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74386 Mercury Cir E
C Composite 56.4
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$289,900

74386 Mercury Cir E · Palm Desert, CA 92260
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,464 sqft · Manufactured public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1984 4,356 sqft lot Est $291k · at est. $455/mo HOA · 13% of rent ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

SPECTACULAR PRICE FOR A MOVE-IN READY HOME ON THE GOLF COURSE! LOCATION, LOCATION, GOLF, VIEWS! Live on the golf course in this beautiful gated community! This home has been meticulously maintained and is move-in ready. Enjoy spectacular views of the golf course and surrounding mountains directly from your sofa or outdoor patio. The home features two bedrooms and two full bathrooms, a formal living and dining room with vaulted ceilings, a separate family room, individual laundry room and a kitchen with gas appliances. New flooring has been installed in the family room and the bedrooms have ceiling fans. Parking is offered under a covered carport and there is plenty of extra storage in the o

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in a community with golf course, dog park and public park
  • HOA & community: Part of Portola Country Club HOA; Monthly association fee of $455; Senior community; Association amenities include: spa, pool, clubhouse, golf, tennis, pickleball, billiard room, gym/exercise room, dog park, picnic area, common RV parking, controlled access, maintenance of grounds, cable TV, trash service, recreational multipurpose room, pets permitted

Exterior

  • Parking: Two parking spaces total; Two carport spaces; Driveway (concrete)
  • Security: Gated community with automatic gate; Controlled access (association)
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water; Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable connected; Telephone available in street; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Mobile home remains (24' x 60'); Turnkey condition; One story; Access via city streets on a paved road; Tile roof; Stucco exterior; Has view; Located in Portola Country Club
  • Construction: Stucco construction; Tile roof; One shed on the property; Year built source: assessor
  • Exterior features: Covered concrete patio; Patio; In-ground heated community spa (association); Community pool (in-ground, fenced, heated); Shed; On golf course; Level with street; Landscaped front yard with desert landscaping; Sprinkler system

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Double oven; Range/stove hood; Microwave; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator; Corian counters; Pots & pan drawers; Kitchen open to family room
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main floor; All bedrooms located on the main floor
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Soaking tub; Walk-in shower; Separate tub and shower; Bathtub; Double sinks in primary bath; Vanity area; Main floor full bath; Shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central furnace; Fireplace
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan; One-level living; Front door or carport entry; Formal entry; Walk-in closet; Primary bedroom on main floor; All bedrooms on main floor; Separate family room; Living room; Family room; Primary bathroom; Laundry room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer included; Dryer included; Washer and dryer hook-ups for gas and electric; Laundry in an individual room (inside)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $488 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $290k).
  • Recommended offer: $286k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.4% in Palm Desert — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,050 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment B+, housing B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: James Earl Carter Elementary (516 students, 53% FRL); Colonel Mitchell Paige Middle (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #474 of 498 statewide, top 99%, 436 students, 74% FRL); Palm Desert High (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C-, #256 of 1,170 statewide, top 24%, 2,050 students, 57% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 551 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,547/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 1734% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $285,551 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
8.31%
Cash-on-cash
7.22%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$291,336
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
74578 Zircon Cir E 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,542 (+5%) 0mo $250,000 $162 87
74596 Azurite Cir E 0.13mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-2%) 6mo $201,600 $140 86
42543 Granite Pl 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-2%) 10mo $345,000 $240 85
42580 Sutters Mill Rd 0.14mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-2%) 9mo $280,000 $194 84
42651 Vanadium Pl 0.22mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-2%) 4mo $290,000 $201 83
42605 Vanadium 0.21mi 2/2.0 1,416 (-3%) 2mo $235,000 $166 83
74072 Mercury Circle Cir W 0.23mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-2%) 5mo $222,000 $154 82
42090 Diadomite Way 0.19mi 2/2.0 1,520 (+4%) 7mo $240,000 $158 79
74592 Nevada Cir E 0.17mi 2/2.0 1,590 (+9%) 2mo $317,000 $199 76
74411 Gary Ave. Ave 0.20mi 2/2.0 1,584 (+8%) 5mo $397,000 $251 73
74240 Angels Camp Rd 0.22mi 2/2.0 1,584 (+8%) 10mo $347,000 $219 67
74276 Zircon Cir E 0.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,664 (+14%) 8mo $405,000 $243 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.0%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-20,552
Equity at exit
$43,225
10-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$3,493
Equity at exit
$25,065

Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92260

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
551
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,547 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,520
Tax from tax record
$217 /mo · $2,607/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$455
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$745
Net cashflow
$488

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,928
Max offer price $289,900
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $653 -5% $570 +0% $488 +5% $406 +10% $324
Rent -10% $208 -5% $348 +0% $488 +5% $629 +10% $769
Rate -1.0pp $634 -0.5pp $562 base $488 +0.5pp $413 +1.0pp $337

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,475
Closing costs
$8,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
74036 Mercury Cir W Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1440 $2,800 $1.94 45d 1 0.21mi
74350 Magnesia Falls Dr Unit 1 Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,595 $2.16 12d 1 0.25mi
235 Via Rengo Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1042 $2,600 $2.50 45d 1 0.31mi
255 Via Rengo Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1122 $2,700 $2.41 45d 1 0.33mi
255 Via Rengo Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1122 $2,600 $2.32 6d 1 0.33mi
74401 Hovley Lane East Palm Desert, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1042 $2,656 $2.55 0d 22 0.35mi
82 Presidio Pl Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.0 1851 $5,500 $2.97 45d 1 0.45mi
92 Presidio Pl Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.0 1821 $5,500 $3.02 45d 1 0.48mi
181 Camino Arroyo S Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.0 1821 $6,300 $3.46 45d 1 0.59mi
289 Castellana N Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1457 $3,000 $2.06 26d 1 0.64mi
42575 Cook St Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,950 $1.86 26d 1 0.65mi
39 Camino Arroyo Pl Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1533 $6,000 $3.91 45d 1 0.68mi
43378 Martini Ct Unit B Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1028 $2,249 $2.19 23d 1 0.69mi
432 S Sierra Madre Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1584 $5,300 $3.35 45d 1 0.72mi
34934 Phyllis Jackson Ln Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.5 1600 $3,400 $2.12 20d 1 0.73mi
34931 Phyllis Jackson Ln Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.5 1600 $3,375 $2.11 20d 1 0.73mi
34946 Phyllis Jackson Ln Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.5 1600 $3,400 $2.12 20d 1 0.73mi
34921 Phyllis Jackson Ln Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.5 1600 $3,375 $2.11 20d 1 0.73mi
430 S Sierra Madre Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1303 $5,500 $4.22 45d 1 0.73mi
259 Calle del Verano Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1303 $5,200 $3.99 45d 1 0.78mi
257 Calle del Verano Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1303 $5,300 $4.07 45d 1 0.79mi
206 Lakecrest Ln Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1138 $2,300 $2.02 13d 1 0.81mi
82 Conejo Cir Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.0 1759 $6,500 $3.70 45d 1 0.81mi
280 Castellana S Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1303 $6,000 $4.60 45d 1 0.82mi
74098 Goleta Ave Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 893 $3,000 $3.36 5d 1 0.83mi
352 S Sierra Madre Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1584 $5,800 $3.66 45d 1 0.83mi
73760 Rancho Rd Unit 2 Palm Desert, CA 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,595 $1.39 14d 1 0.87mi
365 San Remo St Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1303 $5,500 $4.22 45d 1 0.88mi
363 San Remo St Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1656 $7,500 $4.53 45d 1 0.88mi
150 Willow Lake Dr Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1138 $2,500 $2.20 45d 1 0.90mi
166 Wimbledon Ct Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1250 $3,200 $2.56 45d 1 0.92mi
191 Winterhaven Cir Palm Desert, CA 2.0 1.5 1250 $2,800 $2.24 45d 1 0.93mi
316 S Sierra Madre Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1656 $5,700 $3.44 45d 1 0.94mi
389 Gran Via Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.0 1670 $3,750 $2.25 26d 1 0.95mi
236 Castellana S Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1684 $8,000 $4.75 45d 1 0.97mi
337 Villena Way Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1303 $5,000 $3.84 45d 1 0.97mi
43376 Cook St Palm Desert, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 854 $2,500 $2.93 45d 6 0.97mi
43376 Cook St Palm Desert, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 1005 $2,200 $2.19 1d 2 0.97mi
43376 Cook St Palm Desert, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 1005 $2,200 $2.19 6d 3 0.97mi
43376 Cook St Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1005 $2,248 $2.24 26d 4 0.97mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$455 · $5,460/yr
Likely covers
gassecurity

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $289,900 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $289,900 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $289,900 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $289,900 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $289,900 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $289,900 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    pricedays on market $289,900 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $339,900 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $339,900 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $339,900 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $339,900 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $339,900 Active 8 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $339,900 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $339,900 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-05-21
    historical $339,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,607 · $217/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,607 · $217/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,558
− Mortgage interest
−$16,239
− Property taxes
−$2,607
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,405
− Management
−$3,405
− HOA
−$5,460
− Depreciation
−$8,433
Taxable income
$1,560
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$374
After-tax cash flow
$5,487/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Desert Sands Unified
NCES district ID
0611110
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$54,957
Composite
37.77/100
National rank
#4346
State rank
#199 of 517 in CA

Livability — Palm Desert

Score
51/100
State rank
#1050
US rank
#25164

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D Employment B+ Housing B Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Palm Desert, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
58,615
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
30,523
Household income
$70,091
Rent vs Own
36.2% rent · 63.8% own
Severe rent burden
1734.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 20% Asian 4% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -364.94%
Current HPI
294.9425
Rent YoY
▲ 1.60%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Price Changed $289,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $339,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Coming Soon $339,900 CRMLS

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,607 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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