7310 Ashford Pl #304 · Delray Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step into a nice 2 bedroom 2 bath bright condo with lake views. Unit has an updated kitchen, new hurricane windows, new washer and dryer plus freshly painted. Situated in a beautiful over 55 community not far from downtown. community offers a renovated clubhouse including an indoor pool, gym, tennis, sauna and so much more. Sorry No Saturday Showings.
Key facts
- Hurricane windows
- Lake views
- Renovated clubhouse
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $238 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.3% in Delray Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#202 in FL, #3,160 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-; Watch: cost of living C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 577 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $962 appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.27%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.69% appreciation · 0.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $9,461
- Equity at exit
- $45,526
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $27,482
- Equity at exit
- $58,783
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33446
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 577
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,788 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$241 /mo · $2,895/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$931
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$585
- Net cashflow
- $238
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7260 Kinghurst Dr #205 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $2,800 | $2.28 | 18d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 7310 Ashford Pl Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $2,700 | $2.20 | 18d | 2 | 0.14mi |
| 7310 Ashford Pl Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $3,200 | $2.60 | 15d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 7310 Ashford Pl Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $3,200 | $2.60 | 7d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 7301 Amberly Ln #304 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,495 | $1.38 | 7d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 7350 Kinghurst Dr Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $4,500 | $3.69 | 15d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 7350 Kinghurst Dr #305 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $4,500 | $3.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 7515 S Oriole Blvd Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,700 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 14509 Sloan Ridge Dr Unit 10-104 Luminosa Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1328 | $3,827 | $2.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 14828 Golden Jax Ln Unit 6-105 Radiance Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1321 | $4,148 | $3.14 | 16d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 14828 Golden Jax Ln Unit 8103 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1321 | $3,949 | $2.99 | 4d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 14828 Golden Jax Ln Unit 8-105 Radiance Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1321 | $3,948 | $2.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 14747 Cumberland Dr #301 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $1,900 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 14723 Cumberland Dr Unit 404 B Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,850 | $2.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 14895 Builtmore Way Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1103 | $1,800 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 14898 Wedgefield Dr #202 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1103 | $2,000 | $1.81 | 17d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 7286 Huntington Ln #105 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $3,350 | $3.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 14800 Cumberland Dr Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1321 | $4,048 | $3.06 | 5d | 4 | 0.32mi |
| 14856 Barletta Way Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $3,200 | $2.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 14896 Bal Moral Ln Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,200 | $2.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 7192 Huntington Ln #307 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $3,500 | $3.27 | 18d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 14534 Highland Center Way Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $3,400 | $2.58 | 7d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 14 Willowbrook Ln #101 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $1,700 | $1.69 | 5d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 14556 Wiley Range Rd Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $3,000 | $2.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 20 Abbey Ln #102 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $2,600 | $2.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 7607 Atlantic Ave Delray Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1086 | $3,494 | $3.22 | 2d | 6 | 0.46mi |
| 21 Abbey Ln #107 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,800 | $1.95 | 14d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 23 Abbey Ln #208 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,500 | $1.62 | 2d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 14624 Three Ponds Trl Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $3,250 | $2.30 | 17d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 7076 Huntington Ln #608 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $2,600 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 19 Abbey Ln #206 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,750 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 10 Willowbrook Ln #105 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,100 | $2.09 | 10d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 15035 Michelangelo Blvd #103 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1079 | $2,000 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 15015 Michelangelo Blvd #102 Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1238 | $2,499 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 15015 Michelangelo Blvd #102 Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1238 | $2,499 | $2.02 | 3d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 15055 Michelangelo Blvd Delray Beach, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1158 | $2,125 | $1.83 | 21d | 2 | 0.52mi |
| 14307 Bedford Dr #302 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $2,200 | $2.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 15065 Michelangelo Blvd #105 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1079 | $2,400 | $2.22 | 2d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 15065 Michelangelo Blvd #105 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1079 | $2,400 | $2.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 31 Abbey Ln #207 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,300 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $931 · $11,172/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 6 events
-
2025-10-23status Pending
-
2025-06-24$140,000 Active
-
2025-06-16historical
-
2025-05-12price $145,000
-
2025-03-27price $150,000
-
2025-03-20$169,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,895 · $241/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,895 · $241/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,454
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$2,895
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,676
- − Management
- −$2,676
- − HOA
- −$11,172
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $1,419
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$341
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,511/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Delray Beach
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #202
- US rank
- #3160
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 123,167
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,431
- Household income
- $80,187
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 494.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 9% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.69%
- Current HPI
- 242.5138
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.51%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-17.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-23 Pending — MARMLS
- 2025-06-24 Listed $140,000 MARMLS
- 2025-06-16 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-05-12 Price Changed $145,000 MARMLS
- 2025-03-27 Price Changed $150,000 MARMLS
- 2025-03-20 Listed $169,000 MARMLS
Property tax history
+9.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,895 · +416.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…