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430 Closter Dock Rd Duplex
D+ Composite 47.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$998,000

430 Closter Dock Rd · Closter, NJ 07624
4 bd · 3.0 ba · — sqft · MultiFamily · 54 Days on market
Good condition 0.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Rare opportunity to own a lovely 2-family Victorian home in Closter. Well-maintained with a charming wrap-around porch, large, double-wide property, vinyl siding, ducted for central air (needs units), updated kitchens and baths. 1st floor rental is an open floor plan w/ 1-bedroom, Living Room, Kitchen w/ granite counter, woodburning Fireplace, Full Bath and washer/dryer in unit. 2nd/3rd Floor unit has 3 bedrooms, 2 Baths, Living Room * , Kitchen w/ granite counters, Full Bath and washer/dryer in unit. * Living Room and a Full Bath are on 3rd Floor w/ deck access. Ample Parking for both unitsAnd shared yard use. Can be converted back to a 1-family (with a zoning permit). Full, unfinished bas

Key facts

  • Double-wide property
  • Open floor plan
  • Updated baths

Tags

WRAP-AROUND PORCHDOUBLE-WIDE PROPERTYVINYL SIDINGUPDATED KITCHENSUPDATED BATHSOPEN FLOOR PLAN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount reported

Exterior

  • Parking: 4 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Other utilities — see remarks
  • Home design: Residential income property; Multi-family

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: 9 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×2bd/1.5ba + 1×3bd/1.5ba units multifamily listed at $998k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $147/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $910k (8.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $910k (8.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#179 in NJ, #4,797 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Northern Valley Regional High School District (suburban): math 58% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #30 of 472 in NJ (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 2% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Hillside Elementary School (math 68% / reading 70%, grade A-, #32 of 1,303 statewide, top 3%, 623 students, 1% FRL); Tenakill Middle School (math 60% / reading 65%, grade B+, #32 of 431 statewide, top 7%, 575 students, 2% FRL); Northern Valley Regional High School At Demarest (math 64% / reading 76%, grade B+, #29 of 399 statewide, top 7%, 978 students, 1% FRL) — zoned schools at 1% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,488 units permitted in Bergen County in 2024 (1,610 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $30k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bergen County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($968k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $910,300 (8.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.65%
Cash-on-cash
1.26%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.3%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-142,830
Equity at exit
$148,805
10-year hold
IRR
-5.5%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-99,670
Equity at exit
$86,289

Cash invested: $279,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 07624

Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
20.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$9,103 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$5,234
Tax est. 1.5%
$1,248 /mo · $14,970/yr
Insurance
$416
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,912
Net cashflow
$294

Break-even live

Break-even rent $8,730
Max offer price $998,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $984 -5% $639 +0% $294 +5% $-50 +10% $-395
Rent -10% $-425 -5% $-65 +0% $294 +5% $654 +10% $1,014
Rate -1.0pp $797 -0.5pp $548 base $294 +0.5pp $36 +1.0pp $-227

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 1.5 $4,089
1× unit 3 1.5 $5,014
Total (2 units) $9,103

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$249,500
Closing costs
$29,940
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16 Clarke St Closter, NJ 3.0 2.5 $5,500 6d 1 0.12mi
20 4th St Closter, NJ 4.0 3.0 $6,000 0d 1 0.22mi
472 High St Closter, NJ 5.0 4.5 $25,000 0d 1 0.27mi
19 Vivian Ln Closter, NJ 3.0 2.5 $5,000 14d 1 0.41mi
218 Closter Dock Rd #1 Closter, NJ 3.0 1.0 $2,700 5d 1 0.49mi
8 Halsey Ln Closter, NJ 3.0 3.0 $5,500 0d 1 0.55mi
71 Everett St Closter, NJ 3.0 1.0 $4,500 14d 1 0.63mi
352 Durie Ave Closter, NJ 4.0 2.0 $4,600 0d 1 0.66mi
352 Durie Ave Closter, NJ 4.0 2.0 $4,900 12d 1 0.66mi
242 Hardenburgh Ave Demarest, NJ 5.0 4.5 $20,000 0d 1 0.66mi
684 Closter Dock Rd Closter, NJ 4.0 2.5 $8,985 0d 1 0.68mi
33 Mattocks Pl Closter, NJ 3.0 2.0 $5,000 0d 1 0.74mi
57 Eckerson Ave Closter, NJ 4.0 2.5 $6,200 0d 1 0.80mi
289 Hardenburgh Ave Demarest, NJ 3.0 1.5 $4,800 26d 1 0.84mi
69 Storig Ave Closter, NJ 4.0 3.5 $8,500 12d 1 0.86mi
48 Stelfox St Demarest, NJ 5.0 3.5 $7,000 0d 1 0.90mi
373 Franklin St Haworth, NJ 3.0 3.0 $6,500 0d 1 0.94mi
85 Serpentine Rd Demarest, NJ 4.0 2.0 $5,300 6d 1 0.94mi
4 Lois Ave Demarest, NJ 4.0 2.5 $6,500 17d 1 0.95mi
24 Ruth Ln Demarest, NJ 3.0 2.5 $3,900 13d 1 0.97mi
23 Asmus Rd Closter, NJ 4.0 2.0 $5,950 0d 1 0.97mi
6 Rose Ct Closter, NJ 3.0 2.0 $5,800 0d 1 1.01mi
377 Ruckman Rd Closter, NJ 5.0 5.0 $11,000 26d 1 1.03mi
99 Knickerbocker Rd Demarest, NJ 3.0 2.0 $4,700 14d 1 1.07mi
12 Madison Ave Haworth, NJ 3.0 2.0 $5,300 0d 1 1.08mi
45 Lenox Ave Demarest, NJ 4.0 2.0 $8,000 0d 1 1.14mi
2 Eisenhower Rd Closter, NJ 3.0 2.5 $4,900 0d 1 1.16mi
8 Brook Way Demarest, NJ 4.0 2.0 $7,500 14d 1 1.18mi
43 Mountain View Rd Demarest, NJ 5.0 5.0 $11,000 20d 1 1.21mi
716 Holly Ct Unit 716 Norwood, NJ 5.0 4.5 $7,000 18d 1 1.22mi
59 Forest St Closter, NJ 5.0 2.5 $4,500 0d 1 1.24mi
11 Evans Rd Cresskill, NJ 4.0 2.5 $5,500 0d 1 1.29mi
24 Elmwood Ter Cresskill, NJ 3.0 1.0 $4,200 9d 1 1.35mi
20 Elmwood Ter Cresskill, NJ 5.0 2.0 $6,700 0d 1 1.36mi
408 Dogwood Ct Unit T075 Norwood, NJ 3.0 3.5 $4,950 0d 1 1.36mi
205 Beech Ct Norwood, NJ 3.0 3.5 $5,000 20d 1 1.43mi
59 Delmar Ave Cresskill, NJ 4.0 2.0 $5,500 0d 1 1.44mi
363 Valley Rd Haworth, NJ 3.0 3.0 $5,500 25d 1 1.44mi
32 Beechwood Rd Cresskill, NJ 4.0 2.0 $4,900 22d 1 1.47mi
3 Burton Pl Cresskill, NJ 3.0 2.0 $5,000 0d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $998,000 Active 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $998,000 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $998,000 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $998,000 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $998,000 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $998,000 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $998,000 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $998,000 Active 45 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $998,000 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $998,000 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $998,000 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $998,000 Active 38 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $998,000 Active 37 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $998,000 Active 36 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $998,000 Active 35 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $998,000 Active 34 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $998,000 Active 33 DOM
  18. 2026-04-28
    listed $998,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$109,236
− Mortgage interest
−$55,904
− Property taxes
−$14,970
− Insurance
−$4,990
− Repairs & maintenance
−$8,739
− Management
−$8,739
− Depreciation
−$29,033
Taxable loss
−$13,138
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,153
After-tax cash flow
$6,686/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

A well-maintained 2-family Victorian home with updated kitchens and baths, offering a good investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace central air units — Modern units improve comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace central air units — Modern units improve comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northern Valley Regional High School District
NCES district ID
3411760
Math proficiency
58% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$126,292
Composite
62.05/100
National rank
#717
State rank
#30 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Closter

Score
74/100
State rank
#179
US rank
#4797

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Closter, NJ
City population
8,544
Population (ZIP)
8,544

Population outlook (Bergen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,021,896 people
By 2030
1,063,119 · +4.0%
By 2040
1,146,566 · +12.2%
By 2050
1,229,132 · +20.3%
By 2075
1,429,694 · +39.9%
By 2100
1,547,614 · +51.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Asian 32% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Cuban 2% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
33% · South Korea, Canada, China
Languages at home
52% English-only · Korean 21% Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Bergen

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 47.3% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.5pp · 2024: 3.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+3.4 2020: D+16.4 2016: D+12.0 2012: D+10.8 2008: D+9.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -395.39%
Current HPI
322.9162
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $998,000 NJMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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