None · Round Lake Beach, IL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$280,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1992
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Has garage
- Home design: Condo; Two-story building; Building contains two units
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full and one half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $42 ($502/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (10.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $250k (10.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#125 in IL, #2,172 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
- Grant Chsd 124 (suburban): math 23% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #296 of 620 in IL (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Olive C Martin School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #850 of 2,056 statewide, top 45%, 542 students, 0% FRL); Peter J Palombi School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #332 of 665 statewide, top 55%, 837 students, 0% FRL); Grant Community High School (math 23% / reading 27%, grade F, #247 of 693 statewide, top 36%, 1,837 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 97 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($99k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.64%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-42,997
- Equity at exit
- $41,749
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-35,195
- Equity at exit
- $24,209
Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60073
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,502 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$350 /mo · $4,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $42
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $235 | -5% $139 | +0% $42 | +5% $-55 | +10% $-152 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-156 | -5% $-57 | +0% $42 | +5% $141 | +10% $240 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $183 | -0.5pp $113 | base $42 | +0.5pp $-31 | +1.0pp $-105 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,000
- Closing costs
- $8,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67 W Rustic Ln Round Lake Beach, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1504 | $2,600 | $1.73 | 0d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 460 Meadow Hill Ln Round Lake Beach, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1276 | $2,300 | $1.80 | 0d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 422 Meadow Green Ln Round Lake Beach, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $1,800 | $1.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 389 Meadow Green Ln Unit 1 Round Lake Beach, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $1,800 | $1.88 | 0d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 544 Meadow Green Ln Round Lake Beach, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1160 | $2,100 | $1.81 | 0d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1521 N Lake Shore Dr Round Lake Beach, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,999 | $1.67 | 0d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 708 S Cedarwood Cir Round Lake Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 931 | $2,000 | $2.15 | 0d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 510 E Clarendon Dr Round Lake Beach, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1229 | $2,341 | $1.90 | 22d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 941 Deer Trl Round Lake Beach, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $2,975 | $1.61 | 16d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2315 Meadows Ln #2315 Round Lake Beach, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1704 | $2,600 | $1.53 | 20d | 1 | 1.30mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $280,000 Coming Soon 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $280,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $280,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $280,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $280,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13$280,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,028
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,684
- − Property taxes
- −$4,200
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,402
- − Management
- −$2,402
- − Depreciation
- −$8,145
- Taxable loss
- −$4,206
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,009
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,511/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grant Chsd 124
- NCES district ID
- 1717340
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,450
- Composite
- 22.95/100
- National rank
- #7989
- State rank
- #296 of 620 in IL
Livability — Round Lake Beach
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #125
- US rank
- #2172
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Round Lake Beach, IL
- County
- Lake County · 591,991 people
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,868
- Household income
- $98,514
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1225.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 700,217 people
- By 2030
- 693,290 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 673,588 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 643,556 · -8.1%
- By 2075
- 562,792 · -19.6%
- By 2100
- 457,715 · -34.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 45% White 40% Two or more races 20% Asian 7% Black 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 37% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 56% English-only · Spanish 35% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.8) · D 59.7% · R 38.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.1pp toward D · 2008: 19.6pp · 2024: 20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.8 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+20.3 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -140.95%
- Current HPI
- 229.1762
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.87%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…