8149 Stillwell · Corpus Christi, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.6/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This could be the investment property you are looking for!!! Lots of square footage for the price. Needs TLC. This one will not last long!!!
Key facts
- Central ac
- Large lot
- New roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $89k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 3.9% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Tuloso-Midway ISD (urban): math 33% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #408 of 826 in TX (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Tuloso-Midway Int (math 35% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,514 of 4,322 statewide, top 36%, 890 students, 66% FRL); Tuloso-Midway Middle (math 33% / reading 44%, grade F, #704 of 1,662 statewide, top 43%, 801 students, 64% FRL); Tuloso-Midway H S (math 23% / reading 54%, grade F, #866 of 1,632 statewide, top 54%, 1,062 students, 57% FRL).
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
- Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 52.83%
- DSCR
- 3.35
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $199,000
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- -55.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1910 Cherokee St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,522 (+3%) | 4mo | $199,000 | $131 | 77 |
| 8125 Douglas Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,430 (-3%) | 6mo | $119,999 | $84 | 77 |
| 1633 Main Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,480 (+0%) | 19mo | $140,000 | $95 | 73 |
| 8121 Douglas Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-1%) | 16mo | $226,000 | $155 | 71 |
| 8145 Barrogate Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,292 (-12%) | 22mo | $230,000 | $178 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 58.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.26×
- Total profit
- $81,336
- Equity at exit
- $40,700
- IRR
- 57.6%
- Equity multiple
- 8.66×
- Total profit
- $190,981
- Equity at exit
- $63,259
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 0 active · 4 under contract
- Months of supply
- 0.0 mo
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78409
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,300 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$216 /mo · $2,593/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$483
- Net cashflow
- $1,097
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,147 | -5% $1,122 | +0% $1,097 | +5% $1,072 | +10% $1,047 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $915 | -5% $1,006 | +0% $1,097 | +5% $1,188 | +10% $1,279 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,142 | -0.5pp $1,120 | base $1,097 | +0.5pp $1,074 | +1.0pp $1,051 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1202 Main Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $2,300 | $1.35 | 0d | 1 | 0.76mi |
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking
- 2-car garage (covered)
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Single-story homePillar/post/pier foundationShingle roofWood siding exterior
- Construction
- Built with wood siding
- Exterior features
- Outdoor storage
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric ovenElectric range
- Flooring
- Hardwood flooringLaminate flooring
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning
- Interior features
- No notable built-in interior features listed
- Laundry & utility
- Dryer hookup
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $89,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-09-23days on market $89,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $89,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $89,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $89,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $89,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $89,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $89,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $89,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $89,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $89,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $89,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $89,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $89,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $89,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $89,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $89,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $89,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $89,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $89,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $89,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $89,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $89,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $89,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $89,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $89,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $89,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $89,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $89,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $89,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $89,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $89,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $89,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $89,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $89,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $89,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $89,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $89,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $89,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $89,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $89,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $89,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $89,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $89,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $89,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $89,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $89,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $89,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $89,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $89,000 Active 52 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,593 · $216/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,593 · $216/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$2,593
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,208
- − Management
- −$2,208
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $12,571
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,017
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,148/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This single-family home requires moderate exterior repairs and maintenance to improve its curb appeal and value. New roof and central AC/heat are in place.
Components & finishes AI
Deferred maintenance Est. $40,000–$120,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof) — Signs of significant wear and potential damage
- Major Windows (windows) — Visible damage and potential leaks
- Major Electrical (electrical) — Older style and visible wear
- Major Exterior (exterior) — Peeling paint and structural issues
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Significant peeling and wear
- Major exterior paint — Peeling and faded paint
- Major landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both prune landscaping — Neat landscaping improves curb appeal and value ↑
- Both repair and paint exterior siding — Fresh paint and repairs improve curb appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tuloso-Midway ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4843350
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,078
- Composite
- 34.33/100
- National rank
- #5235
- State rank
- #408 of 826 in TX
Livability — Corpus Christi
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #2404
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corpus Christi, TX
- County
- Nueces · 418,037 people
- City population
- 296,836
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,504
- Household income
- $62,813
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5% of renters
Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 418,037 people
- By 2030
- 447,123 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 505,911 · +21.0%
- By 2050
- 567,522 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 729,686 · +74.6%
- By 2100
- 847,087 · +102.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 73% Two or more races 43% White 25% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 70%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 39%
Political lean MEDSL · Nueces
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.14%
- Current HPI
- 164.8665
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+36.9% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $89,000 CBMLS
- 2023-01-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-04-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-04-06 Delisted — CBMLS
- 2017-04-05 Sold (MLS) — CBMLS
- 2017-03-20 Pending — CBMLS
- 2017-03-14 Price Changed $50,000 CBMLS
- 2016-11-29 Price Changed $55,000 CBMLS
- 2016-11-12 Listed $65,000 CBMLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,593 · +14.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…