375 S Marple St · Coos Bay, OR 97420

$85,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 648 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market

Built 1944 4,000 sqft lot Est $168k · 50% under ↓ 29% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.7/5.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

The value is in the lot. Stucture is not accessible.

Key facts

• 4,000 sq ft lot
• Built 1944
• Listed 24 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $743 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
• Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 4.2% in Coos Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#257 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Coos Bay SD 9 (town): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #45 of 58 in OR (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Madison Elementary School (295 students, 69% FRL); Marshfield Senior High School (math 17% / reading 54%, grade F, #89 of 143 statewide, top 62%, 835 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.7%/yr); 342 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 122 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Coos County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $60k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $83,725 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.95% ✓
• Cap rate: 16.78%
• Cash-on-cash: 37.44%
• DSCR: 2.67
• GRM: 4.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $168,480
• Comps found: 6

Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
131 S Wasson St	0.26mi	2/1.0	620 (-4%)	10mo	$247,000	$398	68
117 N Marple St	0.29mi	2/1.0	728 (+12%)	14mo	$189,000	$260	50
161 N Cammann St	0.37mi	2/1.0	743 (+15%)	6mo	$140,000	$188	49
1400 Ventana Ct	0.72mi	2/1.0	734 (+13%)	6mo	$135,000	$184	35
92778 Cape Arago Hwy	0.61mi	2/1.0	744 (+15%)	10mo	$239,000	$321	35
455 N Marple St	0.62mi	2/1.0	742 (+14%)	20mo	$159,000	$214	26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 38.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.78×
• Total profit: $42,297
• Equity at exit: $12,674

10-year hold

• IRR: 47.7%
• Equity multiple: 6.78×
• Total profit: $137,650
• Equity at exit: $7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 28 Tenant-Leaning
• State Oregon: 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 97420

• Rents YoY: 8.7%
• Active inventory: 342
• Price-to-rent: 4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,657 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$446
• Tax from tax record: −$85 /mo · $1,025/yr
• Insurance: −$35
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$348
• Net cashflow: $743

Break-even live

Break-even rent $717

Max offer price $85,000

Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $791	-5% $767	+0% $743	+5% $719	+10% $695
Rent	-10% $612	-5% $677	+0% $743	+5% $808	+10% $874
Rate	-1.0pp $785	-0.5pp $764	base $743	+0.5pp $721	+1.0pp $698

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $21,250
• Closing costs: $2,550
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
91355 Lowell Ln Coos Bay, OR	2.0	1.0	600	$2,095	$3.49	44d	1	1.45mi

Listing history 3 events

1. 2025-10-06
   soldstatus $60,000
2. 2025-08-25
   status Pending
3. 2025-07-31
   listed $85,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,025 · $85/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,025 · $85/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥74°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,887
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,761
• − Property taxes: −$1,025
• − Insurance: −$425
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,591
• − Management: −$1,591
• − Depreciation: −$2,473
• Taxable income: $8,021
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,925
• After-tax cash flow: $6,987/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Coos Bay SD 9
• NCES district ID: 4103660
• Math proficiency: 22% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $38,630
• Composite: 25.46/100
• National rank: #7450
• State rank: #45 of 58 in OR

Livability — Coos Bay

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #257
• US rank: #17474

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Coos Bay, OR
• County: Coos County · 27,621 people
• City population: 27,621
• Metro: Coos Bay, OR
• Population (ZIP): 27,621
• Household income: $61,574
• Rent vs Own: 32.7% rent · 67.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 799.0

Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 62,222 people
• By 2030: 61,120 · -1.8%
• By 2040: 58,478 · -6.0%
• By 2050: 56,819 · -8.7%
• By 2075: 54,915 · -11.7%
• By 2100: 51,403 · -17.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (81%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Native American 2% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7%
• Common ancestry: Italian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Coos

• 2024 margin: R (+19.9) · D 38.7% · R 58.5% · Other 2.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.1pp · 2024: -19.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+19.9 2020: R+20.5 2016: R+24.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+3.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -315.58%
• Current HPI: 198.3249
• Rent YoY: ▲ 8.65%
• Metro: Coos Bay, OR
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.05%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Consumer Goods	1	$51B

Price history

-29.4% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2025-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
• 2025-08-25 Pending — RMLS
• 2025-07-31 Listed $85,000 RMLS

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,025 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.