1901 Mitchell Ave · St. Joseph, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming Corner-Lot Gem! This 3-bed, 2-bath single-family home features a spacious fenced yard, basement garage, and a cozy covered back porch—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy meals in the formal dining room and the privacy of a quiet corner lot. Comfort, charm, and convenience all in one!
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Fenced yard
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($919 rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 4.7% in St. Joseph — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Joseph (urban): math 28% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #241 of 324 in MO (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 70 units permitted in Buchanan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Buchanan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 245 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 245 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.21%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $120,059
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -37.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1611 Seneca St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 825 (+7%) | 8mo | $23,000 | $28 | 67 |
| 1118 S 13th St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 816 (+6%) | 4mo | $119,000 | $146 | 62 |
| 2005 Penn St | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 832 (+8%) | 13mo | $139,900 | $168 | 61 |
| 717 S 17th St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 716 (-7%) | 3mo | $114,500 | $160 | 59 |
| 2003 S 17 St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 829 (+8%) | 16mo | $125,000 | $151 | 52 |
| 808 S 23rd St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 850 (+11%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $88 | 50 |
| 2605 Renick St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 835 (+9%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $126 | 50 |
| 2418 Angelique St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 800 (+4%) | 15mo | $119,900 | $150 | 46 |
| 1616 S 10th St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 835 (+9%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $42 | 44 |
| 1909 Doniphan Ave | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 880 (+15%) | 12mo | $129,900 | $148 | 42 |
| 519 S 19th St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 696 (-9%) | 12mo | $52,900 | $76 | 41 |
| 2829 Penn St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 850 (+11%) | 2mo | $144,900 | $170 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $4,778
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.23×
- Total profit
- $25,901
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64507
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $919 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$35 /mo · $424/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$193
- Net cashflow
- $266
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1300 S 11th St Apt 22 St Joseph, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 866 | $998 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1106 Olive St Saint Joseph, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $725 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 303 S 13th St St Joseph, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2219 S 10th St Saint Joseph, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 201 S 10th St Saint Joseph, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,000 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2408 Jules St Saint Joseph, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 425 N 25th St St Joseph, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3128 Midland St Saint Joseph, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $975 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 516 N 10th St Saint Joseph, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 917 N 24th St Unit 1 St Joseph, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 933 | $925 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 308-char remark
Show marketing remark (308 chars)
Charming Corner-Lot Gem! This 3-bed, 2-bath single-family home features a spacious fenced yard, basement garage, and a cozy covered back porch—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy meals in the formal dining room and the privacy of a quiet corner lot. Comfort, charm, and convenience all in one!
-
2026-02-26price $75,000 308-char remark
Show marketing remark (308 chars)
Charming Corner-Lot Gem! This 3-bed, 2-bath single-family home features a spacious fenced yard, basement garage, and a cozy covered back porch—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy meals in the formal dining room and the privacy of a quiet corner lot. Comfort, charm, and convenience all in one!
-
2026-02-08status Active 308-char remark
Show marketing remark (308 chars)
Charming Corner-Lot Gem! This 3-bed, 2-bath single-family home features a spacious fenced yard, basement garage, and a cozy covered back porch—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy meals in the formal dining room and the privacy of a quiet corner lot. Comfort, charm, and convenience all in one!
-
2026-02-07historical 308-char remark
Show marketing remark (308 chars)
Charming Corner-Lot Gem! This 3-bed, 2-bath single-family home features a spacious fenced yard, basement garage, and a cozy covered back porch—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy meals in the formal dining room and the privacy of a quiet corner lot. Comfort, charm, and convenience all in one!
-
2025-11-23price $80,000 308-char remark
Show marketing remark (308 chars)
Charming Corner-Lot Gem! This 3-bed, 2-bath single-family home features a spacious fenced yard, basement garage, and a cozy covered back porch—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy meals in the formal dining room and the privacy of a quiet corner lot. Comfort, charm, and convenience all in one!
-
2025-10-22price $85,000 308-char remark
Show marketing remark (308 chars)
Charming Corner-Lot Gem! This 3-bed, 2-bath single-family home features a spacious fenced yard, basement garage, and a cozy covered back porch—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy meals in the formal dining room and the privacy of a quiet corner lot. Comfort, charm, and convenience all in one!
-
2025-09-08$90,000 Active 308-char remark
Show marketing remark (308 chars)
Charming Corner-Lot Gem! This 3-bed, 2-bath single-family home features a spacious fenced yard, basement garage, and a cozy covered back porch—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy meals in the formal dining room and the privacy of a quiet corner lot. Comfort, charm, and convenience all in one!
-
2021-04-16soldstatus
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2020-06-11soldstatus Sold 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Clean move-in ready 2 bedroom home sits on a corner lot. Home has spacious rooms, lots of storage, nice front porch, covered patio in back and yard is fenced with nice landscape. Kitchen stove and washer/dryer stay. Call soon to see.
-
2020-06-01status Pending 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Clean move-in ready 2 bedroom home sits on a corner lot. Home has spacious rooms, lots of storage, nice front porch, covered patio in back and yard is fenced with nice landscape. Kitchen stove and washer/dryer stay. Call soon to see.
-
2020-05-26$44,900 Active 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Clean move-in ready 2 bedroom home sits on a corner lot. Home has spacious rooms, lots of storage, nice front porch, covered patio in back and yard is fenced with nice landscape. Kitchen stove and washer/dryer stay. Call soon to see.
-
2014-06-20soldstatus
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2014-06-17soldstatus
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2013-10-16$39,900
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2009-12-31soldstatus
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1994-01-24soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $424 · $35/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $728 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- +$304/yr (+$25/mo · 71.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,028
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$424
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$882
- − Management
- −$882
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $2,082
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$500
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,694/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Joseph
- NCES district ID
- 2927060
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,007
- Composite
- 27.99/100
- National rank
- #6853
- State rank
- #241 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Joseph
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Joseph, MO
- City population
- 44,382
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,159
Population outlook (Buchanan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 89,041 people
- By 2030
- 88,401 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 86,220 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 83,603 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 76,750 · -13.8%
- By 2100
- 67,623 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Buchanan
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.0) · D 35.2% · R 63.3% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.1pp · 2024: -28.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.0 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+8.7 2008: D+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.49%
- Current HPI
- 165.1511
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+88.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $75,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-08 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-07 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-23 Price Changed $80,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-22 Price Changed $85,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-08 Listed $90,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-06-11 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-06-01 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-05-26 Listed $44,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-06-17 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-10-16 Listed $39,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-12-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1994-01-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $424 · +6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…