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414 Bryan St
B Composite 70.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$62,000

414 Bryan St · Fayetteville, NC 28305
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 880 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1930 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This is a great opportunity 2 bed 1 bath, to do a Rehab property and needs a complete renovation. This is being sold as is with no Repairs. Seller has never lived in the home. Please be careful showing interior and cosmetic repairs. Lots of potential for the repair specialist, cash only with proof of funds letter

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing broker: COLDWELL BANKER ADVANTAGE - FAYETTEVILLE

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential property; Level lot; Interior lot; Paved road access; Subdivision: HAYMOUNT
  • Construction: Shingle siding
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating listed; Ceiling fan cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Wood-burning fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed; Crawl space

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $62k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $505 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
  • Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 4.9% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Vanstory Hills Elementary (math 46% / reading 50%, grade D, #477 of 1,410 statewide, top 35%, 469 students, 99% FRL); R Max Abbott Middle (math 31% / reading 45%, grade F, #251 of 475 statewide, top 54%, 759 students, 99% FRL); Terry Sanford High (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #306 of 535 statewide, top 57%, 1,224 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 55% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $429 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $62,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.06%
Cap rate
16.06%
Cash-on-cash
34.88%
DSCR
2.55
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$159,280
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
722 Commerce St 0.37mi 3/1.0 875 (-1%) 3mo $84,000 $96 79
308 Highland Ave 0.14mi 2/1.0 (-1) 939 (+7%) 1mo $185,000 $197 76
1124 Chesterfield Dr 0.34mi 3/1.0 905 (+3%) 8mo $159,900 $177 73
936 Fleetwood Dr 0.49mi 3/1.0 904 (+3%) 7mo $152,500 $169 67
1203 Simpson St 0.08mi 2/1.0 (-1) 984 (+12%) 9mo $178,500 $181 64
925 Rochester Dr 0.46mi 3/1.0 933 (+6%) 9mo $172,000 $184 61
922 Rochester Dr 0.42mi 3/1.0 910 (+3%) 20mo $146,000 $160 58
112 Spring St 0.39mi 2/2.0 (-1) 918 (+4%) 14mo $181,000 $197 54
211 Devane St 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 859 (-2%) 19mo $210,000 $244 50
1534 Pierce St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (-9%) 14mo $107,000 $134 41
932 Weiss Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 993 (+13%) 19mo $153,000 $154 36
731 Athens Ave 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 992 (+13%) 20mo $190,000 $192 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.6%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$23,389
Equity at exit
$9,244
10-year hold
IRR
39.3%
Equity multiple
4.87×
Total profit
$67,170
Equity at exit
$5,361

Cash invested: $17,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28305

Home prices YoY
-28.4%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,277 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$325
Tax from tax record
$153 /mo · $1,837/yr
Insurance
$26
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$505

Break-even live

Break-even rent $638
Max offer price $62,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $540 -5% $522 +0% $505 +5% $487 +10% $469
Rent -10% $404 -5% $454 +0% $505 +5% $555 +10% $605
Rate -1.0pp $536 -0.5pp $520 base $505 +0.5pp $489 +1.0pp $472

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,500
Closing costs
$1,860
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1122 Morgan St Apt E Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 654 $995 $1.52 24d 1 0.09mi
1106 Clark St Unit A Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 825 $975 $1.18 24d 1 0.16mi
421 Cityview Ln Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.5 1050 $1,700 $1.62 24d 1 0.27mi
452 Cityview Ln Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.5 1088 $1,200 $1.10 24d 1 0.28mi
314 Bradford Ave Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,380 $1.38 24d 1 0.30mi
718 Dwain Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 962 $1,250 $1.30 24d 1 0.36mi
1100 Clarendon St #402 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1073 $1,400 $1.30 21d 1 0.41mi
1108 Norwood St Unit A Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 856 $1,025 $1.20 24d 1 0.51mi
1021 W Rowan St Unit H Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 930 $850 $0.91 24d 1 0.61mi
211 Ellington St Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 1050 $1,395 $1.33 24d 1 0.67mi
450 Hay St Fayetteville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 799 $1,745 $2.18 14d 3 0.86mi
620 Forest Rd Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1000 $975 $0.97 24d 2 0.91mi
159 Maxwell St Unit 200 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 24d 1 0.93mi
1918 Millan Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 720 $1,099 $1.53 24d 1 1.04mi
1347 Levy Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 999 $1,000 $1.00 24d 1 1.15mi
469 McBain Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 858 $1,000 $1.17 24d 1 1.15mi
479 McBain Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 858 $1,200 $1.40 24d 1 1.17mi
536 Pearl St Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1101 $1,349 $1.23 14d 1 1.19mi
600 Glenville Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 1105 $1,295 $1.17 14d 1 1.28mi
2109 Elvira St Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 860 $1,117 $1.30 14d 1 1.43mi
326 Hawley Ln Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 786 $1,300 $1.65 24d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    listed $62,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,837 · $153/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,837 · $153/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,321
− Mortgage interest
−$3,473
− Property taxes
−$1,837
− Insurance
−$310
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,226
− Management
−$1,226
− Depreciation
−$1,804
Taxable income
$5,446
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,307
After-tax cash flow
$4,748/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Fayetteville

Score
75/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#4031

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fayetteville, NC
County
Cumberland County · 265,314 people
City population
226,118
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
5,710
Household income
$78,148
Rent vs Own
43.0% rent · 57.0% own
Severe rent burden
344.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Serbian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 7% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -90.32%
Current HPI
227.8969
Rent YoY
▲ 3.95%
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $62,000 LPRMLS

Property tax history

+11.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,837 · +211.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…