95 S 10th St #22 · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Appreciation +7.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$425,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A rare unit for sale in this financially stable pre-war cooperative. A well managed and maintained building. .The 1 bedroom 1 bath unit , is a blank canvas , so anyone can bring their design ideas and make it their own. Maintenance is very reasonable which includes heat, taxes and hot water. The unit has great ceiling height and an abundance of southern light exposure. The apartment is located on the 4th floor of a walk-up building. To immediately schedule a private tour, please email, text or call for a timely manner. Flip Tax is 15% of the net profit Flexible income: 1 person 137K 2 person 156K
Key facts
- Built 1958
- Listed 218 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $425k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $425k).
- Recommended offer: $374k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.7%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,262/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($123k/yr) (locally 2717% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $119k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 218 days — a 12% lower offer ($374k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 218 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.30%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.11% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $182,176
- Equity at exit
- $218,122
- IRR
- 27.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.72×
- Total profit
- $561,695
- Equity at exit
- $358,880
Cash invested: $119,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11249
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Rents YoY
- 8.7%
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,262 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,229
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$531 /mo · $6,375/yr
- Insurance
- −$177
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,105
- Net cashflow
- $1,220
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $106,250
- Closing costs
- $12,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Wharf Way Brooklyn, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $4,870 | $7.98 | 2d | 2 | 0.20mi |
| 482 Kent Ave Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $6,545 | $8.73 | 3d | 3 | 0.21mi |
| 478 Kent Ave Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $5,920 | $7.64 | 3d | 3 | 0.21mi |
| 275 S 5th St #1698 Brooklyn, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $4,860 | $10.80 | 24d | 2 | 0.39mi |
| 187 Kent Ave #1730 Brooklyn, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $5,750 | $11.50 | 6d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 250 Union Ave #2119 Brooklyn, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 590 | $3,500 | $5.93 | 24d | 2 | 0.77mi |
| 68 Gold St New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $3,610 | $5.16 | 24d | 2 | 0.96mi |
| 160 Front St Brooklyn, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 597 | $5,191 | $8.70 | 2d | 2 | 1.20mi |
| 180 Broome St #1521 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $7,970 | $9.38 | 2d | 2 | 1.28mi |
| 343 Gold St Brooklyn, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 903 | $5,053 | $5.59 | 4d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 196 Willoughby St Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 717 | $6,064 | $8.46 | 1d | 8 | 1.37mi |
| 125 Delancey St #1523 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $7,860 | $9.25 | 2d | 2 | 1.40mi |
| 171 Suffolk St #1265 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $6,950 | $10.69 | 8d | 2 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-01status Pending
-
2025-12-08price $425,000
-
2025-10-25price $450,000
-
2025-08-25$475,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $63,142
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,807
- − Property taxes
- −$6,375
- − Insurance
- −$2,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,051
- − Management
- −$5,051
- − Depreciation
- −$12,364
- Taxable income
- $8,369
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,009
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,629/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,728
- Household income
- $123,047
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2717.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 10% Black 9% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · German/W. Germanic 24% Spanish 12% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.11%
- Current HPI
- 531.7196
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.72%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
-10.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $425,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-25 Price Changed $450,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-25 Listed $475,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…