🏷️ Likely Rental
1544 Channing Way · Berkeley, CA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 82°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
1544 Channing Way is a 1931 Spanish Revival triplex on one of Berkeley's quietest bicycle boulevards, blocks from UC Berkeley. Three side-by-side two-level units at approximately 1,241 sq ft each, with 2-bedroom-plus-flex layouts, two baths, walk-in closets, balconies, and individual attached garages. Updated interiors feature quartz-style kitchens, hardwood floors, skylights, and fresh paint inside a distinctive period exterior with stepped parapet and terra cotta detailing. Fully separately metered —gas, electric, and water —with in-unit laundry in all three units. One delivered vacant, two leased at approximately $4,800/month combined. Move-in ready for an owner-occupier or f
Key facts
- Balconies
- Walk-in closets
- Updated interiors
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 3 parking spaces; Off-street parking; Garage facing front and side; Street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Individual electric meter; Individual gas meter; Separate meters for electric, gas, and water
- Home design: Residential income property (triplex); Built in 1931
- Construction: Stucco construction
- Exterior features: Front porch; Balcony/Patio; Front yard; Side yard; Level, paved lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Includes standard appliances (washer/dryer listed under laundry)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: Three units, each with 2 bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; No air conditioning
- Interior features: Washer and dryer in unit; Washer/dryer hookups; Gas water heater
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Washer/Dryer hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.15M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $366 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $122/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.03M (10.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.03M (10.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.0% in Berkeley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#74 in CA, #2,860 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Berkeley Unified (urban): math 61% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #175 of 1,400 in CA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 53 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $10,281/mo this rent would consume 112% of the median local household income ($110k/yr) (locally 1402% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $34k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.13M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.36%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,449,203
- List price
- $1,150,000
- Delta
- -20.65%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 Channing Way | 0.56mi | 6/— | 3,699 (0%) | 8mo | $1,150,000 | $311 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-181,903
- Equity at exit
- $171,469
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-202,918
- Equity at exit
- $99,431
Cash invested: $322,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Berkeley
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+78
ZIP-level market 94703
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 28.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $10,281 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,031
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,246 /mo · $14,955/yr
- Insurance
- −$479
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,159
- Net cashflow
- $366
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,017 | -5% $691 | +0% $366 | +5% $40 | +10% $-285 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-446 | -5% $-40 | +0% $366 | +5% $772 | +10% $1,178 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $945 | -0.5pp $658 | base $366 | +0.5pp $68 | +1.0pp $-235 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 2 | $10,281 |
| #1 | 2 | 2 | $3,427 |
| #2 | 2 | 2 | $3,427 |
| #3 | 2 | 2 | $3,427 |
| Total (3 units) | $10,281 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $287,500
- Closing costs
- $34,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $1,150,000 Pending 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,150,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,150,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,150,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,150,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,150,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13$1,150,000 Active 931-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $14,955 · $1,246/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $14,955 · $1,246/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥82°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $123,372
- − Mortgage interest
- −$64,418
- − Property taxes
- −$14,955
- − Insurance
- −$5,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$9,870
- − Management
- −$9,870
- − Depreciation
- −$33,455
- Taxable loss
- −$14,945
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,587
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,977/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berkeley Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0604740
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,202
- Composite
- 57.37/100
- National rank
- #2288
- State rank
- #175 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Berkeley
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #74
- US rank
- #2860
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Berkeley, CA
- County
- Alameda County · 1,614,355 people
- City population
- 121,632
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,934
- Household income
- $109,881
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1402.0
Population outlook (Alameda County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,928,884 people
- By 2030
- 2,069,146 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 2,338,405 · +21.2%
- By 2050
- 2,586,608 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 3,061,911 · +58.7%
- By 2100
- 3,234,133 · +67.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Asian 15% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 12% Black 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Scotch-Irish 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 4% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Alameda
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+53.6) · D 74.6% · R 21.0% · Other 4.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.9pp toward R · 2008: 59.5pp · 2024: 53.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+53.6 2020: D+62.5 2016: D+64.4 2012: D+59.8 2008: D+59.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1156.26%
- Current HPI
- 339.6539
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.14%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Pending — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-05-13 Listed $1,150,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $14,955 · +24.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…