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1901 Mitchell Ave
B Composite 71.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

1901 Mitchell Ave · St. Joseph, MO 64507
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 768 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 245 Days on market
Built 1927 3,049 sqft lot $98/sqft · at area comps Est $120k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming Corner-Lot Gem! This 3-bed, 2-bath single-family home features a spacious fenced yard, basement garage, and a cozy covered back porch—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy meals in the formal dining room and the privacy of a quiet corner lot. Comfort, charm, and convenience all in one!

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • Fenced yard
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTFENCED YARDCOVERED BACK PORCHFORMAL DINING ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($919 rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 4.7% in St. Joseph — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Joseph (urban): math 28% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #241 of 324 in MO (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 70 units permitted in Buchanan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Buchanan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 245 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $66,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 245 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
10.55%
Cash-on-cash
15.21%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$120,059
List price
$75,000
Delta
-37.53%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1611 Seneca St 0.23mi 3/1.0 825 (+7%) 8mo $23,000 $28 67
1118 S 13th St 0.44mi 3/1.0 816 (+6%) 4mo $119,000 $146 62
2005 Penn St 0.12mi 2/1.0 (-1) 832 (+8%) 13mo $139,900 $168 61
717 S 17th St 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 716 (-7%) 3mo $114,500 $160 59
2003 S 17 St 0.47mi 3/2.0 829 (+8%) 16mo $125,000 $151 52
808 S 23rd St 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 850 (+11%) 8mo $75,000 $88 50
2605 Renick St 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 835 (+9%) 8mo $105,000 $126 50
2418 Angelique St 0.64mi 3/1.0 800 (+4%) 15mo $119,900 $150 46
1616 S 10th St 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 835 (+9%) 4mo $35,000 $42 44
1909 Doniphan Ave 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 880 (+15%) 12mo $129,900 $148 42
519 S 19th St 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 696 (-9%) 12mo $52,900 $76 41
2829 Penn St 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 850 (+11%) 2mo $144,900 $170 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.9%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$4,778
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
2.23×
Total profit
$25,901
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64507

Active inventory
95
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$919 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$35 /mo · $424/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$193
Net cashflow
$266

Break-even live

Break-even rent $582
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1300 S 11th St Apt 22 St Joseph, MO 2.0 1.0 866 $998 $1.15 43d 1 0.53mi
1106 Olive St Saint Joseph, MO 2.0 1.0 700 $725 $1.04 43d 1 0.57mi
303 S 13th St St Joseph, MO 3.0 1.5 1000 $950 $0.95 43d 1 0.77mi
2219 S 10th St Saint Joseph, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $900 $1.12 43d 1 0.83mi
201 S 10th St Saint Joseph, MO 2.0 1.0 600 $1,000 $1.67 43d 1 0.92mi
2408 Jules St Saint Joseph, MO 2.0 1.0 1032 $1,100 $1.07 43d 1 0.96mi
425 N 25th St St Joseph, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 43d 1 1.10mi
3128 Midland St Saint Joseph, MO 2.0 1.0 1104 $975 $0.88 43d 1 1.24mi
516 N 10th St Saint Joseph, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $900 $1.29 43d 1 1.25mi
917 N 24th St Unit 1 St Joseph, MO 2.0 1.0 933 $925 $0.99 43d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 308-char remark
    Show marketing remark (308 chars)

    Charming Corner-Lot Gem! This 3-bed, 2-bath single-family home features a spacious fenced yard, basement garage, and a cozy covered back porch—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy meals in the formal dining room and the privacy of a quiet corner lot. Comfort, charm, and convenience all in one!

  2. 2026-02-26
    price $75,000 308-char remark
    Show marketing remark (308 chars)

    Charming Corner-Lot Gem! This 3-bed, 2-bath single-family home features a spacious fenced yard, basement garage, and a cozy covered back porch—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy meals in the formal dining room and the privacy of a quiet corner lot. Comfort, charm, and convenience all in one!

  3. 2026-02-08
    status Active 308-char remark
    Show marketing remark (308 chars)

    Charming Corner-Lot Gem! This 3-bed, 2-bath single-family home features a spacious fenced yard, basement garage, and a cozy covered back porch—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy meals in the formal dining room and the privacy of a quiet corner lot. Comfort, charm, and convenience all in one!

  4. 2026-02-07
    historical 308-char remark
    Show marketing remark (308 chars)

    Charming Corner-Lot Gem! This 3-bed, 2-bath single-family home features a spacious fenced yard, basement garage, and a cozy covered back porch—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy meals in the formal dining room and the privacy of a quiet corner lot. Comfort, charm, and convenience all in one!

  5. 2025-11-23
    price $80,000 308-char remark
    Show marketing remark (308 chars)

    Charming Corner-Lot Gem! This 3-bed, 2-bath single-family home features a spacious fenced yard, basement garage, and a cozy covered back porch—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy meals in the formal dining room and the privacy of a quiet corner lot. Comfort, charm, and convenience all in one!

  6. 2025-10-22
    price $85,000 308-char remark
    Show marketing remark (308 chars)

    Charming Corner-Lot Gem! This 3-bed, 2-bath single-family home features a spacious fenced yard, basement garage, and a cozy covered back porch—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy meals in the formal dining room and the privacy of a quiet corner lot. Comfort, charm, and convenience all in one!

  7. 2025-09-08
    listed $90,000 Active 308-char remark
    Show marketing remark (308 chars)

    Charming Corner-Lot Gem! This 3-bed, 2-bath single-family home features a spacious fenced yard, basement garage, and a cozy covered back porch—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy meals in the formal dining room and the privacy of a quiet corner lot. Comfort, charm, and convenience all in one!

  8. 2021-04-16
    soldstatus
  9. 2020-06-11
    soldstatus Sold 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    Clean move-in ready 2 bedroom home sits on a corner lot. Home has spacious rooms, lots of storage, nice front porch, covered patio in back and yard is fenced with nice landscape. Kitchen stove and washer/dryer stay. Call soon to see.

  10. 2020-06-01
    status Pending 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    Clean move-in ready 2 bedroom home sits on a corner lot. Home has spacious rooms, lots of storage, nice front porch, covered patio in back and yard is fenced with nice landscape. Kitchen stove and washer/dryer stay. Call soon to see.

  11. 2020-05-26
    listed $44,900 Active 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    Clean move-in ready 2 bedroom home sits on a corner lot. Home has spacious rooms, lots of storage, nice front porch, covered patio in back and yard is fenced with nice landscape. Kitchen stove and washer/dryer stay. Call soon to see.

  12. 2014-06-20
    soldstatus
  13. 2014-06-17
    soldstatus
  14. 2013-10-16
    listed $39,900
  15. 2009-12-31
    soldstatus
  16. 1994-01-24
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$424 · $35/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$728 · $61/mo
Expected delta
+$304/yr (+$25/mo · 71.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,028
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$424
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$882
− Management
−$882
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$2,082
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$500
After-tax cash flow
$2,694/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Joseph
NCES district ID
2927060
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$43,007
Composite
27.99/100
National rank
#6853
State rank
#241 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Joseph

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Joseph, MO
City population
44,382
Population (ZIP)
14,159

Population outlook (Buchanan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
89,041 people
By 2030
88,401 · -0.7%
By 2040
86,220 · -3.2%
By 2050
83,603 · -6.1%
By 2075
76,750 · -13.8%
By 2100
67,623 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Buchanan

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.0) · D 35.2% · R 63.3% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.1pp · 2024: -28.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.0 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+8.7 2008: D+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -121.49%
Current HPI
165.1511
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+88.0% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $75,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-08 Relisted Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-07 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-23 Price Changed $80,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-22 Price Changed $85,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-08 Listed $90,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-06-11 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-06-01 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-05-26 Listed $44,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-06-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-06-17 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-10-16 Listed $39,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-12-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1994-01-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $424 · +6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…