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2301 W Mosher St
D Composite 44.47
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.4/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,900

2301 W Mosher St · Baltimore, MD 21216
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,836 sqft · Townhouse public records · 206 Days on market
Built 1927 1,307 sqft lot $115/sqft · 18% below area Est $215k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This spacious end of group residence has been completely rehabbed from top to bottom, offering modern comfort and style throughout. Enjoy brand new kitchens, bathrooms, floors, energy efficient windows and a fully finished in-law apartment in the basement -- perfect for guests, extended family or a rental income potential. Located in an area experiencing a surge of renovations. This home is a smart investment as buyers are moving quickly before prices rise.

Key facts

  • Brand new bathrooms
  • Brand new kitchens
  • Built 1927

Tags

BRAND NEW KITCHENSBRAND NEW BATHROOMSENERGY EFFICIENT WINDOWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $211k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $90 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (7.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $186k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Elmer A. Henderson: A Johns Hopkins Partnership (math 2% / reading 16%, grade F, #650 of 860 statewide, top 77%, 642 students, 80% FRL); Baltimore Polytechnic Institute (math 71% / reading 84%, grade A-, #22 of 222 statewide, top 10%, 1,555 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 79% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 43% at this address vs 12% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Baltimore City Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,952/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2264% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 206 days — a 12% lower offer ($186k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $87k; list at $211k implies a 142% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $185,592 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 206 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.80%
Cash-on-cash
1.82%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$215,433
List price
$210,900
Delta
-2.10%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2318 W Lanvale St 0.15mi 4/2.5 1,884 (+3%) 2mo $180,000 $96 82
2406 Arunah Ave 0.26mi 4/3.5 1,824 (-1%) 2mo $350,000 $192 77
2400 W Lafayette Ave 0.08mi 4/2.0 1,584 (-14%) 2mo $263,000 $166 70
854 Whitmore Ave 0.26mi 4/3.5 1,920 (+5%) 4mo $245,000 $128 69
2738 W Mosher St 0.47mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,765 (-4%) 1mo $37,000 $21 64
2522 Harlem Ave 0.28mi 4/2.0 1,608 (-12%) 3mo $114,000 $71 62
2732 Riggs Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,730 (-6%) 2mo $135,000 $78 60
2514 W Lafayette Ave 0.17mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,560 (-15%) 2mo $232,000 $149 59
1626 N Smallwood St 0.53mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,770 (-4%) 2mo $238,000 $134 56
900 N Franklintown Rd 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,764 (-4%) 3mo $80,000 $45 50
3011 W Lanvale St 0.73mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,740 (-5%) 4mo $150,000 $86 49
1601 Ruxton Ave 0.49mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,568 (-15%) 1mo $90,000 $57 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.0%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-22,162
Equity at exit
$31,446
10-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$15,611
Equity at exit
$18,235

Cash invested: $59,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21216

Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
252
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,952 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,106
Tax from tax record
$258 /mo · $3,101/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$90

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,838
Max offer price $210,900
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $209 -5% $149 +0% $90 +5% $30 +10% $-30
Rent -10% $-65 -5% $13 +0% $90 +5% $167 +10% $244
Rate -1.0pp $196 -0.5pp $143 base $90 +0.5pp $35 +1.0pp $-21

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,725
Closing costs
$6,327
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
918 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1485 $1,750 $1.18 45d 1 0.01mi
2303 Calverton Heights Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1314 $2,250 $1.71 25d 1 0.10mi
2609 Lauretta Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1286 $1,675 $1.30 25d 1 0.47mi
2732 Riggs Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1730 $1,700 $0.98 0d 1 0.48mi
2744 W Mosher St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1412 $2,100 $1.49 25d 1 0.48mi
2636 Lauretta Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1232 $1,900 $1.54 45d 1 0.48mi
2728 Winchester St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1260 $1,800 $1.43 5d 1 0.50mi
1501 N Payson St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,550 $1.11 45d 1 0.50mi
2806 Riggs Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1412 $1,900 $1.35 5d 1 0.53mi
2012 W Saratoga St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,700 $1.31 25d 1 0.54mi
1613 Riggs Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1800 $1,800 $1.00 25d 1 0.57mi
2005 Penrose Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,600 $1.30 0d 1 0.60mi
1625 Edmondson Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 1500 $2,175 $1.45 6d 1 0.62mi
1625 Edmondson Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 1500 $1,895 $1.26 14d 1 0.62mi
1814 Penrose Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1624 $1,700 $1.05 19d 1 0.67mi
2800 Presstman St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1460 $1,799 $1.23 25d 1 0.67mi
1516 N Mount St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1830 $1,750 $0.96 16d 1 0.68mi
1616 N Fulton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1620 $1,695 $1.05 0d 1 0.68mi
1816 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,700 $1.26 12d 1 0.69mi
1816 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,700 $1.26 25d 1 0.69mi
2922 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1620 $1,900 $1.17 45d 1 0.69mi
39 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1844 $1,700 $0.92 5d 1 0.70mi
1509 Edmondson Ave #1 Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,275 $1.42 25d 1 0.70mi
1402 Poplar Grove St Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.5 1540 $800 $0.52 45d 1 0.71mi
2401 W North Ave Baltimore, MD 5.0 2.0 2037 $1,800 $0.88 6d 1 0.72mi
2405 W North Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 1826 $1,900 $1.04 6d 1 0.72mi
2232 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,875 $1.50 25d 1 0.76mi
1839 W Fayette St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1426 $1,675 $1.17 25d 1 0.78mi
715 N Rosedale St Baltimore, MD 5.0 3.0 1542 $2,550 $1.65 45d 1 0.78mi
1315 Presstman St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1700 $2,000 $1.18 45d 1 0.87mi
2204 Clifton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,450 $1.04 6d 1 0.89mi
3238 Westmont Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1280 $1,600 $1.25 45d 1 0.93mi
1530 N Rosedale St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1641 $1,795 $1.09 0d 1 0.93mi
2128 N Pulaski St Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 2166 $2,200 $1.02 45d 1 0.95mi
1513 N Ellamont St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,700 $1.00 25d 1 0.97mi
2614 Pennsylvania Ave Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 982 $1,141 $1.16 6d 4 0.99mi
519 Sanford Pl Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,650 $1.27 18d 1 1.02mi
2812 Clifton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1650 $1,850 $1.12 45d 1 1.04mi
1032 W Franklin St Baltimore, MD 4.0 4.5 1913 $2,650 $1.39 25d 1 1.06mi
2917 Clifton Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 4.0 1700 $2,150 $1.26 25d 1 1.07mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $210,900 Active 206 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,900 Active 203 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,900 Active 202 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,900 Active 201 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,900 Active 200 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $210,900 Active 198 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $214,900 Active 194 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $214,900 Active 193 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $214,900 Active 192 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $214,900 Active 189 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $214,900 Active 188 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $214,900 Active 187 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $214,900 Active 186 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $214,900 Active 185 DOM
  15. 2026-04-12
    price $214,900 461-char remark
    Show marketing remark (461 chars)

    This spacious end of group residence has been completely rehabbed from top to bottom, offering modern comfort and style throughout. Enjoy brand new kitchens, bathrooms, floors, energy efficient windows and a fully finished in-law apartment in the basement -- perfect for guests, extended family or a rental income potential. Located in an area experiencing a surge of renovations. This home is a smart investment as buyers are moving quickly before prices rise.

  16. 2026-03-26
    status Active 461-char remark
    Show marketing remark (461 chars)

    This spacious end of group residence has been completely rehabbed from top to bottom, offering modern comfort and style throughout. Enjoy brand new kitchens, bathrooms, floors, energy efficient windows and a fully finished in-law apartment in the basement -- perfect for guests, extended family or a rental income potential. Located in an area experiencing a surge of renovations. This home is a smart investment as buyers are moving quickly before prices rise.

  17. 2026-02-22
    status Pending 461-char remark
    Show marketing remark (461 chars)

    This spacious end of group residence has been completely rehabbed from top to bottom, offering modern comfort and style throughout. Enjoy brand new kitchens, bathrooms, floors, energy efficient windows and a fully finished in-law apartment in the basement -- perfect for guests, extended family or a rental income potential. Located in an area experiencing a surge of renovations. This home is a smart investment as buyers are moving quickly before prices rise.

  18. 2025-11-22
    price $219,900 461-char remark
    Show marketing remark (461 chars)

    This spacious end of group residence has been completely rehabbed from top to bottom, offering modern comfort and style throughout. Enjoy brand new kitchens, bathrooms, floors, energy efficient windows and a fully finished in-law apartment in the basement -- perfect for guests, extended family or a rental income potential. Located in an area experiencing a surge of renovations. This home is a smart investment as buyers are moving quickly before prices rise.

  19. 2025-10-26
    listed $224,900 Active 461-char remark
    Show marketing remark (461 chars)

    This spacious end of group residence has been completely rehabbed from top to bottom, offering modern comfort and style throughout. Enjoy brand new kitchens, bathrooms, floors, energy efficient windows and a fully finished in-law apartment in the basement -- perfect for guests, extended family or a rental income potential. Located in an area experiencing a surge of renovations. This home is a smart investment as buyers are moving quickly before prices rise.

  20. 2025-10-11
    historical
  21. 2025-09-10
    price $229,900
  22. 2025-08-14
    price $234,900
  23. 2025-07-21
    listed $240,000 Active
  24. 2025-07-11
    historical
  25. 2024-08-26
    soldstatus $87,000
  26. 2024-08-06
    soldstatus $87,000 Closed
  27. 2024-07-13
    historical Active Under Contract
  28. 2024-06-28
    price $100,000
  29. 2024-05-21
    listed $125,000 Active
  30. 1980-08-15
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,101 · $258/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,101 · $258/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,422
− Mortgage interest
−$11,814
− Property taxes
−$3,101
− Insurance
−$1,054
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,874
− Management
−$1,874
− Depreciation
−$6,135
Taxable loss
−$2,430
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$583
After-tax cash flow
$1,659/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
29,426
Household income
$42,031
Rent vs Own
49.8% rent · 50.2% own
Severe rent burden
2264.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% White 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.42%
Current HPI
164.3933
Rent YoY
▲ 6.10%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+616.3% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-12 Price Changed $214,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-26 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-22 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-22 Price Changed $219,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-26 Listed $224,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-11 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-10 Price Changed $229,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-14 Price Changed $234,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-21 Listed $240,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-11 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
  • 2024-08-06 Sold (MLS) $87,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-07-13 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-06-28 Price Changed $100,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-05-21 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1980-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,101 · +12.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…