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1054 Stirewalt Rd
B- Composite 66.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,500

1054 Stirewalt Rd · China Grove, NC 28023
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 0 sqft · Other public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1983 0.67 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Perfect opportunity for an owner-occupant or investor! This single-wide mobile home sits on a quiet, private lot just minutes from I-85, offering the best of country living with convenient access to nearby areas. Located only 15 minutes from Mooresville and 5 minutes from the charming town of China Grove. The property features a large wooded lot and includes two spacious outbuildings, providing ample storage or workshop potential.

Key facts

  • Private lot
  • Large wooded lot
  • 0.67 acre lot

Tags

PRIVATE LOTLARGE WOODED LOTTWO SPACIOUS OUTBUILDINGS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic system installed
  • Home design: Manufactured singlewide residence; Single-story home; Residential zoning (RA)
  • Construction: Manufactured construction; Metal construction materials
  • Exterior features: Gravel road access; Publicly maintained road; Outbuilding on the property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 5 total rooms; Crawl space foundation
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in hall

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $375 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 3.7% in China Grove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#48 in NC, #4,086 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rowan-Salisbury Schools (rural): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #142 of 178 in NC (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 592 units permitted in Rowan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rowan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $98,007 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
10.81%
Cash-on-cash
16.15%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$7,707
Equity at exit
$14,836
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$37,267
Equity at exit
$8,603

Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28023

Home prices YoY
-17.1%
Active inventory
110
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,211 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$522
Tax from tax record
$18 /mo · $219/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$375

Break-even live

Break-even rent $736
Max offer price $99,500
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $431 -5% $403 +0% $375 +5% $347 +10% $319
Rent -10% $279 -5% $327 +0% $375 +5% $423 +10% $471
Rate -1.0pp $425 -0.5pp $400 base $375 +0.5pp $349 +1.0pp $323

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,875
Closing costs
$2,985
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $99,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$219 · $18/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$816 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$597/yr (+$50/mo · 272.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,528
− Mortgage interest
−$5,574
− Property taxes
−$219
− Insurance
−$498
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,162
− Management
−$1,162
− Depreciation
−$2,895
Taxable income
$3,019
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$724
After-tax cash flow
$3,774/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rowan-Salisbury Schools
NCES district ID
3704050
Math proficiency
26% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$43,953
Composite
26.01/100
National rank
#7317
State rank
#142 of 178 in NC

Livability — China Grove

Score
75/100
State rank
#48
US rank
#4086

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Rowan County · 103,630 people
City population
15,495
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
Population (ZIP)
15,495
Household income
$62,257
Rent vs Own
19.1% rent · 80.9% own
Severe rent burden
353.0

Population outlook (Rowan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
140,430 people
By 2030
140,193 · -0.2%
By 2040
137,617 · -2.0%
By 2050
131,826 · -6.1%
By 2075
115,123 · -18.0%
By 2100
92,774 · -33.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 15%

Political lean MEDSL · Rowan

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.6% · R 67.5%
2008→2024 swing
-13.1pp toward R · 2008: -22.8pp · 2024: -35.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.9 2020: R+35.7 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+26.0 2008: R+22.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.71%
Current HPI
295.2376
Rent YoY
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $99,500 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-1.8%/yr

Latest (2018): $219 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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