2129 E 30th St · Lorain, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 4 BR 1 BA home is the perfect investment opportunity! Located in the heart of a quiet and established neighborhood of Lorain. This property offers fresh paint and brand-new flooring throughout. Ideal for both first-time investors or seasoned professionals looking for rental income potential or a renovation.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Decorative fireplace
- Spacious backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Driveway parking; Garage with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story wood-sided home; Block foundation; Asphalt roof
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Home warranty included
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Deck; Fenced backyard (chain link and wood); Back yard is flat and level
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen area
- Bedrooms: Multiple bedrooms on the second floor (carpeted)
- Flooring: Carpet on main living areas and bedrooms; Concrete flooring in basement and utility areas
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Additional basement bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating
- Interior features: Built-in bookcases; Eat-in kitchen; Laminate counters; See remarks (additional interior details)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Basement utility/finished area (concrete flooring)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $411 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 5.9% in Lorain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#595 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, health & safety D.
- Lorain City (suburban): math 13% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #633 of 656 in OH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.80%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $167,090
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2159 E 30th St | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 | 1,530 (+1%) | 10mo | $95,000 | $62 | 83 |
| 1979 E 32nd St | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,448 (-5%) | 7mo | $177,499 | $123 | 63 |
| 2333 E 33rd St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,384 (-9%) | 5mo | $122,500 | $89 | 57 |
| 1960 E 33rd St | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,440 (-5%) | 8mo | $209,500 | $145 | 53 |
| 1820 E 32nd St | 0.71mi | 4/1.0 | 1,654 (+9%) | 1mo | $128,000 | $77 | 51 |
| 2108 E 41st St | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,562 (+3%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $106 | 50 |
| 2312 E 32nd St | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,300 (-14%) | 4mo | $158,000 | $122 | 50 |
| 2544 E 32nd St | 0.64mi | 4/1.5 | 1,576 (+4%) | 15mo | $180,000 | $114 | 50 |
| 2235 E 30th St | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 | 1,296 (-15%) | 15mo | $180,000 | $139 | 49 |
| 1963 Homewood Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,440 (-5%) | 9mo | $142,500 | $99 | 48 |
| 1930 E 30th St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,350 (-11%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $100 | 43 |
| 1832 E 34th St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (+11%) | 11mo | $185,000 | $110 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $10,153
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.54×
- Total profit
- $42,579
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44055
- Home prices YoY
- -30.5%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,349 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$94 /mo · $1,133/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $411
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3235 Grove Ave Unit 3235 Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $950 | $0.88 | 21d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3237 Grove Ave Unit 3235 Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $950 | $0.88 | 21d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3251 Camden Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1090 | $995 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1818 E 29th St Unit 1816 Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1813 E 30th St Lorain, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,450 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2484 E 38th St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1101 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1763 E 36th St Lorain, OH | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2000 | $1,895 | $0.95 | 2d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1730 E 30th St Unit 1730 Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,250 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1639 E 31st St Unit 1637 Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-04-25status Pending
-
2026-04-16price $99,000
-
2026-03-28price $108,000
-
2026-03-20price $109,900
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2026-03-19$99,000 Active
-
2024-11-22historical 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
This 4 BR 1 BA home is the perfect investment opportunity! Located in the heart of a quiet and established neighborhood of Lorain. This property offers fresh paint and brand-new flooring throughout. Ideal for both first-time investors or seasoned professionals looking for rental income potential or a renovation.
-
2024-11-21soldstatus $75,000
-
2024-11-20soldstatus $75,000 Closed 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
This 4 BR 1 BA home is the perfect investment opportunity! Located in the heart of a quiet and established neighborhood of Lorain. This property offers fresh paint and brand-new flooring throughout. Ideal for both first-time investors or seasoned professionals looking for rental income potential or a renovation.
-
2024-10-15status Pending 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
This 4 BR 1 BA home is the perfect investment opportunity! Located in the heart of a quiet and established neighborhood of Lorain. This property offers fresh paint and brand-new flooring throughout. Ideal for both first-time investors or seasoned professionals looking for rental income potential or a renovation.
-
2024-10-13price $75,000 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
This 4 BR 1 BA home is the perfect investment opportunity! Located in the heart of a quiet and established neighborhood of Lorain. This property offers fresh paint and brand-new flooring throughout. Ideal for both first-time investors or seasoned professionals looking for rental income potential or a renovation.
-
2024-10-02status Active 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
This 4 BR 1 BA home is the perfect investment opportunity! Located in the heart of a quiet and established neighborhood of Lorain. This property offers fresh paint and brand-new flooring throughout. Ideal for both first-time investors or seasoned professionals looking for rental income potential or a renovation.
-
2024-09-26historical Contingent 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
This 4 BR 1 BA home is the perfect investment opportunity! Located in the heart of a quiet and established neighborhood of Lorain. This property offers fresh paint and brand-new flooring throughout. Ideal for both first-time investors or seasoned professionals looking for rental income potential or a renovation.
-
2024-09-23$80,000 Active 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
This 4 BR 1 BA home is the perfect investment opportunity! Located in the heart of a quiet and established neighborhood of Lorain. This property offers fresh paint and brand-new flooring throughout. Ideal for both first-time investors or seasoned professionals looking for rental income potential or a renovation.
-
2000-08-30soldstatus $74,000 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
Spacious Colonial In Quiet Neighborhood. Fenced In Backyard W/ Oversized 2 Car Detached Garage. Electric Updated. Formal Dining. Enclosed Front Porch With Windows Surrounding. Decorative Fireplace In Living Room. Spacious Home With Lots Of Potential. Great House! Priced To Sell! $1000 Paint Ins.
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2000-08-28soldstatus $74,000
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2000-04-26$74,900 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
Spacious Colonial In Quiet Neighborhood. Fenced In Backyard W/ Oversized 2 Car Detached Garage. Electric Updated. Formal Dining. Enclosed Front Porch With Windows Surrounding. Decorative Fireplace In Living Room. Spacious Home With Lots Of Potential. Great House! Priced To Sell! $1000 Paint Ins.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,133 · $94/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,339 · $112/mo
- Expected delta
- +$206/yr (+$17/mo · 18.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,193
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,133
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,295
- − Management
- −$1,295
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $3,549
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$852
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,083/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lorain City
- NCES district ID
- 3904426
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,823
- Composite
- 15.81/100
- National rank
- #9266
- State rank
- #633 of 656 in OH
Livability — Lorain
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #595
- US rank
- #10183
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lorain, OH
- County
- Lorain County · 219,437 people
- City population
- 69,409
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,043
- Household income
- $40,636
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1140.0
Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,924 people
- By 2030
- 317,546 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 317,962 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 312,872 · -0.7%
- By 2075
- 301,806 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 278,271 · -11.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 24% Black 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 27%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 23%
Political lean MEDSL · Lorain
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.26%
- Current HPI
- 180.9309
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+32.2% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $99,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $108,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $109,900 MLSNOW
- 2026-03-19 Listed $99,000 MLSNOW
- 2024-11-22 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2024-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2024-11-20 Sold (MLS) $75,000 MLSNOW
- 2024-10-15 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2024-10-13 Price Changed $75,000 MLSNOW
- 2024-10-02 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2024-09-26 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2024-09-23 Listed $80,000 MLSNOW
- 2000-08-30 Sold (MLS) $74,000 MLSNOW
- 2000-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
- 2000-04-26 Listed $74,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,133 · -4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…