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1703 State Route 502
A- Composite 81.4
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$129,875

1703 State Route 502 · Moscow, PA 18444
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,990 sqft · SingleFamily · 15 Days on market
Built 1960 0.56 ac lot ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious country home offering flexible living options and strong investment potential. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath property features 2 kitchens and 2 separate living areas, ideal for extended family or a mother-in-law setup. Previously configured as a duplex with 2 electric meters. Fixer-upper with great upside for investors. New oil furnace and recently pumped septic. Large lot, heated breezeway, and attached one-car garage complete the package.

Key facts

  • 2 kitchens
  • Mother-in-law setup
  • New oil furnace

Tags

2 KITCHENS2 SEPARATE LIVING AREASMOTHER-IN-LAW SETUPDUPLEX CONFIGURATIONNEW OIL FURNACERECENTLY PUMPED SEPTIC

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $639 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#298 in PA, #2,633 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • North Pocono SD (rural): math 45% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #82 of 539 in PA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 251 units permitted in Lackawanna County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lackawanna County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $130k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $127,926 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
12.20%
Cash-on-cash
21.09%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$409,940
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1703 State Route 502 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,990 (0%) 1mo $120,000 $60 99
144 Daleville Hwy 0.69mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,940 (-2%) 20mo $400,000 $206 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
40.1%
Equity multiple
4.07×
Total profit
$111,473
Equity at exit
$117,002
10-year hold
IRR
34.5%
Equity multiple
9.15×
Total profit
$296,313
Equity at exit
$252,319

Cash invested: $36,365 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18444

Home prices YoY
24.9%
Active inventory
95
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,945 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$408
Net cashflow
$639

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,136
Max offer price $129,875
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,469
Closing costs
$3,896
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-17
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-03
    status Pending
  4. 2026-03-25
    listed $129,875 Active
  5. 2017-02-15
    soldstatus $60,000
  6. 2013-04-27
    listed $145,900
  7. 2012-05-18
    listed $146,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,343
− Mortgage interest
−$7,275
− Property taxes
−$1,948
− Insurance
−$649
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,867
− Management
−$1,867
− Depreciation
−$3,778
Taxable income
$5,957
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,430
After-tax cash flow
$6,241/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Pocono SD
NCES district ID
4217310
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$59,555
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1894
State rank
#82 of 539 in PA

Livability — Moscow

Score
78/100
State rank
#298
US rank
#2633

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
13,681
Population (ZIP)
13,681

Population outlook (Lackawanna County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
210,652 people
By 2030
208,623 · -1.0%
By 2040
203,980 · -3.2%
By 2050
201,069 · -4.5%
By 2075
205,026 · -2.7%
By 2100
210,851 · +0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 16% Scotch-Irish 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lackawanna

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 48.3%
2008→2024 swing
-23.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.0pp · 2024: 2.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.8 2020: D+8.4 2016: D+3.4 2012: D+27.4 2008: D+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 85.51%
Current HPI
428.8661
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-04-17 Relisted GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-04-03 Pending GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $129,875 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2017-02-15 Sold (MLS) $60,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2013-04-27 Listed $145,900 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2012-05-18 Listed $146,900 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID

Property tax history

+37.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $51,752 · +2473.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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