5824 La Paz Pl · Huber Ridge, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this warm and inviting split-level home located in the established Timber Estates subdivision of Blendon Township. Built in 1963, this residence offers a simple and functional layout featuring 4 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms across approximately 2,052 square feet of finished living space. The home sits on a generous lot with a classic masonry exterior and an attached garage. Situated within the Westerville City School District, this property provides the perfect balance of a quiet township setting with the convenience of living just minutes from the heart of Westerville.
Key facts
- Masonry exterior
- Split-level home
- 9,583 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Standard listing conditions
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Two-story
- Construction: Built in 1963
- Exterior features: Slab foundation; Lot about 0.22 acres; Located in the Timber Estates subdivision, Blendon township
Interior
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms and one half bathroom (2.5 total)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: No common walls; Living area approximately 2,052
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-291 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $239k (17.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (19.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $232k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#255 in OH, #4,049 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- Westerville City (suburban): math 54% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #276 of 656 in OH (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 174 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 8,139 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (5,940 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.30%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $334,495
- List price
- $289,900
- Delta
- -13.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3661 Paris Blvd | 0.20mi | 4/2.5 | 2,052 (0%) | 1mo | $299,900 | $146 | 90 |
| 3664 Bogota Dr | 0.39mi | 4/2.5 | 2,052 (0%) | 1mo | $281,633 | $137 | 81 |
| 3615 Dempsey Rd | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 2,145 (+4%) | 1mo | $400,000 | $186 | 76 |
| 5700 Bashaw Dr | 0.23mi | 4/2.5 | 1,863 (-9%) | 2mo | $350,000 | $188 | 73 |
| 4399 Scissortail Loop | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 | 2,048 (-0%) | 2mo | $395,000 | $193 | 65 |
| 581 Westbury Woods Ct | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,208 (+8%) | 4mo | $430,000 | $195 | 56 |
| 4187 Camellia Ct | 0.46mi | 4/3.0 | 1,859 (-9%) | 6mo | $340,000 | $183 | 56 |
| 4367 Scissortail Loop | 0.67mi | 4/2.5 | 1,903 (-7%) | 4mo | $385,000 | $202 | 54 |
| 3596 Manila Dr | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,756 (-14%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $151 | 49 |
| 971 Timberbank Dr | 0.55mi | 4/2.5 | 1,756 (-14%) | 4mo | $360,000 | $205 | 47 |
| 6099 Bitterroot Dr | 0.65mi | 4/2.5 | 1,752 (-15%) | 1mo | $380,000 | $217 | 44 |
| 3362 Reno Rd | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 | 1,750 (-15%) | 3mo | $360,000 | $206 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-72,184
- Equity at exit
- $43,225
- IRR
- -41.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.39×
- Total profit
- $-112,544
- Equity at exit
- $25,065
Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43081
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 174
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,321 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,520
- Tax from tax record
- −$484 /mo · $5,802/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$487
- Net cashflow
- $-291
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-127 | -5% $-209 | +0% $-291 | +5% $-373 | +10% $-455 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-474 | -5% $-382 | +0% $-291 | +5% $-199 | +10% $-107 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-145 | -0.5pp $-217 | base $-291 | +0.5pp $-366 | +1.0pp $-442 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,475
- Closing costs
- $8,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3978 Daffodil Dr Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1502 | $2,200 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5415 Turtle Sta Westerville, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1600 | $2,425 | $1.52 | 3d | 33 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $289,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $289,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $304,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $304,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $304,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $304,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $304,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $304,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $304,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $304,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $304,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $304,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $304,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $304,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-05$304,900 Active 585-char remark
-
2019-02-13soldstatus $324,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,802 · $484/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,802 · $484/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,857
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,239
- − Property taxes
- −$5,802
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,229
- − Management
- −$2,229
- − Depreciation
- −$8,433
- Taxable loss
- −$8,525
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,046
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,442/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Westerville City
- NCES district ID
- 3904504
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,017
- Composite
- 51.9/100
- National rank
- #1649
- State rank
- #276 of 656 in OH
Livability — Huber Ridge
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #255
- US rank
- #4049
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Huber Ridge, OH
- County
- Franklin County · 1,351,780 people
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,020
- Household income
- $92,422
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1746.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,456,139 people
- By 2030
- 1,556,890 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 1,757,349 · +20.7%
- By 2050
- 1,950,539 · +34.0%
- By 2075
- 2,376,171 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 2,636,796 · +81.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.4) · D 63.7% · R 35.3% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.7pp toward D · 2008: 20.7pp · 2024: 28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.4 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+21.7 2008: D+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -275.55%
- Current HPI
- 259.862
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.56%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-5.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $304,900 CBRMLS
- 2019-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $324,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2024): $5,802 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…