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1423 E Paris Ave
B- Composite 67.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

1423 E Paris Ave · Peoria, IL 61603
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,041 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1930 Est $130k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Super cute 2 bedroom ranch in a convenient location! This home boasts several updates including a kitchen and bathroom remodel, newer windows and flooring throughout, h20 heater(2021), retaining wall (2020), roof (2007). Basement has garage access w/ workbench area. Outdoor space provides a 14X14 outbuilding w/ electricity, a car port, and a large double lot w/ privacy fence. Second living space can easily be converted back into a third bedroom.

Key facts

  • Remodeled bathroom
  • Updates in kitchen
  • New flooring

Tags

REMODELED BATHROOMUPDATES IN KITCHENNEWER WINDOWSNEW FLOORINGRETAINING WALLWATER HEATER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 104 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $62k; list at $95k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $95,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.18%
Cash-on-cash
10.31%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$130,125
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1216 E Rouse Ave 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,044 (+0%) 1mo $164,000 $157 70
3718 N Ashton Ave 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,154 (+11%) 8mo $145,000 $126 66
1118 E London Ave 0.27mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,116 (+7%) 2mo $139,900 $125 65
4212 N Prospect Rd 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 979 (-6%) 3mo $100,500 $103 60
624 E Paris Ave 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,074 (+3%) 2mo $67,000 $62 57
718 E London Ave 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,103 (+6%) 1mo $67,000 $61 56
1317 E Elmhurst Ave 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 918 (-12%) 2mo $44,000 $48 56
904 E Forrest Hill Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 994 (-4%) 7mo $89,900 $90 48
1404 E Moneta Ave 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 952 (-8%) 6mo $135,000 $142 45
705 E Cox Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 897 (-14%) 2mo $125,000 $139 42
709 E Cox Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 888 (-15%) 2mo $75,000 $84 41
903 E Lake Ave 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,161 (+12%) 6mo $175,000 $151 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.49% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.2%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-233
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
10.0%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$21,026
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61603

Home prices YoY
-31.8%
Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
104
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,147 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$140 /mo · $1,676/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$241
Net cashflow
$229

Break-even live

Break-even rent $858
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $282 -5% $256 +0% $229 +5% $202 +10% $175
Rent -10% $138 -5% $183 +0% $229 +5% $274 +10% $319
Rate -1.0pp $276 -0.5pp $253 base $229 +0.5pp $204 +1.0pp $179

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3912 N Atlantic Ave Peoria Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 825 $1,100 $1.33 45d 1 0.36mi
813 E Sciota Ave Peoria Heights, IL 2.0 2.0 800 $1,400 $1.75 14d 1 0.78mi
905 E Marietta Ave Unit A Peoria Heights, IL 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 14d 1 0.87mi
737 E Gift Ave Unit 737 Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,125 $1.41 45d 1 1.03mi
526 Fairholm Ave Peoria, IL 3.0 2.0 1174 $925 $0.79 45d 1 1.11mi
228 E Oak Cliff Ct Unit A2 Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 14d 1 1.14mi
126 E Lake Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,050 $1.11 14d 9 1.19mi
505 E Virginia Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 2.0 1204 $758 $0.63 14d 1 1.22mi
2121 N Prospect Rd Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 946 $802 $0.85 14d 1 1.26mi
4914 N Best St Peoria Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 45d 1 1.32mi
2302 NE Monroe St Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $875 $0.80 14d 1 1.39mi
308 E Archer Ave Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 1444 $950 $0.66 14d 1 1.42mi
5106 N Glen Elm Dr Peoria Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 1008 $2,400 $2.38 14d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-05-12
    listed $95,000 Active
  3. 2021-05-12
    soldstatus $62,000 450-char remark
    Show marketing remark (450 chars)

    Super cute 2 bedroom ranch in a convenient location! This home boasts several updates including a kitchen and bathroom remodel, newer windows and flooring throughout, h20 heater(2021), retaining wall (2020), roof (2007). Basement has garage access w/ workbench area. Outdoor space provides a 14X14 outbuilding w/ electricity, a car port, and a large double lot w/ privacy fence. Second living space can easily be converted back into a third bedroom.

  4. 2021-05-12
    soldstatus $62,000
    Show marketing remark (450 chars)

    Super cute 2 bedroom ranch in a convenient location! This home boasts several updates including a kitchen and bathroom remodel, newer windows and flooring throughout, h20 heater(2021), retaining wall (2020), roof (2007). Basement has garage access w/ workbench area. Outdoor space provides a 14X14 outbuilding w/ electricity, a car port, and a large double lot w/ privacy fence. Second living space can easily be converted back into a third bedroom.

  5. 2021-03-07
    listed $59,900 450-char remark
    Show marketing remark (450 chars)

    Super cute 2 bedroom ranch in a convenient location! This home boasts several updates including a kitchen and bathroom remodel, newer windows and flooring throughout, h20 heater(2021), retaining wall (2020), roof (2007). Basement has garage access w/ workbench area. Outdoor space provides a 14X14 outbuilding w/ electricity, a car port, and a large double lot w/ privacy fence. Second living space can easily be converted back into a third bedroom.

  6. 2002-10-28
    soldstatus $51,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,676 · $140/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,916 · $160/mo
Expected delta
+$240/yr (+$20/mo · 14.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,763
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,676
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,101
− Management
−$1,101
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$1,325
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$318
After-tax cash flow
$2,426/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peoria SD 150
NCES district ID
1731230
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
14% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,951
Composite
10.92/100
National rank
#9751
State rank
#554 of 620 in IL

Livability — Peoria

Score
73/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#5096

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Peoria, IL
County
Peoria County · 120,495 people
City population
114,670
Metro
Peoria, IL
Population (ZIP)
15,356
Household income
$41,618
Rent vs Own
47.1% rent · 52.9% own
Severe rent burden
849.0

Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
183,007 people
By 2030
179,643 · -1.8%
By 2040
171,782 · -6.1%
By 2050
163,508 · -10.7%
By 2075
140,178 · -23.4%
By 2100
114,493 · -37.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 43% White 36% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Peoria

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.98%
Current HPI
141.5343
Rent YoY
▲ 3.49%
Metro
Peoria, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+84.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending FSBO.com
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $95,000 FSBO.com
  • 2021-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
  • 2021-05-12 Sold (MLS) $62,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-07 Listed $59,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $51,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,676 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…