1062 Tifft St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Offering a solid footprint and original character throughout, this home presents a great opportunity for a thoughtful refresh. A welcoming foyer w/ hexagon tile flooring sets the tone as you enter, leading into bright, connected living spaces. Hardwood floors, natural trim and charming details carry throughout much of the main level. The living room features a brick fireplace w/ built-ins and flows into both the dining room and sunroom, creating a comfortable layout w/ good natural light. The kitchen offers generous space and cabinetry, providing a functional setup w/ room for future updates. Upstairs, hardwood floors continue through the bedrooms along w/ good closet space and vintage deta
Key facts
- Cazenovia park
- Brick fireplace
- Second-floor balcony
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $301 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (4.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $167k (4.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.6% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.37%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $235,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1062 Tifft St | 0.00mi | 4/1.5 | 1,800 (0%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $100 | 100 |
| 64 Alsace Ave | 0.22mi | 4/1.5 | 1,824 (+1%) | 1mo | $360,000 | $197 | 86 |
| 37 Bloomfield Ave | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 | 1,874 (+4%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $120 | 79 |
| 29 Allegany St | 0.33mi | 4/1.0 | 1,750 (-3%) | 2mo | $229,900 | $131 | 76 |
| 126 Lockwood Ave | 0.42mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 1,809 (+0%) | 1mo | $220,300 | $122 | 74 |
| 179 Columbus Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,664 (-8%) | 2mo | $272,026 | $163 | 73 |
| 81 Como Ave | 0.16mi | 4/1.0 | 2,014 (+12%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $50 | 68 |
| 70 Alsace Ave | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,968 (+9%) | 1mo | $341,000 | $173 | 66 |
| 22 Cazenovia St | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 1,690 (-6%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $169 | 66 |
| 53 Choate Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,599 (-11%) | 1mo | $198,000 | $124 | 64 |
| 55 Princeton Pl | 0.67mi | 5/1.0 (+1) | 1,617 (-10%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $118 | 43 |
| 850 Abbott Rd | 0.73mi | 4/1.0 | 1,584 (-12%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $174 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-1,124
- Equity at exit
- $26,078
- IRR
- 13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.23×
- Total profit
- $60,108
- Equity at exit
- $15,122
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14220
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.6%
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,674 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $381/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $301
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74 Woodside Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,510 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 89 Macamley St #2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,100 | $0.86 | 10d | 1 | 0.54mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-22status Pending
-
2026-04-13$174,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $381 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,668 · $139/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,287/yr (+$107/mo · 337.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,091
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$381
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,607
- − Management
- −$1,607
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable income
- $736
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$177
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,434/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,428
- Household income
- $70,963
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 602.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% Lithuanian 1% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -146.29%
- Current HPI
- 402.5053
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.62%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $174,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
-0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $381 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…