48-50 44th St Unit 3E · New York, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sort After Celtic Park, Cozy 1 Bedroom Walk In Closet. Efficiency Kitchen All Utilities Are Included In Maintenance. Parking Available On A Waiting List, Storage Available On A Waiting List. 4 Block Walk To #7 Subway - 15 Minutes To Grand Central Station. Excellent Location., Additional information: Business Located At:,Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Rental Income:
Key facts
- Built 1931
- Listed 21 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: No carport; Parking: Waitlist
- Utilities: Electric: Con-Edison; Public sewer; Utilities: See remarks
- Home design: Stock cooperative; One level; Entry level: 3
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: 3 rooms total (includes bedroom(s))
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Steam heat; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: High ceilings; Bicycle room; Outdoor space
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $299k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $917 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $299k).
- Recommended offer: $295k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 349 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,777/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 5474% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $190k; list at $299k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.15%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $22,137
- Equity at exit
- $44,582
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.76×
- Total profit
- $147,672
- Equity at exit
- $25,852
Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11377
- Home prices YoY
- -28.8%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 349
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,777 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,568
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$374 /mo · $4,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$793
- Net cashflow
- $917
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,124 | -5% $1,021 | +0% $917 | +5% $814 | +10% $711 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $619 | -5% $768 | +0% $917 | +5% $1,067 | +10% $1,216 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,068 | -0.5pp $993 | base $917 | +0.5pp $840 | +1.0pp $761 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,750
- Closing costs
- $8,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34-35 44th St Astoria, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 613 | $3,576 | $5.83 | 2d | 26 | 1.16mi |
| 2719 44th Dr Long Island City, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 628 | $4,945 | $7.87 | 8d | 2 | 1.20mi |
| 3705 30th St Long Island City, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 700 | $4,840 | $6.91 | 11d | 3 | 1.28mi |
| 285 Kingsland Ave #2078 Brooklyn, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 725 | $4,240 | $5.85 | 25d | 2 | 1.32mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-01$299,000 Active
-
2017-01-05soldstatus $190,000 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
Sort After Celtic Park, Cozy 1 Bedroom Walk In Closet. Efficiency Kitchen All Utilities Are Included In Maintenance. Parking Available On A Waiting List, Storage Available On A Waiting List. 4 Block Walk To #7 Subway - 15 Minutes To Grand Central Station. Excellent Location.
-
2017-01-05soldstatus $190,000 Closed 275-char remark
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
Sort After Celtic Park, Cozy 1 Bedroom Walk In Closet. Efficiency Kitchen All Utilities Are Included In Maintenance. Parking Available On A Waiting List, Storage Available On A Waiting List. 4 Block Walk To #7 Subway - 15 Minutes To Grand Central Station. Excellent Location.
-
2016-05-11status Under Contract 275-char remark
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
Sort After Celtic Park, Cozy 1 Bedroom Walk In Closet. Efficiency Kitchen All Utilities Are Included In Maintenance. Parking Available On A Waiting List, Storage Available On A Waiting List. 4 Block Walk To #7 Subway - 15 Minutes To Grand Central Station. Excellent Location.
-
2016-04-08$195,000 New 275-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Sort After Celtic Park, Cozy 1 Bedroom Walk In Closet. Efficiency Kitchen All Utilities Are Included In Maintenance. Parking Available On A Waiting List, Storage Available On A Waiting List. 4 Block Walk To #7 Subway - 15 Minutes To Grand Central Station. Excellent Location., Additional information: Business Located At:,Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Rental Income:
-
2016-04-08$195,000 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Sort After Celtic Park, Cozy 1 Bedroom Walk In Closet. Efficiency Kitchen All Utilities Are Included In Maintenance. Parking Available On A Waiting List, Storage Available On A Waiting List. 4 Block Walk To #7 Subway - 15 Minutes To Grand Central Station. Excellent Location., Additional information: Business Located At:,Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Rental Income:
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,321
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,749
- − Property taxes
- −$4,485
- − Insurance
- −$1,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,626
- − Management
- −$3,626
- − Depreciation
- −$8,698
- Taxable income
- $6,643
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,594
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,414/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 81,690
- Household income
- $73,073
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5474.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 40% Asian 36% Two or more races 20% White 20% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 56% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 27% English-only · Spanish 34% Other Indo-European 16% Chinese 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.83%
- Current HPI
- 273.9408
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.09%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+53.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Listed $299,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-05 Sold (MLS) $190,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-05 Sold (MLS) $190,000 MLSLI
- 2016-05-11 Pending — MLSLI
- 2016-04-08 Listed $195,000 MLSLI
- 2016-04-08 Listed $195,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…