1040 Main St #162 · Dunedin, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.7/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Winner of the “Best of Dunedin” Award for the Sixth Consecutive Year! Fractional Ownership. Live in Golden Acres – This fully furnished 2 bedroom, 1 1/2 bathroom home is move-in ready. NO storm damage or flooding from either hurricane. Non flood zone! The open layout flows seamlessly into bright living spaces, while a spacious carport accommodates two vehicles. Golden Acres is a highly desirable, resident-owned 55+ community spanning nearly 24 acres in the heart of Dunedin. Perfectly located off Main Street, less than a mile from Downtown Dunedin, and just minutes to the Gulf beaches, shopping, and dining. This award-winning community features a heated pool, shuffleboard c
Key facts
- Non flood zone
- Open layout
- Spacious carport
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Storage/outbuilding on property; Total lot approximately 23.37 acres
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $218 (association approval required); Senior community; Pets not allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; 1-car carport
- Utilities: No water source on site; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected
- Home design: Residential mobile home (double wide); One level; Faces north
- Construction: Metal siding; Other roof
- Exterior features: Covered, enclosed patio/porch; Hurricane shutters; Paved lot/drive
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Kitchen/family room combo; Window treatments; Shutters
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry area in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $435 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 2.9% in Dunedin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#15 in FL, #411 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: San Jose Elementary School (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B, #608 of 2,144 statewide, top 29%, 331 students, 56% FRL); Dunedin Highland Middle School (math 53% / reading 52%, grade C+, #213 of 571 statewide, top 38%, 899 students, 53% FRL); Dunedin High School (math 36% / reading 45%, grade F, #294 of 667 statewide, top 44%, 1,203 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 482 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $130k implies a 446% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.33%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.69% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $6,158
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $39,140
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34698
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 482
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,911 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$121 /mo · $1,455/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$218
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$401
- Net cashflow
- $435
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $508 | -5% $471 | +0% $435 | +5% $398 | +10% $361 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $284 | -5% $359 | +0% $435 | +5% $510 | +10% $586 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $500 | -0.5pp $468 | base $435 | +0.5pp $401 | +1.0pp $367 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1196 Angle Rd Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,675 | $2.39 | 6d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 905 Patricia Ave Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,800 | $3.27 | 26d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 690 Regina Rd Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $2,195 | $2.95 | 6d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 612 Bass Ct Dunedin, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 698 | $2,040 | $2.92 | 0d | 6 | 0.44mi |
| 602 Skinner Blvd Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 448 | $2,750 | $6.14 | 26d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 580 Skinner Blvd Unit 4 Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,045 | $2.73 | 26d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 451 Skinner Blvd Unit A Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,500 | $2.00 | 9d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 416 Skinner Blvd Unit B Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,795 | $2.90 | 26d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1523 Bayshore Blvd Unit 3 Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $2,750 | $4.30 | 26d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1600 Pasadena Dr Unit B Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $1,450 | $3.62 | 26d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1600 Pasadena Dr Unit A Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 385 | $1,250 | $3.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1602 Amberlea Dr S Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $2,400 | $3.31 | 0d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 660 Beltrees St Dunedin, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 905 | $1,385 | $1.53 | 9d | 2 | 1.09mi |
| 607 Lyndhurst St Unit 607 Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 677 | $2,250 | $3.32 | 26d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 616 Dogwood Ct Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 551 | $1,700 | $3.09 | 6d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 612 Dogwood Ct Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,295 | $2.35 | 0d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1515 County Road 1 Dunedin, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 719 | $1,750 | $2.43 | 9d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 609 Dogwood Ct Unit 609 Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,850 | $2.55 | 26d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 885 Beltrees St #12 Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,350 | $2.45 | 26d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 885 Beltrees St #7 Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,300 | $2.36 | 0d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 600 Douglas Ave Unit 340 Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,695 | $3.08 | 26d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 417 Milwaukee Ave Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,795 | $2.76 | 0d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 639 Michigan Blvd Unit 1800 Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $1,200 | $1.95 | 26d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2701 Dunedin Commons Pl Dunedin, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 932 | $3,250 | $3.49 | 0d | 13 | 1.22mi |
| 632 Edgewater Dr #537 Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $2,300 | $3.31 | 26d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 257 Milwaukee Ave Dunedin, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 889 | $1,460 | $1.64 | 0d | 8 | 1.28mi |
| 405 Locklie St Unit 4055A Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,695 | $2.26 | 6d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 152 Macalpine Way Dunedin, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 943 | $2,084 | $2.21 | 0d | 41 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $218 · $2,616/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $130,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $130,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-04-22$130,000 Active
-
1999-05-01soldstatus $23,800
-
1992-07-08soldstatus $23,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,455 · $121/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,455 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,933
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,455
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,835
- − Management
- −$1,835
- − HOA
- −$2,616
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $3,479
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$835
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,380/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Dunedin
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #411
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dunedin, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 38,171
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,171
- Household income
- $74,078
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1390.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -515.66%
- Current HPI
- 387.4694
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.69%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+446.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $130,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,800 Public Records
- 1992-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $23,800 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,455 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…