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A- Composite 82.29
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$49,900

4607 Briggs St · Moss Point, MS 39563
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 882 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 279 Days on market
Built 1959 0.36 ac lot Est $66k · 25% under ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Property is being sold as-is, sellers will not turn on utilities for any inspections.

Key facts

  • 0.36 acre lot
  • Built 1959
  • Listed 278 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Unpaved parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family house; One story
  • Construction: Siding exterior
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Approximately 0.36-acre lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: One-level living

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $690 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.9% vs local median 6.8% in Moss Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#77 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Moss Point Separate School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #94 of 130 in MS (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 279 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $43,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 279 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.61%
Cap rate
22.90%
Cash-on-cash
59.29%
DSCR
3.64
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$66,150
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4200 Second St 0.47mi 3/1.0 912 (+3%) 5mo $64,000 $70 68
5612 Gregory St 0.18mi 2/1.0 (-1) 910 (+3%) 22mo $87,000 $96 63
4712 First St 0.15mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (+13%) 6mo $14,500 $15 61
5630 Frederick St 0.67mi 3/2.0 960 (+9%) 16mo $72,000 $75 36
4319 Tela Dr 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+13%) 21mo $149,900 $150 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
65.9%
Equity multiple
4.89×
Total profit
$54,361
Equity at exit
$27,079
10-year hold
IRR
64.0%
Equity multiple
10.08×
Total profit
$126,912
Equity at exit
$45,774

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39563

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $650/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$690

Break-even live

Break-even rent $426
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $719 -5% $705 +0% $690 +5% $676 +10% $662
Rent -10% $588 -5% $639 +0% $690 +5% $742 +10% $793
Rate -1.0pp $716 -0.5pp $703 base $690 +0.5pp $677 +1.0pp $664

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4406 Richard St Moss Point, MS 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,300 $1.16 22d 1 1.00mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-03-17
    price $49,900
  2. 2026-02-09
    price $54,900
  3. 2025-11-21
    price $55,000
  4. 2025-08-21
    listed $59,900 Active
  5. 2024-01-27
    historical $900
  6. 2023-12-12
    listed $900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$650 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$650 · $54/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,600
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$650
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,248
− Management
−$1,248
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$7,958
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,910
After-tax cash flow
$6,375/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Moss Point Separate School District
NCES district ID
2803000
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$38,041
Composite
16.34/100
National rank
#9205
State rank
#94 of 130 in MS

Livability — Moss Point

Score
67/100
State rank
#77
US rank
#10398

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Moss Point, MS
City population
12,023
Population (ZIP)
12,023

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
146,926 people
By 2030
148,442 · +1.0%
By 2040
149,631 · +1.8%
By 2050
148,723 · +1.2%
By 2075
147,845 · +0.6%
By 2100
144,510 · -1.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 74% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 0%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.60%
Current HPI
155.3138
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-16.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $49,900 MLSU
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $54,900 MLSU
  • 2025-11-21 Price Changed $55,000 MLSU
  • 2025-08-21 Listed $59,900 MLSU
  • 2024-01-27 Rental Removed $900 MLSU
  • 2023-12-12 Listed for Rent $900 MLSU

Property tax history

+13.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $650 · +22.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…