1054 Stirewalt Rd · China Grove, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Perfect opportunity for an owner-occupant or investor! This single-wide mobile home sits on a quiet, private lot just minutes from I-85, offering the best of country living with convenient access to nearby areas. Located only 15 minutes from Mooresville and 5 minutes from the charming town of China Grove. The property features a large wooded lot and includes two spacious outbuildings, providing ample storage or workshop potential.
Key facts
- Private lot
- Large wooded lot
- 0.67 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking
- Utilities: Well water; Septic system installed
- Home design: Manufactured singlewide residence; Single-story home; Residential zoning (RA)
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Metal construction materials
- Exterior features: Gravel road access; Publicly maintained road; Outbuilding on the property
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 5 total rooms; Crawl space foundation
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in hall
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $375 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 3.7% in China Grove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#48 in NC, #4,086 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Rowan-Salisbury Schools (rural): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #142 of 178 in NC (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 592 units permitted in Rowan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rowan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.15%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $7,707
- Equity at exit
- $14,836
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $37,267
- Equity at exit
- $8,603
Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28023
- Home prices YoY
- -17.1%
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,211 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$522
- Tax from tax record
- −$18 /mo · $219/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $375
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $431 | -5% $403 | +0% $375 | +5% $347 | +10% $319 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $279 | -5% $327 | +0% $375 | +5% $423 | +10% $471 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $425 | -0.5pp $400 | base $375 | +0.5pp $349 | +1.0pp $323 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,875
- Closing costs
- $2,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending
-
2026-05-01$99,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $219 · $18/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $816 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$597/yr (+$50/mo · 272.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,528
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,574
- − Property taxes
- −$219
- − Insurance
- −$498
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,162
- − Management
- −$1,162
- − Depreciation
- −$2,895
- Taxable income
- $3,019
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$724
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,774/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rowan-Salisbury Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3704050
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,953
- Composite
- 26.01/100
- National rank
- #7317
- State rank
- #142 of 178 in NC
Livability — China Grove
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #48
- US rank
- #4086
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Rowan County · 103,630 people
- City population
- 15,495
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,495
- Household income
- $62,257
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 353.0
Population outlook (Rowan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 140,430 people
- By 2030
- 140,193 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 137,617 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 131,826 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 115,123 · -18.0%
- By 2100
- 92,774 · -33.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 15%
Political lean MEDSL · Rowan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.6% · R 67.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.1pp toward R · 2008: -22.8pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+35.7 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+26.0 2008: R+22.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.71%
- Current HPI
- 295.2376
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $99,500 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-1.8%/yrLatest (2018): $219 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…