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243 Palmer Ave
B Composite 72.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

243 Palmer Ave · Syracuse, NY 13207
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,387 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 141 Days on market
Built 1935 5,000 sqft lot $79/sqft · 9% below area Est $121k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Income-producing property with tenant in place. Currently leased through January 2027 with consistent monthly rent. Great opportunity for investors seeking immediate cash flow. Please do not disturb occupants.

Key facts

  • 5,000 sq ft lot
  • Built 1935
  • Listed 141 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $357 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Syracuse Latin School (math 31% / reading 62%, grade D-, #1,262 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 642 students, 42% FRL); Expeditionary Learning Middle School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #611 of 729 statewide, top 88%, 170 students, 76% FRL); Institute of Technology At Syracuse Central (math 87% / reading 92%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 581 students, 68% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 54% at this address vs 22% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Syracuse City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $62k; list at $110k implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
15.21%
Cash-on-cash
31.84%
DSCR
2.42
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$120,596
List price
$110,000
Delta
-8.79%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1606 W Colvin St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,344 (-3%) 3mo $57,000 $42 64
326 Coolidge Ave 0.11mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,578 (+14%) 5mo $107,000 $68 62
172 Parkway Dr 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,296 (-7%) 2mo $165,000 $127 62
101 Charmouth Dr 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,392 (+0%) 7mo $174,997 $126 58
113 White St 0.34mi 3/1.5 1,194 (-14%) 3mo $160,000 $134 57
119 Clyde Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,296 (-7%) 5mo $78,000 $60 54
118 Charmouth Dr 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,442 (+4%) 6mo $155,000 $107 54
122 Charmouth Dr 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,286 (-7%) 1mo $187,500 $146 53
309 W Kennedy St 0.49mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,196 (-14%) 2mo $101,000 $84 46
609 W Colvin St 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,236 (-11%) 2mo $100,000 $81 44
505 Stinard Ave 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,496 (+8%) 7mo $242,500 $162 43
204 Davis St 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,208 (-13%) 2mo $122,300 $101 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.3%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$5,176
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
14.0%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$34,879
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13207

Home prices YoY
-23.0%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,915 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $874/yr
Insurance
$46
Flood insurance flood zone
−$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$402
Net cashflow
$357

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,463
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $419 -5% $388 +0% $357 +5% $326 +10% $295
Rent -10% $206 -5% $281 +0% $357 +5% $433 +10% $508
Rate -1.0pp $412 -0.5pp $385 base $357 +0.5pp $328 +1.0pp $299

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
122 Putnam St Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1064 $2,050 $1.93 23d 1 0.40mi
318 Kellogg St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1523 $1,650 $1.08 45d 1 0.43mi
318 Kellogg St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1523 $1,675 $1.10 45d 1 0.43mi
409 Stolp Ave Syracuse, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0 849 $1,575 $1.86 15d 5 0.48mi
158 Parkway Dr Syracuse, NY 4.0 3.0 1029 $2,250 $2.19 23d 1 0.51mi
1110 Bellevue Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1449 $1,500 $1.04 45d 1 0.57mi
269 W Borden Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.5 1800 $650 $0.36 23d 1 0.68mi
1330 Midland Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.0 1870 $2,000 $1.07 23d 1 0.69mi
315 Grant Ave #17 Syracuse, NY 3.0 2.0 1477 $1,275 $0.86 15d 1 0.71mi
472 S Salina St Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 1022 $2,095 $2.05 15d 3 1.03mi
111 E Onondaga St Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1150 $3,000 $2.61 23d 5 1.04mi
1741 W Onondaga St Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 15d 3 1.15mi
213 Fletcher Ave Unit 2 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 15d 1 1.16mi
120 Walton St Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 825 $3,200 $3.88 45d 2 1.18mi
110 Walton St Unit 201 Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1051 $2,200 $2.09 45d 1 1.18mi
110 Walton St Unit 301 Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1051 $2,000 $1.90 23d 1 1.18mi
205 E Jefferson St Unit 2B Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.5 1100 $2,200 $2.00 23d 1 1.20mi
201 E Jefferson St Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 662 $1,626 $2.45 15d 9 1.20mi
317 S Clinton St Unit 3A Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1500 $2,100 $1.40 45d 1 1.20mi
317 S Clinton St Unit 4A Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.5 1500 $2,100 $1.40 15d 1 1.20mi
321 S Salina St Unit 201 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1446 $2,450 $1.69 45d 1 1.22mi
321 S Salina St Unit 501 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1446 $3,000 $2.07 45d 1 1.22mi
129 W Fayette St Unit 217 Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,550 $1.41 15d 1 1.23mi
319 S Salina St Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1860 $2,000 $1.08 23d 1 1.23mi
538 Erie Blvd W Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1110 $2,100 $1.89 23d 1 1.23mi
2331 Midland Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.5 1664 $2,300 $1.38 23d 1 1.27mi
121 Whittier Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.0 1400 $600 $0.43 45d 1 1.30mi
2859 S Salina St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 45d 1 1.30mi
324 W Water St Unit 106 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1436 $2,095 $1.46 23d 1 1.30mi
324 W Water St Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1007 $1,975 $1.96 15d 6 1.30mi
208 W Water St Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 962 $1,800 $1.87 45d 1 1.35mi
60 Presidential Plz Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 970 $1,315 $1.36 45d 1 1.36mi
349 Bryant Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.5 1500 $2,300 $1.53 15d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $110,000 Active 141 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 138 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 137 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 136 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 135 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $110,000 Active 133 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 132 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $110,000 Active 130 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 129 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 128 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 127 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $110,000 Active 124 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 122 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 121 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 120 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $110,000 Active 119 DOM
  17. 2026-01-27
    listed $110,000 Active 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    Income-producing property with tenant in place. Currently leased through January 2027 with consistent monthly rent. Great opportunity for investors seeking immediate cash flow. Please do not disturb occupants.

  18. 2025-12-06
    historical
  19. 2025-07-09
    price $110,000
  20. 2025-06-06
    listed $115,000 Active
  21. 2024-08-04
    historical
  22. 2024-07-30
    historical
  23. 2024-07-29
    historical
  24. 2024-04-28
    listed $119,900 Active
  25. 2023-07-27
    soldstatus $62,000
  26. 2023-07-25
    soldstatus $62,000 Closed Sale or Rented
  27. 2023-05-03
    status Pending Sale
  28. 2023-04-20
    historical Continue to Show- Under Contract
  29. 2023-03-31
    status Active
  30. 2023-03-24
    historical Continue to Show- Under Contract
  31. 2022-12-06
    listed $69,000 Active
  32. 2022-12-05
    historical
  33. 2022-06-24
    listed $75,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$874 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,366 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$493/yr (+$41/mo · 56.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,979
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$874
− Insurance
−$6,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,838
− Management
−$1,838
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$2,992
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$718
After-tax cash flow
$3,564/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
City population
152,627
Population (ZIP)
12,383

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Native American 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 13% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.17%
Current HPI
318.9257
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+46.7% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-27 Listed $110,000 CNYIS
  • 2025-12-06 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2025-07-09 Price Changed $110,000 CNYIS
  • 2025-06-06 Listed $115,000 CNYIS
  • 2024-08-04 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2024-07-30 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2024-07-29 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2024-04-28 Listed $119,900 CNYIS
  • 2023-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
  • 2023-07-25 Sold (MLS) $62,000 CNYIS
  • 2023-05-03 Pending CNYIS
  • 2023-04-20 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2023-03-31 Relisted CNYIS
  • 2023-03-24 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2022-12-06 Listed $69,000 CNYIS
  • 2022-12-05 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2022-06-24 Listed $75,000 CNYIS

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $874 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…