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16021 Tacoma St
F Composite 34.82
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,900

16021 Tacoma St · Detroit, MI 48205
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,687 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 126 Days on market
Built 1947 6,534 sqft lot Est $105k · 39% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come check out this 4 bedroom two bath house on the eastside of Detroit. This home offers a lot of space and is perfect for first time home buyers looking for a home for their family. Newly updated with a two car garage.

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1947

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two-story; Entry on ground level; Brick exterior
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 53 x 125 (0.15 acre)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Ground-level entry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $54 ($650/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (5.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Fisher Magnet Lower Academy (456 students, 93% FRL); Fisher Magnet Upper Academy (math 15% / reading 44%, grade F, #341 of 493 statewide, top 69%, 378 students, 93% FRL); Denby High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #481 of 713 statewide, top 81%, 537 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools at 91% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $145k implies a 1108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $127,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
6.74%
Cash-on-cash
1.60%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$104,594
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16286 E State Fair St 0.20mi 4/1.0 1,439 (-15%) 2mo $99,900 $69 63
15826 Coram St 0.30mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,546 (-8%) 5mo $127,500 $82 61
16200 Novara St 0.24mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,880 (+11%) 3mo $35,000 $19 60
18722 Woodside St 0.49mi 4/2.0 1,619 (-4%) 10mo $178,500 $110 60
15429 Fairmount Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,865 (+11%) 2mo $70,000 $38 55
19009 Woodland St 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,720 (+2%) 2mo $106,000 $62 54
18932 Washtenaw St 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,713 (+2%) 6mo $87,000 $51 54
16516 Collingham Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,590 (-6%) 10mo $120,000 $75 50
15211 Fairmount Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,500 (-11%) 1mo $70,000 $47 48
15666 Carlisle St 0.52mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,889 (+12%) 3mo $61,999 $33 46
18969 Woodside St 0.67mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,820 (+8%) 8mo $105,000 $58 42
15035 Carlisle St 0.75mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,906 (+13%) 7mo $143,500 $75 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.7%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-22,258
Equity at exit
$21,605
10-year hold
IRR
-10.4%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-23,782
Equity at exit
$12,528

Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48205

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
376
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,372 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$210 /mo · $2,517/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$54

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,304
Max offer price $144,900
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $136 -5% $95 +0% $54 +5% $13 +10% $-28
Rent -10% $-54 -5% $0 +0% $54 +5% $108 +10% $163
Rate -1.0pp $127 -0.5pp $91 base $54 +0.5pp $17 +1.0pp $-22

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,225
Closing costs
$4,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16242 Bringard Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,300 $0.96 6d 1 0.32mi
15604 Coram St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1210 $1,000 $0.83 45d 1 0.39mi
18530 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.5 1396 $1,375 $0.98 19d 1 0.49mi
15503 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1285 $1,100 $0.86 45d 1 0.50mi
15616 E 7 Mile Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,150 $1.00 19d 1 0.52mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 16d 1 0.96mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 45d 1 0.96mi
14504 Coram St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1203 $1,175 $0.98 26d 1 0.97mi
19435 McCormick St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1148 $1,300 $1.13 19d 1 1.01mi
14481 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 45d 1 1.03mi
11911 Lansdowne St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1350 $1,400 $1.04 45d 1 1.13mi
15238 Seymour St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,300 $1.22 0d 1 1.14mi
11689 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1142 $1,350 $1.18 45d 1 1.18mi
14134 Collingham Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,350 $1.04 45d 1 1.21mi
11620 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,200 $1.05 19d 1 1.21mi
22030 Cushing Ave Eastpointe, MI 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,650 $1.27 6d 1 1.34mi
11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,325 $1.25 19d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    days on market $144,900 Active 126 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $144,900 Active 125 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $144,900 Active 123 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $144,900 Active 122 DOM
  5. 2026-05-18
    status Active 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Come check out this 4 bedroom two bath house on the eastside of Detroit. This home offers a lot of space and is perfect for first time home buyers looking for a home for their family. Newly updated with a two car garage.

  6. 2026-05-18
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Come check out this 4 bedroom two bath house on the eastside of Detroit. This home offers a lot of space and is perfect for first time home buyers looking for a home for their family. Newly updated with a two car garage.

  7. 2026-04-28
    historical Accepting Backup Offers 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Come check out this 4 bedroom two bath house on the eastside of Detroit. This home offers a lot of space and is perfect for first time home buyers looking for a home for their family. Newly updated with a two car garage.

  8. 2026-04-28
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Come check out this 4 bedroom two bath house on the eastside of Detroit. This home offers a lot of space and is perfect for first time home buyers looking for a home for their family. Newly updated with a two car garage.

  9. 2026-03-22
    status Active 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Come check out this 4 bedroom two bath house on the eastside of Detroit. This home offers a lot of space and is perfect for first time home buyers looking for a home for their family. Newly updated with a two car garage.

  10. 2026-03-22
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Come check out this 4 bedroom two bath house on the eastside of Detroit. This home offers a lot of space and is perfect for first time home buyers looking for a home for their family. Newly updated with a two car garage.

  11. 2026-03-16
    status Pending 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Come check out this 4 bedroom two bath house on the eastside of Detroit. This home offers a lot of space and is perfect for first time home buyers looking for a home for their family. Newly updated with a two car garage.

  12. 2026-03-16
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Come check out this 4 bedroom two bath house on the eastside of Detroit. This home offers a lot of space and is perfect for first time home buyers looking for a home for their family. Newly updated with a two car garage.

  13. 2026-03-08
    price $149,900 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Come check out this 4 bedroom two bath house on the eastside of Detroit. This home offers a lot of space and is perfect for first time home buyers looking for a home for their family. Newly updated with a two car garage.

  14. 2026-03-08
    price $149,900
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Come check out this 4 bedroom two bath house on the eastside of Detroit. This home offers a lot of space and is perfect for first time home buyers looking for a home for their family. Newly updated with a two car garage.

  15. 2026-02-25
    price $154,900 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Come check out this 4 bedroom two bath house on the eastside of Detroit. This home offers a lot of space and is perfect for first time home buyers looking for a home for their family. Newly updated with a two car garage.

  16. 2026-02-25
    price $154,900
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Come check out this 4 bedroom two bath house on the eastside of Detroit. This home offers a lot of space and is perfect for first time home buyers looking for a home for their family. Newly updated with a two car garage.

  17. 2026-01-23
    listed $159,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Come check out this 4 bedroom two bath house on the eastside of Detroit. This home offers a lot of space and is perfect for first time home buyers looking for a home for their family. Newly updated with a two car garage.

  18. 2026-01-23
    listed $159,900 Active 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Come check out this 4 bedroom two bath house on the eastside of Detroit. This home offers a lot of space and is perfect for first time home buyers looking for a home for their family. Newly updated with a two car garage.

  19. 2020-05-22
    soldstatus $12,000 Sold 70-char remark
    Show marketing remark (70 chars)

    4 Bedroom Colonial being sold as part of package with 9903 Mark Twain.

  20. 2020-05-22
    soldstatus $12,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (70 chars)

    4 Bedroom Colonial being sold as part of package with 9903 Mark Twain.

  21. 2020-04-16
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (70 chars)

    4 Bedroom Colonial being sold as part of package with 9903 Mark Twain.

  22. 2020-04-16
    status Pending 70-char remark
    Show marketing remark (70 chars)

    4 Bedroom Colonial being sold as part of package with 9903 Mark Twain.

  23. 2020-04-08
    price $20,000
    Show marketing remark (70 chars)

    4 Bedroom Colonial being sold as part of package with 9903 Mark Twain.

  24. 2020-04-08
    price $20,000 70-char remark
    Show marketing remark (70 chars)

    4 Bedroom Colonial being sold as part of package with 9903 Mark Twain.

  25. 2020-02-11
    listed $25,000 Active 70-char remark
    Show marketing remark (70 chars)

    4 Bedroom Colonial being sold as part of package with 9903 Mark Twain.

  26. 2020-02-11
    listed $25,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (70 chars)

    4 Bedroom Colonial being sold as part of package with 9903 Mark Twain.

  27. 2019-02-02
    historical
  28. 2019-02-02
    historical
  29. 2018-10-20
    price $25,000
  30. 2018-10-18
    price $25,000
  31. 2018-09-10
    listed $30,000 Active
  32. 2018-09-10
    listed $30,000 Active
  33. 1996-12-09
    soldstatus $69,000
  34. 1996-11-22
    soldstatus $68,000
  35. 1996-09-24
    historical
  36. 1996-09-12
    listed $69,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,517 · $210/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,517 · $210/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,469
− Mortgage interest
−$8,117
− Property taxes
−$2,517
− Insurance
−$724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,318
− Management
−$1,318
− Depreciation
−$4,215
Taxable loss
−$1,740
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$418
After-tax cash flow
$1,068/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,187
Household income
$38,966
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
2121.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.80%
Current HPI
235.0926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.33%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+114.4% since first listed
32 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-28 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-22 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-22 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-16 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-08 Price Changed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-08 Price Changed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $154,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $154,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $159,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-05-22 Sold (MLS) $12,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-05-22 Sold (MLS) $12,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-04-16 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-04-16 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2020-04-08 Price Changed $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-04-08 Price Changed $20,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-02-11 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-02-11 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2019-02-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-02-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-10-20 Price Changed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-10-18 Price Changed $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-09-10 Listed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-09-10 Listed $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 1996-12-09 Sold (MLS) $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1996-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
  • 1996-09-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1996-09-12 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,517 · -37.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…