1717 N Bayshore Dr Unit A-3042 · Miami, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Appreciation +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$435,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Experience Miami living at The Grand in this spacious 1-bed, 1.5-bath condo showcasing sweeping city and bay views from an expansive balcony. Enjoy resort-style amenities including a pool, state-of-the-art fitness center, on-site dining and shopping, and 24-hour concierge and security. Perfectly situated in the vibrant Arts & Entertainment District, you’re moments from world-class museums, theaters, and sports arenas. Ideal as a primary residence or investment: the building permits 30-day rentals up to 12 times per year, 1 parking space included.
Key facts
- On-site dining
- Expansive balcony
- On-site shopping
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Bayfront waterfront with views
- Financial info: Pets allowed with restrictions or possible restrictions (conditional)
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association includes amenities, sewer, trash and water; Building amenities: fitness center, pool, sauna, spa/hot tub
Exterior
- Parking: Attached covered garage with 1 space
- Security: Secured lobby; Fire sprinkler system
- Utilities: Water and sewer included in association; Power: electric
- Home design: Condominium (attached property); Faces south; Entry on level 30; Total of 42 stories
- Construction: Block construction
- Exterior features: Balcony (open); Association pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom located on the main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Blinds and drapes on windows; French doors; Bidet; Bedroom on main level; Living/dining room; Custom mirrors; Separate shower
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $435k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-779 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $322k (25.9% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $435k).
- Recommended offer: $322k (25.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 882 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,417/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($109k/yr) (locally 2260% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.5%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 285 days — a 12% lower offer ($383k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 285 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.47%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.52% appreciation · 0.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.01×
- Total profit
- $-120,414
- Equity at exit
- $74,098
- IRR
- -36.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.61×
- Total profit
- $-196,322
- Equity at exit
- $53,673
Cash invested: $121,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33132
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 882
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,417 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,281
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$544 /mo · $6,525/yr
- Insurance
- −$181
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$836
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$928
- Net cashflow
- $-779
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-479 | -5% $-629 | +0% $-779 | +5% $-930 | +10% $-1,080 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,128 | -5% $-954 | +0% $-779 | +5% $-605 | +10% $-430 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-560 | -0.5pp $-669 | base $-779 | +0.5pp $-892 | +1.0pp $-1,007 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $108,750
- Closing costs
- $13,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 601 NE 1st Ave Unit 1227496P Miami, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 904 | $8,354 | $9.24 | 0d | 4 | 0.80mi |
| 2900 Biscayne Blvd Miami, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1260 | $8,110 | $6.44 | 3d | 13 | 0.96mi |
| 555 NE 34th St Miami, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.5–4.0 | 2653 | $3,771 | $1.42 | 0d | 19 | 1.26mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $836 · $10,032/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgymdoormansecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $435,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $435,000 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $435,000 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $435,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $435,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $435,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $480,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $480,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $480,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $480,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $480,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $480,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $480,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $480,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $480,000
-
2025-09-09$495,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $53,005
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,367
- − Property taxes
- −$6,525
- − Insurance
- −$7,294
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,240
- − Management
- −$4,240
- − HOA
- −$10,032
- − Depreciation
- −$12,655
- Taxable loss
- −$16,347
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,923
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,427/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Miami
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #177
- US rank
- #2724
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Miami, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 827,308
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,253
- Household income
- $109,109
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2260.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 53% Two or more races 39% White 29% Black 7% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 9% Dominican 2% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Estonian 2% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 50% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 35% English-only · Spanish 49% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.52%
- Current HPI
- 294.3744
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.74%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-3.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $480,000 MARMLS
- 2025-09-09 Listed $495,000 MARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…