8236 SW 48th Ln · Worthington Springs, FL 32054

$85,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,750 sqft · Manufactured · 1 Days on market

Built 1990 0.51 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.9/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.9/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

More photos coming soon. Opportunity awaits at 8236 NW 48th Lane in Lake Butler. Situated on a cleared 0.51-acre corner lot, this property features a 1990 double-wide mobile home offering approximately 1,750 square feet with a 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom layout. The mobile home has been completely gutted, providing a blank slate for renovation, redesign, or potential replacement. Electric and septic have been added, giving the next owner a head start on improving the property. With the lot already cleared and positioned on a corner, this property offers flexibility for buyers looking for a renovation project, investment opportunity, or future homesite. Located in Lake Butler, it provides space, u

Key facts

• Future homesite
• 0.51 acre lot
• Built 1990

Tags

• CLEARED 0.51-ACRE CORNER LOT
• COMPLETELY GUTTED MOBILE HOME
• ELECTRIC AND SEPTIC ADDED
• INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY
• FUTURE HOMESITE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#689 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
• Union (town): math 62% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #17 of 73 in FL (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 45 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $9k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Union County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.49% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.15%
• Cash-on-cash: 20.92%
• DSCR: 1.93
• GRM: 5.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $271,250
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
8274 SW 48th Ln	0.03mi	3/2.0	1,488 (-15%)	20mo	$105,000	$71	57
4829 NW 87th Ter	0.51mi	3/2.0	1,512 (-14%)	18mo	$234,900	$155	38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 39.9%
• Equity multiple: 4.06×
• Total profit: $72,737
• Equity at exit: $76,575

10-year hold

• IRR: 34.4%
• Equity multiple: 9.13×
• Total profit: $193,456
• Equity at exit: $165,136

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32054

• Home prices YoY: 16.6%
• Active inventory: 65
• Price-to-rent: 5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,269 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$446
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
• Insurance: −$35
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$266
• Net cashflow: $415

Break-even live

Break-even rent $744

Max offer price $85,000

Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $21,250
• Closing costs: $2,550
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-19
   remarks 699-char remark
2. 2026-06-19
   listed $85,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,225
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,761
• − Property taxes: −$1,275
• − Insurance: −$425
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,218
• − Management: −$1,218
• − Depreciation: −$2,473
• Taxable income: $3,855
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$925
• After-tax cash flow: $4,054/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Union
• NCES district ID: 1201890
• Math proficiency: 62% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $40,908
• Composite: 48.59/100
• National rank: #2111
• State rank: #17 of 73 in FL

Livability — Worthington Springs

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #689
• US rank: #14375

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 156
• Population (ZIP): 12,467

Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 14,613 people
• By 2030: 14,322 · -2.0%
• By 2040: 13,780 · -5.7%
• By 2050: 13,325 · -8.8%
• By 2075: 11,965 · -18.1%
• By 2100: 9,102 · -37.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Black 14% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Union

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+68.3) · D 15.6% · R 83.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -18.4pp toward R · 2008: -49.9pp · 2024: -68.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+68.3 2020: R+65.3 2016: R+62.4 2012: R+49.0 2008: R+49.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 33.99%
• Current HPI: 239.3346
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B