8621 SW 18th Ct · Davie, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * * * * * Owner Financing available * * * * * * * JUST REDUCED $30,000 * * * * * * * Comes with everything - -Absolutely gorgeous true 3/2 double wide with carport - shed - screened in area - - - one of the largest homes available in Park City - -assoc. states it is HOPA verified - -lots of room for parking - -roof / 2017 - really nice and ready to move in - -
Key facts
- Shed
- Carport
- Screened in area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: Pine Island to 84 go east to 86 Ave then south to 18 Ct west to property
- HOA & community: Association with clubhouse, pool, and shuffleboard court; Monthly HOA fee of $129; Senior community; Pets allowed with breed restrictions
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; 2 carport spaces; Driveway; 2 covered spaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Mobile home; One story; Faces east; Resale condition
- Construction: Skirt: Other
- Exterior features: Screened porch; Porch; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Disposal; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in features; Entrance foyer; Walk-in closets; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups (utility features listed under appliances and utilities)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $586 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $177k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.4% in Davie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#68 in FL, #1,159 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities D-.
- Broward (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #46 of 73 in FL (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 398 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,111 units permitted in Broward County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Broward County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $195k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.89%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $272,048
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2325 SW 83rd Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (-3%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $170 | 70 |
| 8601 SW 22nd Ct | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-9%) | 22mo | $247,000 | $196 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $1,202
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $31,159
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33324
- Home prices YoY
- -33.5%
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 398
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,684 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$301 /mo · $3,614/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$129
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$564
- Net cashflow
- $586
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8709 SW 15th St Unit na Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 998 | $2,050 | $2.05 | 15d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1514 Whitehall Dr #206 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $2,500 | $1.81 | 7d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1518 Whitehall Dr #104 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $2,700 | $1.95 | 4d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 9138 SW 23rd St Unit B Davie, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1488 | $3,500 | $2.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1705 Whitehall Dr #304 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $2,599 | $1.88 | 10d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1705 Whitehall Dr Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $2,450 | $1.77 | 20d | 2 | 0.38mi |
| 2060 SW 90th Ave Unit A18 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 3d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1774 SW 81st Ln Unit 1-31 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1630 | $2,950 | $1.81 | 5d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1774 SW 81st Ln Unit 1774 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1640 | $3,400 | $2.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1526 Whitehall Dr #402 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $2,350 | $1.70 | 18d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1502 Whitehall Dr #105 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $2,100 | $1.52 | 17d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2161 Orange Grove Dr Unit D9 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1628 | $2,750 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1244 S Pine Island Rd Plantation, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1057 | $3,024 | $2.86 | 2d | 36 | 0.49mi |
| 2075 SW 82nd Ave #2075 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $3,200 | $3.53 | 4d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 9470 Tangerine Pl #105 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,200 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 9470 Tangerine Pl #105 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,200 | $1.91 | 7d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 8210 Peters Rd Plantation, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1218 | $2,563 | $2.10 | 2d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 8210 Peters Rd Plantation, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $2,796 | $2.20 | 3d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 9420 Poinciana Pl #409 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,890 | $1.95 | 2d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 9235 Lagoon Pl #402 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,050 | $1.86 | 5d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 9235 Lagoon Pl #402 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,050 | $1.86 | 17d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 9230 Lagoon Pl #411 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,950 | $2.01 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 9230 Lagoon Pl #411 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,950 | $2.01 | 7d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 8210 SW 12th St Plantation, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1071 | $2,835 | $2.65 | 2d | 18 | 0.55mi |
| 9460 Tangerine Pl Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,000 | $2.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 9460 Tangerine Pl Davie, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 935 | $3,000 | $3.21 | 3d | 2 | 0.56mi |
| 9460 Tangerine Pl Davie, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 935 | $3,000 | $3.21 | 22d | 2 | 0.56mi |
| 9460 Tangerine Pl Davie, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 865 | $3,000 | $3.47 | 3d | 3 | 0.56mi |
| 9410 Poinciana Pl #206 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2152 SW 81st Way #2152 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $3,375 | $2.74 | 3d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 9440 Poinciana Pl Davie, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 985 | $2,220 | $2.25 | 24d | 2 | 0.59mi |
| 8018 SW 18th Ct Unit 2-8 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1630 | $2,700 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 8018 SW 18th Ct Unit 2-8 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1630 | $2,700 | $1.66 | 10d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 9480 Tangerine Pl #404 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,390 | $2.39 | 18d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 9440 Poinciana Pl #404 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,220 | $2.02 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 8020 SW 17th Pl Unit 3-5 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1630 | $2,600 | $1.60 | 7d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 9480 Poinciana Pl #407 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 9480 Poinciana Pl #407 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 9340 Lagoon Pl Davie, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 955 | $2,200 | $2.30 | 7d | 2 | 0.64mi |
| 35 Cortez Way Unit 1-43 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $2,200 | $1.93 | 7d | 1 | 0.65mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $129 · $1,548/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $195,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $195,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $195,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $195,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $195,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $195,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $195,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $195,000
-
2025-11-14$225,000 Active
-
2006-02-06soldstatus $65,000
-
1977-11-01soldstatus $35,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,614 · $301/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,614 · $301/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,207
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$3,614
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,577
- − Management
- −$2,577
- − HOA
- −$1,548
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable income
- $4,322
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,037
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,999/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Broward
- NCES district ID
- 1200180
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,139
- Composite
- 40.88/100
- National rank
- #3621
- State rank
- #46 of 73 in FL
Livability — Davie
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #68
- US rank
- #1159
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Davie, FL
- County
- Broward County · 1,963,430 people
- City population
- 92,317
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,151
- Household income
- $85,000
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2923.0
Population outlook (Broward County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,207,033 people
- By 2030
- 2,360,704 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 2,661,208 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 2,946,698 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 3,602,273 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 3,970,984 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 20% Black 16% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 4% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 3% Hispanic 3%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 26% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Broward
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.0) · D 58.0% · R 41.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.8pp toward R · 2008: 34.7pp · 2024: 17.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.0 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.16%
- Current HPI
- 317.8685
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.23%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+449.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $195,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-11-14 Listed $225,000 Beaches MLS
- 2006-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 1977-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,614 · +12.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…