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2129 E 30th St
B Composite 73.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

2129 E 30th St · Lorain, OH 44055
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,519 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1900 6,969 sqft lot Est $167k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 4 BR 1 BA home is the perfect investment opportunity! Located in the heart of a quiet and established neighborhood of Lorain. This property offers fresh paint and brand-new flooring throughout. Ideal for both first-time investors or seasoned professionals looking for rental income potential or a renovation.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Decorative fireplace
  • Spacious backyard

Tags

SPACIOUS BACKYARDDETACHED TWO-CAR GARAGECOVERED FRONT PORCHDECORATIVE FIREPLACEBRIGHT EAT-IN BREAKFAST NOOKFORMAL DINING ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Driveway parking; Garage with 2 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story wood-sided home; Block foundation; Asphalt roof
  • Construction: Wood siding construction; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Home warranty included
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Deck; Fenced backyard (chain link and wood); Back yard is flat and level

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen area
  • Bedrooms: Multiple bedrooms on the second floor (carpeted)
  • Flooring: Carpet on main living areas and bedrooms; Concrete flooring in basement and utility areas
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Additional basement bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating
  • Interior features: Built-in bookcases; Eat-in kitchen; Laminate counters; See remarks (additional interior details)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Basement utility/finished area (concrete flooring)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $411 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 5.9% in Lorain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#595 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, health & safety D.
  • Lorain City (suburban): math 13% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #633 of 656 in OH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $96,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.28%
Cash-on-cash
17.80%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$167,090
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2159 E 30th St 0.07mi 4/2.0 1,530 (+1%) 10mo $95,000 $62 83
1979 E 32nd St 0.35mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,448 (-5%) 7mo $177,499 $123 63
2333 E 33rd St 0.40mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,384 (-9%) 5mo $122,500 $89 57
1960 E 33rd St 0.44mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,440 (-5%) 8mo $209,500 $145 53
1820 E 32nd St 0.71mi 4/1.0 1,654 (+9%) 1mo $128,000 $77 51
2108 E 41st St 0.75mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,562 (+3%) 4mo $165,000 $106 50
2312 E 32nd St 0.34mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,300 (-14%) 4mo $158,000 $122 50
2544 E 32nd St 0.64mi 4/1.5 1,576 (+4%) 15mo $180,000 $114 50
2235 E 30th St 0.22mi 4/2.0 1,296 (-15%) 15mo $180,000 $139 49
1963 Homewood Dr 0.63mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,440 (-5%) 9mo $142,500 $99 48
1930 E 30th St 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,350 (-11%) 11mo $135,000 $100 43
1832 E 34th St 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,680 (+11%) 11mo $185,000 $110 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$10,153
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$42,579
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44055

Home prices YoY
-30.5%
Active inventory
81
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,349 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$94 /mo · $1,133/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$411

Break-even live

Break-even rent $829
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3235 Grove Ave Unit 3235 Lorain, OH 3.0 1.0 1080 $950 $0.88 21d 1 0.24mi
3237 Grove Ave Unit 3235 Lorain, OH 3.0 1.0 1080 $950 $0.88 21d 1 0.24mi
3251 Camden Ave Lorain, OH 3.0 1.0 1090 $995 $0.91 44d 1 0.70mi
1818 E 29th St Unit 1816 Lorain, OH 3.0 1.0 1098 $1,195 $1.09 44d 1 0.71mi
1813 E 30th St Lorain, OH 4.0 1.0 1344 $1,450 $1.08 44d 1 0.72mi
2484 E 38th St Lorain, OH 3.0 1.5 1101 $1,295 $1.18 44d 1 0.74mi
1763 E 36th St Lorain, OH 5.0 1.5 2000 $1,895 $0.95 2d 1 0.92mi
1730 E 30th St Unit 1730 Lorain, OH 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,250 $1.12 44d 1 0.92mi
1639 E 31st St Unit 1637 Lorain, OH 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,200 $0.80 44d 1 1.15mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-04-25
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-16
    price $99,000
  3. 2026-03-28
    price $108,000
  4. 2026-03-20
    price $109,900
  5. 2026-03-19
    listed $99,000 Active
  6. 2024-11-22
    historical 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    This 4 BR 1 BA home is the perfect investment opportunity! Located in the heart of a quiet and established neighborhood of Lorain. This property offers fresh paint and brand-new flooring throughout. Ideal for both first-time investors or seasoned professionals looking for rental income potential or a renovation.

  7. 2024-11-21
    soldstatus $75,000
  8. 2024-11-20
    soldstatus $75,000 Closed 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    This 4 BR 1 BA home is the perfect investment opportunity! Located in the heart of a quiet and established neighborhood of Lorain. This property offers fresh paint and brand-new flooring throughout. Ideal for both first-time investors or seasoned professionals looking for rental income potential or a renovation.

  9. 2024-10-15
    status Pending 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    This 4 BR 1 BA home is the perfect investment opportunity! Located in the heart of a quiet and established neighborhood of Lorain. This property offers fresh paint and brand-new flooring throughout. Ideal for both first-time investors or seasoned professionals looking for rental income potential or a renovation.

  10. 2024-10-13
    price $75,000 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    This 4 BR 1 BA home is the perfect investment opportunity! Located in the heart of a quiet and established neighborhood of Lorain. This property offers fresh paint and brand-new flooring throughout. Ideal for both first-time investors or seasoned professionals looking for rental income potential or a renovation.

  11. 2024-10-02
    status Active 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    This 4 BR 1 BA home is the perfect investment opportunity! Located in the heart of a quiet and established neighborhood of Lorain. This property offers fresh paint and brand-new flooring throughout. Ideal for both first-time investors or seasoned professionals looking for rental income potential or a renovation.

  12. 2024-09-26
    historical Contingent 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    This 4 BR 1 BA home is the perfect investment opportunity! Located in the heart of a quiet and established neighborhood of Lorain. This property offers fresh paint and brand-new flooring throughout. Ideal for both first-time investors or seasoned professionals looking for rental income potential or a renovation.

  13. 2024-09-23
    listed $80,000 Active 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    This 4 BR 1 BA home is the perfect investment opportunity! Located in the heart of a quiet and established neighborhood of Lorain. This property offers fresh paint and brand-new flooring throughout. Ideal for both first-time investors or seasoned professionals looking for rental income potential or a renovation.

  14. 2000-08-30
    soldstatus $74,000 296-char remark
    Show marketing remark (296 chars)

    Spacious Colonial In Quiet Neighborhood. Fenced In Backyard W/ Oversized 2 Car Detached Garage. Electric Updated. Formal Dining. Enclosed Front Porch With Windows Surrounding. Decorative Fireplace In Living Room. Spacious Home With Lots Of Potential. Great House! Priced To Sell! $1000 Paint Ins.

  15. 2000-08-28
    soldstatus $74,000
  16. 2000-04-26
    listed $74,900 296-char remark
    Show marketing remark (296 chars)

    Spacious Colonial In Quiet Neighborhood. Fenced In Backyard W/ Oversized 2 Car Detached Garage. Electric Updated. Formal Dining. Enclosed Front Porch With Windows Surrounding. Decorative Fireplace In Living Room. Spacious Home With Lots Of Potential. Great House! Priced To Sell! $1000 Paint Ins.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,133 · $94/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,339 · $112/mo
Expected delta
+$206/yr (+$17/mo · 18.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,193
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,133
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,295
− Management
−$1,295
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$3,549
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$852
After-tax cash flow
$4,083/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lorain City
NCES district ID
3904426
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$32,823
Composite
15.81/100
National rank
#9266
State rank
#633 of 656 in OH

Livability — Lorain

Score
67/100
State rank
#595
US rank
#10183

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lorain, OH
County
Lorain County · 219,437 people
City population
69,409
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
20,043
Household income
$40,636
Rent vs Own
47.3% rent · 52.7% own
Severe rent burden
1140.0

Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
314,924 people
By 2030
317,546 · +0.8%
By 2040
317,962 · +1.0%
By 2050
312,872 · -0.7%
By 2075
301,806 · -4.2%
By 2100
278,271 · -11.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 24% Black 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 27%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 23%

Political lean MEDSL · Lorain

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
2008→2024 swing
-23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.26%
Current HPI
180.9309
Rent YoY
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+32.2% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $99,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-03-28 Price Changed $108,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $109,900 MLSNOW
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $99,000 MLSNOW
  • 2024-11-22 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2024-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2024-11-20 Sold (MLS) $75,000 MLSNOW
  • 2024-10-15 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2024-10-13 Price Changed $75,000 MLSNOW
  • 2024-10-02 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2024-09-26 Contingent MLSNOW
  • 2024-09-23 Listed $80,000 MLSNOW
  • 2000-08-30 Sold (MLS) $74,000 MLSNOW
  • 2000-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
  • 2000-04-26 Listed $74,900 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+7.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,133 · -4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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