everyday convenience. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or a rental opportunity in a high-demand area of Pearl, 2069 Murry Drive is well positioned for both.
-
2018-04-03historical
-
2018-01-15$89,000
-
2005-05-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,625 · $135/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,625 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,159
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,234
- − Property taxes
- −$1,625
- − Insurance
- −$735
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,853
- − Management
- −$1,853
- − Depreciation
- −$4,276
- Taxable income
- $4,582
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,100
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,585/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pearl Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803520
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,525
- Composite
- 36.29/100
- National rank
- #4699
- State rank
- #32 of 130 in MS
Livability — Pearl
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #5662
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pearl, MS
- County
- Rankin County · 123,614 people
- City population
- 34,442
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,442
- Household income
- $65,480
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1235.0
Population outlook (Rankin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,317 people
- By 2030
- 171,013 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 182,723 · +11.2%
- By 2050
- 192,376 · +17.1%
- By 2075
- 209,535 · +27.5%
- By 2100
- 209,534 · +27.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rankin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.9% · R 73.0% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.4pp toward D · 2008: -53.5pp · 2024: -47.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.1 2020: R+45.4 2016: R+52.9 2012: R+51.9 2008: R+53.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.11%
- Current HPI
- 193.0609
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.34%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+65.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-11 Listed $147,000 MLSU
- 2018-04-03 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2018-01-15 Listed $89,000 MLSU
- 2005-05-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,625 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…