🏷️ Likely Rental
518 Sunbird Sq · Sebring, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$43,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a comfortable and modern living space, with recent updates that enhance both style and functionality. Furniture is negotiable. The metal roof, installed in 2021, ensures durability and longevity. The property boasts a convenient 1-car carport added in the same year, providing sheltered parking. Step inside to discover new luxury vinyl planking that adds a touch of sophistication to the interior. The air conditioning unit, installed in 2020, ensures year-round comfort. The kitchen features a new microwave and upgraded laundry room cabinetry for added convenience. Outside, the front and side yard have been resodded, creating a fresh and inviting landscape. Enjoy the outdoors on the screened-in porch on the side of the home, leading to a workshop/shed for additional storage or workspace. With these thoughtful updates and amenities, this home is ready to welcome its new owners. The lot rent is $585/mth including Lawn mowing, garbage, and use of all the common areas such as the community pool, community center, shuffleboard, and dog park. Storage area for Trailers/Boats $30 per month & RVs $40 per month.
Key facts
- Metal roof installed
- Utility shed
- Move in ready
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land lease: $691
- HOA & community: Located in Thunderbird Hill park (land lease community)
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer / sewer available
- Home design: Manufactured home in park (double wide); Single-story; Palm Harbor model HS
- Construction: Frame construction with metal siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Enclosed, screened side porch; In-ground pool; Paved road access
Interior
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Vinyl flooring; 10 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath manufactured listed at $43k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $976 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $43k).
- Recommended offer: $38k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 33.5% vs local median 4.3% in Sebring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#618 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Highlands (other): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 700 active listings in the ZIP; 980 units permitted in Highlands County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $297 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (38%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 33.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 97.32%
- DSCR
- 5.33
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $167,648
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 Pine Tree Ln | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-8%) | 10mo | $169,000 | $135 | 63 |
| 206 Pine Tree Ln | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,476 (+9%) | 18mo | $118,000 | $80 | 58 |
| 101 Sunbird Pl | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,431 (+6%) | 22mo | $177,000 | $124 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 96.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.41×
- Total profit
- $53,084
- Equity at exit
- $6,411
- IRR
- 99.2%
- Equity multiple
- 10.78×
- Total profit
- $117,772
- Equity at exit
- $3,718
Cash invested: $12,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33872
- Home prices YoY
- -25.8%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 700
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,612 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$225
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$54 /mo · $645/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $976
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,750
- Closing costs
- $1,290
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
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2026-06-19days on market $43,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $43,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $43,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $43,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $43,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $43,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $43,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $43,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $43,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $43,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $43,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $43,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $43,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $43,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-05-20price $43,000
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2026-05-07price $49,000
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2026-04-20price $53,000
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2026-03-30price $59,112
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2026-02-14$69,000 Active
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2025-09-15price $75,000
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2025-06-21price $79,999
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2025-06-02price $82,000
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2025-05-19price $85,000
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2024-03-18soldstatus $99,000 Closed 1170-char remark
Show marketing remark (1170 chars)
This charming 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a comfortable and modern living space, with recent updates that enhance both style and functionality. Furniture is negotiable. The metal roof, installed in 2021, ensures durability and longevity. The property boasts a convenient 1-car carport added in the same year, providing sheltered parking. Step inside to discover new luxury vinyl planking that adds a touch of sophistication to the interior. The air conditioning unit, installed in 2020, ensures year-round comfort. The kitchen features a new microwave and upgraded laundry room cabinetry for added convenience. Outside, the front and side yard have been resodded, creating a fresh and inviting landscape. Enjoy the outdoors on the screened-in porch on the side of the home, leading to a workshop/shed for additional storage or workspace. With these thoughtful updates and amenities, this home is ready to welcome its new owners. The lot rent is $585/mth including Lawn mowing, garbage, and use of all the common areas such as the community pool, community center, shuffleboard, and dog park. Storage area for Trailers/Boats $30 per month & RVs $40 per month.
-
2024-03-03status Pending 1170-char remark
Show marketing remark (1170 chars)
This charming 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a comfortable and modern living space, with recent updates that enhance both style and functionality. Furniture is negotiable. The metal roof, installed in 2021, ensures durability and longevity. The property boasts a convenient 1-car carport added in the same year, providing sheltered parking. Step inside to discover new luxury vinyl planking that adds a touch of sophistication to the interior. The air conditioning unit, installed in 2020, ensures year-round comfort. The kitchen features a new microwave and upgraded laundry room cabinetry for added convenience. Outside, the front and side yard have been resodded, creating a fresh and inviting landscape. Enjoy the outdoors on the screened-in porch on the side of the home, leading to a workshop/shed for additional storage or workspace. With these thoughtful updates and amenities, this home is ready to welcome its new owners. The lot rent is $585/mth including Lawn mowing, garbage, and use of all the common areas such as the community pool, community center, shuffleboard, and dog park. Storage area for Trailers/Boats $30 per month & RVs $40 per month.
-
2024-02-14price $109,900 1170-char remark
Show marketing remark (1170 chars)
This charming 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a comfortable and modern living space, with recent updates that enhance both style and functionality. Furniture is negotiable. The metal roof, installed in 2021, ensures durability and longevity. The property boasts a convenient 1-car carport added in the same year, providing sheltered parking. Step inside to discover new luxury vinyl planking that adds a touch of sophistication to the interior. The air conditioning unit, installed in 2020, ensures year-round comfort. The kitchen features a new microwave and upgraded laundry room cabinetry for added convenience. Outside, the front and side yard have been resodded, creating a fresh and inviting landscape. Enjoy the outdoors on the screened-in porch on the side of the home, leading to a workshop/shed for additional storage or workspace. With these thoughtful updates and amenities, this home is ready to welcome its new owners. The lot rent is $585/mth including Lawn mowing, garbage, and use of all the common areas such as the community pool, community center, shuffleboard, and dog park. Storage area for Trailers/Boats $30 per month & RVs $40 per month.
-
2024-01-11price $121,000 1170-char remark
Show marketing remark (1170 chars)
This charming 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a comfortable and modern living space, with recent updates that enhance both style and functionality. Furniture is negotiable. The metal roof, installed in 2021, ensures durability and longevity. The property boasts a convenient 1-car carport added in the same year, providing sheltered parking. Step inside to discover new luxury vinyl planking that adds a touch of sophistication to the interior. The air conditioning unit, installed in 2020, ensures year-round comfort. The kitchen features a new microwave and upgraded laundry room cabinetry for added convenience. Outside, the front and side yard have been resodded, creating a fresh and inviting landscape. Enjoy the outdoors on the screened-in porch on the side of the home, leading to a workshop/shed for additional storage or workspace. With these thoughtful updates and amenities, this home is ready to welcome its new owners. The lot rent is $585/mth including Lawn mowing, garbage, and use of all the common areas such as the community pool, community center, shuffleboard, and dog park. Storage area for Trailers/Boats $30 per month & RVs $40 per month.
-
2023-11-15$139,900 Active 1170-char remark
Show marketing remark (1170 chars)
This charming 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a comfortable and modern living space, with recent updates that enhance both style and functionality. Furniture is negotiable. The metal roof, installed in 2021, ensures durability and longevity. The property boasts a convenient 1-car carport added in the same year, providing sheltered parking. Step inside to discover new luxury vinyl planking that adds a touch of sophistication to the interior. The air conditioning unit, installed in 2020, ensures year-round comfort. The kitchen features a new microwave and upgraded laundry room cabinetry for added convenience. Outside, the front and side yard have been resodded, creating a fresh and inviting landscape. Enjoy the outdoors on the screened-in porch on the side of the home, leading to a workshop/shed for additional storage or workspace. With these thoughtful updates and amenities, this home is ready to welcome its new owners. The lot rent is $585/mth including Lawn mowing, garbage, and use of all the common areas such as the community pool, community center, shuffleboard, and dog park. Storage area for Trailers/Boats $30 per month & RVs $40 per month.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,346
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,409
- − Property taxes
- −$645
- − Insurance
- −$215
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,548
- − Management
- −$1,548
- − Depreciation
- −$1,251
- Taxable income
- $11,731
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,815
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,902/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Highlands
- NCES district ID
- 1200840
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,276
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4672
- State rank
- #54 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sebring
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #618
- US rank
- #11992
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Highlands County · 98,898 people
- City population
- 50,797
- Metro
- Sebring-Avon Park, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,746
- Household income
- $69,578
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 222.0
Population outlook (Highlands County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 99,674 people
- By 2030
- 99,615 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 99,342 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 98,242 · -1.4%
- By 2075
- 93,291 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 79,894 · -19.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 5% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Russian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Highlands
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.8) · D 29.3% · R 70.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -40.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.8 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+32.0 2012: R+23.0 2008: R+18.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.20%
- Current HPI
- 225.3761
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.65%
- Metro
- Sebring-Avon Park, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-69.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $43,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $49,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $53,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $59,112 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-02-14 Listed $69,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-09-15 Price Changed $75,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-06-21 Price Changed $79,999 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-06-02 Price Changed $82,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-05-19 Price Changed $85,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-03-18 Sold (MLS) $99,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-03-03 Pending — HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-02-14 Price Changed $109,900 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-01-11 Price Changed $121,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2023-11-15 Listed $139,900 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…