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2069 Murray Dr
B Composite 72.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$147,000

2069 Murray Dr · Pearl, MS 39208
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,402 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 127 Days on market
Built 1963 0.39 ac lot $105/sqft · 6% below area Est $157k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

this home offers a convenient central location with quick access to shopping, dining, and major commuting routes throughout the Jackson-metro area. This property is a great opportunity for a homeowner or investor looking for a solid home in an established neighborhood. The layout offers comfortable living space with functional flow, making it easy to personalize and add value. Situated on a level lot, the property provides room for outdoor enjoyment and everyday convenience. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or a rental opportunity in a high-demand area of Pearl, 2069 Murry Drive is well positioned for both.

Key facts

  • Central location
  • Functional flow
  • 0.39 acre lot

Tags

CENTRAL LOCATIONQUICK ACCESS TO SHOPPINGQUICK ACCESS TO DININGESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOODCOMFORTABLE LIVING SPACEFUNCTIONAL FLOW

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $147k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $557 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $147k).
  • Recommended offer: $129k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 5.5% in Pearl — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#19 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pearl Public School District (suburban): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #32 of 130 in MS (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 265 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 343 units permitted in Rankin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rankin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($129k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $129,360 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.84%
Cash-on-cash
16.24%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$157,019
List price
$147,000
Delta
-6.38%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1010 Riverwood Cv 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,377 (-2%) 1mo $225,000 $163 65
100 Magnolia Way 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,354 (-3%) 3mo $229,900 $170 63
210 Pine Park Dr 0.56mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,329 (-5%) 4mo $139,900 $105 56
102 Magnolia Way 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,292 (-8%) 5mo $180,000 $139 54
312 E Magnolia Pl 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,445 (+3%) 1mo $233,598 $162 53
1905 Gloria Dr 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,525 (+9%) 2mo $186,000 $122 51
411 Poplar Blvd 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,289 (-8%) 2mo $181,600 $141 50
742 Grandmont St 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,264 (-10%) 6mo $160,000 $127 48
2384 Harahan Rd 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,335 (-5%) 2mo $209,000 $157 48
117 Oak Park Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,305 (-7%) 4mo $175,000 $134 46
2372 Upper Dr 0.66mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,242 (-11%) 1mo $160,000 $129 42
201 Richard Cv 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,282 (-9%) 6mo $180,000 $140 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.9%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$18,360
Equity at exit
$21,918
10-year hold
IRR
22.4%
Equity multiple
3.21×
Total profit
$91,131
Equity at exit
$12,710

Cash invested: $41,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39208

Home prices YoY
-20.3%
Rents YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
265
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,930 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$771
Tax from tax record
$135 /mo · $1,625/yr
Insurance
$61
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$405
Net cashflow
$557

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,225
Max offer price $147,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,750
Closing costs
$4,410
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2144 Napoleon Ave Pearl, MS 3.0 2.0 1265 $1,550 $1.23 44d 1 0.21mi
200 Colony Park Dr Pearl, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1152 $1,790 $1.55 14d 18 0.25mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $147,000 Active 127 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $147,000 Active 126 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $147,000 Active 125 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $147,000 Active 124 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $147,000 Active 122 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $147,000 Active 119 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $147,000 Active 118 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $147,000 Active 117 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $147,000 Active 116 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $147,000 Active 112 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $147,000 Active 111 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $147,000 Active 110 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $147,000 Active 109 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $147,000 Active 108 DOM
  15. 2026-02-11
    listed $147,000 Active 634-char remark
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    this home offers a convenient central location with quick access to shopping, dining, and major commuting routes throughout the Jackson-metro area. This property is a great opportunity for a homeowner or investor looking for a solid home in an established neighborhood. The layout offers comfortable living space with functional flow, making it easy to personalize and add value. Situated on a level lot, the property provides room for outdoor enjoyment and everyday convenience. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or a rental opportunity in a high-demand area of Pearl, 2069 Murry Drive is well positioned for both.

  16. 2018-04-03
    historical
  17. 2018-01-15
    listed $89,000
  18. 2005-05-23
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,625 · $135/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,625 · $135/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,159
− Mortgage interest
−$8,234
− Property taxes
−$1,625
− Insurance
−$735
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,853
− Management
−$1,853
− Depreciation
−$4,276
Taxable income
$4,582
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,100
After-tax cash flow
$5,585/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pearl Public School District
NCES district ID
2803520
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$42,525
Composite
36.29/100
National rank
#4699
State rank
#32 of 130 in MS

Livability — Pearl

Score
73/100
State rank
#19
US rank
#5662

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pearl, MS
County
Rankin County · 123,614 people
City population
34,442
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
34,442
Household income
$65,480
Rent vs Own
35.3% rent · 64.7% own
Severe rent burden
1235.0

Population outlook (Rankin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,317 people
By 2030
171,013 · +4.1%
By 2040
182,723 · +11.2%
By 2050
192,376 · +17.1%
By 2075
209,535 · +27.5%
By 2100
209,534 · +27.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rankin

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.9% · R 73.0% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+6.4pp toward D · 2008: -53.5pp · 2024: -47.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.1 2020: R+45.4 2016: R+52.9 2012: R+51.9 2008: R+53.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.11%
Current HPI
193.0609
Rent YoY
▲ 6.34%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+65.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $147,000 MLSU
  • 2018-04-03 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2018-01-15 Listed $89,000 MLSU
  • 2005-05-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,625 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…