414 Bryan St · Fayetteville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$62,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is a great opportunity 2 bed 1 bath, to do a Rehab property and needs a complete renovation. This is being sold as is with no Repairs. Seller has never lived in the home. Please be careful showing interior and cosmetic repairs. Lots of potential for the repair specialist, cash only with proof of funds letter
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 6 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing broker: COLDWELL BANKER ADVANTAGE - FAYETTEVILLE
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential property; Level lot; Interior lot; Paved road access; Subdivision: HAYMOUNT
- Construction: Shingle siding
- Exterior features: Covered front porch
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 5 total rooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating listed; Ceiling fan cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Wood-burning fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed; Crawl space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $62k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $505 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
- Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 4.9% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Vanstory Hills Elementary (math 46% / reading 50%, grade D, #477 of 1,410 statewide, top 35%, 469 students, 99% FRL); R Max Abbott Middle (math 31% / reading 45%, grade F, #251 of 475 statewide, top 54%, 759 students, 99% FRL); Terry Sanford High (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #306 of 535 statewide, top 57%, 1,224 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 55% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $429 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.88%
- DSCR
- 2.55
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $159,280
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 722 Commerce St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 875 (-1%) | 3mo | $84,000 | $96 | 79 |
| 308 Highland Ave | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 939 (+7%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $197 | 76 |
| 1124 Chesterfield Dr | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 905 (+3%) | 8mo | $159,900 | $177 | 73 |
| 936 Fleetwood Dr | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 904 (+3%) | 7mo | $152,500 | $169 | 67 |
| 1203 Simpson St | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 984 (+12%) | 9mo | $178,500 | $181 | 64 |
| 925 Rochester Dr | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 933 (+6%) | 9mo | $172,000 | $184 | 61 |
| 922 Rochester Dr | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 910 (+3%) | 20mo | $146,000 | $160 | 58 |
| 112 Spring St | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 918 (+4%) | 14mo | $181,000 | $197 | 54 |
| 211 Devane St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 859 (-2%) | 19mo | $210,000 | $244 | 50 |
| 1534 Pierce St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 800 (-9%) | 14mo | $107,000 | $134 | 41 |
| 932 Weiss Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 993 (+13%) | 19mo | $153,000 | $154 | 36 |
| 731 Athens Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 992 (+13%) | 20mo | $190,000 | $192 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $23,389
- Equity at exit
- $9,244
- IRR
- 39.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.87×
- Total profit
- $67,170
- Equity at exit
- $5,361
Cash invested: $17,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28305
- Home prices YoY
- -28.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,277 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$325
- Tax from tax record
- −$153 /mo · $1,837/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $505
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $540 | -5% $522 | +0% $505 | +5% $487 | +10% $469 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $404 | -5% $454 | +0% $505 | +5% $555 | +10% $605 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $536 | -0.5pp $520 | base $505 | +0.5pp $489 | +1.0pp $472 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,500
- Closing costs
- $1,860
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1122 Morgan St Apt E Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 654 | $995 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1106 Clark St Unit A Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $975 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 421 Cityview Ln Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1050 | $1,700 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 452 Cityview Ln Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1088 | $1,200 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 314 Bradford Ave Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,380 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 718 Dwain Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1100 Clarendon St #402 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,400 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1108 Norwood St Unit A Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 856 | $1,025 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1021 W Rowan St Unit H Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 930 | $850 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 211 Ellington St Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,395 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 450 Hay St Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 799 | $1,745 | $2.18 | 14d | 3 | 0.86mi |
| 620 Forest Rd Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $975 | $0.97 | 24d | 2 | 0.91mi |
| 159 Maxwell St Unit 200 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1918 Millan Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,099 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1347 Levy Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 999 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 469 McBain Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,000 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 479 McBain Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,200 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 536 Pearl St Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1101 | $1,349 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 600 Glenville Ave Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1105 | $1,295 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2109 Elvira St Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,117 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 326 Hawley Ln Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 786 | $1,300 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-18$62,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,837 · $153/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,837 · $153/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,321
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,473
- − Property taxes
- −$1,837
- − Insurance
- −$310
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,226
- − Management
- −$1,226
- − Depreciation
- −$1,804
- Taxable income
- $5,446
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,307
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,748/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cumberland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700011
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,168
- Composite
- 31.0/100
- National rank
- #6096
- State rank
- #126 of 178 in NC
Livability — Fayetteville
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #4031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fayetteville, NC
- County
- Cumberland County · 265,314 people
- City population
- 226,118
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,710
- Household income
- $78,148
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 344.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 330,855 people
- By 2030
- 333,523 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 335,583 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 335,325 · +1.4%
- By 2075
- 342,853 · +3.6%
- By 2100
- 340,698 · +3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Serbian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 7% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.32%
- Current HPI
- 227.8969
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $62,000 LPRMLS
Property tax history
+11.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,837 · +211.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…