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4315 5th Ave
D Composite 41.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$20,000

4315 5th Ave · Birmingham, AL 35224
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 572 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 132 Days on market
Built 1945 5,227 sqft lot $35/sqft · 55% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special in Birmingham! This 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers an excellent opportunity for steady rental income with a simple, efficient layout and low maintenance appeal. Perfect for long-term tenants, this property is conveniently located near downtown Birmingham, UAB, shopping, dining, and major interstates, making it attractive to renters. Whether you’re adding to an existing portfolio or looking for an affordable entry-level investment, this property delivers strong potential and consistent demand.

Key facts

  • Efficient layout
  • Conveniently located
  • 5,227 sq ft lot

Tags

EFFICIENT LAYOUTLOW MAINTENANCE APPEALCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $660 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($989 rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $18k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 45.9% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $6k; list at $20k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $17,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.94%
Cap rate
45.89%
Cash-on-cash
141.43%
DSCR
7.29
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$44,176
List price
$20,000
Delta
-54.73%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
700 Attalla Pl 0.51mi 2/1.0 (+1) 624 (+9%) 5mo $32,000 $51 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.93×
Total profit
$38,801
Equity at exit
$2,982
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.70×
Total profit
$87,935
Equity at exit
$1,729

Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35224

Home prices YoY
-16.2%
Active inventory
42
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$989 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$105
Tax from tax record
$8 /mo · $94/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$208
Net cashflow
$660

Break-even live

Break-even rent $153
Max offer price $20,000
Occupancy floor 28%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,000
Closing costs
$600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $20,000 Active 132 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $20,000 Active 131 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $20,000 Active 130 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $20,000 Active 129 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $20,000 Active 127 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $20,000 Active 124 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $20,000 Active 123 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $20,000 Active 122 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $20,000 Active 121 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $20,000 Active 117 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $20,000 Active 116 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $20,000 Active 115 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $20,000 Active 114 DOM
  14. 2026-02-06
    listed $20,000 Active 519-char remark
    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    Investor special in Birmingham! This 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers an excellent opportunity for steady rental income with a simple, efficient layout and low maintenance appeal. Perfect for long-term tenants, this property is conveniently located near downtown Birmingham, UAB, shopping, dining, and major interstates, making it attractive to renters. Whether you’re adding to an existing portfolio or looking for an affordable entry-level investment, this property delivers strong potential and consistent demand.

  15. 1973-06-04
    soldstatus $6,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$94 · $8/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$94 · $8/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,865
− Mortgage interest
−$1,120
− Property taxes
−$94
− Insurance
−$100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$949
− Management
−$949
− Depreciation
−$582
Taxable income
$8,070
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,937
After-tax cash flow
$5,984/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
City population
210,422
Population (ZIP)
5,409

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 22% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 0%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -24.47%
Current HPI
126.3423
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+233.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $20,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 1973-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $94 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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