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2715 Saint Xavier St
B+ Composite 76.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$122,500

2715 Saint Xavier St · Louisville, KY 40212
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily · 73 Days on market
Built 1999

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover a unique investment opportunity with two separate houses being sold together as a duplex. Unit A features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and 1 half bath, while Unit B offers 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath. This versatile property provides excellent potential for rental income, owner-occupancy, or multi-generational living. Property is boarded up and inaccessible—doors are sealed shut. No access will be granted until the property is under contract. Sold as-is. Don't miss your chance to add this promising investment property to your portfolio! Sellers preferred title is BCHH, Inc. Please allow 2 business days for response to your offer.

Key facts

  • Built 1999
  • Listed 73 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Portland subdivision
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking: No
  • Utilities: Utilities: None or other; Separate meters for units
  • Home design: Duplex; Built in 1999; Shingle roof; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof; Built in 1999
  • Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (2 on first level, 1 on second level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on first level)
  • Heating & cooling: Heating present
  • Interior features: No basement; Other architectural style

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $122k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $464 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $122k).
  • Recommended offer: $115k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
  • Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 141 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,625/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1148% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($847 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $115,150 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
10.84%
Cash-on-cash
16.24%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.1%
Equity multiple
3.69×
Total profit
$92,318
Equity at exit
$110,358
10-year hold
IRR
29.4%
Equity multiple
8.04×
Total profit
$241,357
Equity at exit
$237,991

Cash invested: $34,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40212

Home prices YoY
11.0%
Rents YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
141
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,625 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$642
Tax from tax record
$126 /mo · $1,514/yr
Insurance
$51
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$341
Net cashflow
$464

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,037
Max offer price $122,500
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $534 -5% $499 +0% $464 +5% $430 +10% $395
Rent -10% $336 -5% $400 +0% $464 +5% $528 +10% $593
Rate -1.0pp $526 -0.5pp $495 base $464 +0.5pp $432 +1.0pp $400

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,625
Closing costs
$3,675
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $122,500 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $122,500 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $122,500 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $122,500 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $122,500 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $122,500 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $122,500 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $122,500 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $122,500 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $122,500 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $122,500 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $122,500 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $122,500 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $122,500 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-05-17
    price $122,500
  16. 2026-04-09
    listed $129,900 Active
  17. 2026-03-31
    historical
  18. 2026-02-23
    price $129,900
  19. 2025-10-27
    price $139,200
  20. 2025-10-02
    price $149,900
  21. 2025-09-05
    price $159,900
  22. 2025-08-08
    price $169,900
  23. 2025-07-18
    price $175,000
  24. 2025-07-01
    listed $185,000 Active
  25. 2025-06-22
    historical
  26. 2025-05-16
    price $195,000
  27. 2025-02-27
    price $200,000
  28. 2025-01-30
    listed $230,000 Active
  29. 2022-09-15
    soldstatus $840,254
  30. 2022-01-07
    soldstatus $8,988,367
  31. 2020-12-21
    soldstatus $7,889,000
  32. 2016-11-22
    soldstatus $200,000
  33. 2016-11-18
    soldstatus $50,000 Closed
  34. 2016-05-19
    status Pending
  35. 2016-05-19
    listed $50,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,514 · $126/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,514 · $126/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,501
− Mortgage interest
−$6,862
− Property taxes
−$1,514
− Insurance
−$612
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,560
− Management
−$1,560
− Depreciation
−$3,564
Taxable income
$3,829
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$919
After-tax cash flow
$4,652/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
2102990
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,885
Composite
23.45/100
National rank
#7884
State rank
#121 of 165 in KY

Livability — Louisville

Score
63/100
State rank
#333
US rank
#15887

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Louisville, KY
County
Jefferson County · 790,184 people
City population
769,292
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
14,661
Household income
$35,753
Rent vs Own
51.3% rent · 48.7% own
Severe rent burden
1148.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
823,112 people
By 2030
849,343 · +3.2%
By 2040
895,696 · +8.8%
By 2050
933,630 · +13.4%
By 2075
1,028,262 · +24.9%
By 2100
1,072,675 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (60%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 60% White 37% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 29.02%
Current HPI
293.2624
Rent YoY
▲ 0.51%
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+145.0% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Price Changed $122,500 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $129,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $129,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-10-27 Price Changed $139,200 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-10-02 Price Changed $149,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-09-05 Price Changed $159,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-08-08 Price Changed $169,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-07-18 Price Changed $175,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-07-01 Listed $185,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-06-22 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-05-16 Price Changed $195,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-02-27 Price Changed $200,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-01-30 Listed $230,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2022-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $840,254 Public Records
  • 2022-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $8,988,367 Public Records
  • 2020-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $7,889,000 Public Records
  • 2016-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
  • 2016-11-18 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2016-05-19 Pending Metro Search MLS
  • 2016-05-19 Listed $50,000 Metro Search MLS

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,514 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…