17336 E Apricot Ln · Spring Valley, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move in ready 3 bed/2 bath home on a corner lot in Spring Valley. Bring all your toys as this property features a site built 2 car garage with 220 and lots of storage. It has an RV gate, RV hookups, 2 driveways, a carport, and a fully fenced backyard. The home features raised beamed ceilings and laminate wood flooring throughout. The open and split bedroom floorplan and large kitchen makes this home a must see. Bedrooms are good sized and the interior is freshly painted. See private remarks for financing options.
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Fenced back yard
- Split floor plan
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is approximately 0.19 acres; Corner, level lot with trees in a rural setting; Zoned R1-10; County-maintained paved road frontage; Subdivision: Spring Valley
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Total parking for 2 vehicles; RV parking available; Garage door opener
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Private water; Natural gas water heater; 220 volt electric service; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Conventional septic (WWT - Septic Conv)
- Home design: Residential manufactured home; Double wide; Single-story
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Piers foundation; Built as a double wide manufactured home
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Gravel driveway; Back yard fencing; Workshop (outbuilding)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced gas heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Beamed ceilings; Solid surface counters; Living/dining combo; Single-level living; Master suite on main level; Walk-in closet(s); Washer/dryer connection
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer/dryer connection
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-214 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (15.9% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $164k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#117 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Mayer Unified School District (4473) (rural): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #165 of 249 in AZ (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mayer Elementary School (math 26% / reading 32%, grade F, #570 of 1,109 statewide, top 52%, 373 students, 93% FRL); Mayer High School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #364 of 381 statewide, top 100%, 200 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools at 79% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.67%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $247,680
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17231 E Panorama Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,441 (+0%) | 7mo | $225,000 | $156 | 81 |
| 17202 E Bob White Rd | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,349 (-6%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $204 | 72 |
| 17272 E Apricot Ln | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,316 (-9%) | 13mo | $225,000 | $171 | 69 |
| 17442 E Bob White Rd | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,431 (-1%) | 24mo | $253,000 | $177 | 69 |
| 17527 E Trails End Rd | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,575 (+9%) | 8mo | $256,000 | $163 | 68 |
| 17240 E Lakeview Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,621 (+13%) | 24mo | $279,000 | $172 | 53 |
| 13602 S Bob White Ct | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,537 (+7%) | 16mo | $225,000 | $146 | 50 |
| 17217 E Fairway Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,233 (-14%) | 20mo | $260,000 | $211 | 49 |
| 14130 S Spring Ln | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (+12%) | 22mo | $279,900 | $173 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $92,869
- Equity at exit
- $175,671
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.22×
- Total profit
- $284,778
- Equity at exit
- $378,842
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 86333
- Home prices YoY
- 17.3%
- Active inventory
- 244
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,975 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$244 /mo · $2,925/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$415
- Net cashflow
- $-214
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-79 | -5% $-147 | +0% $-214 | +5% $-281 | +10% $-349 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-370 | -5% $-292 | +0% $-214 | +5% $-136 | +10% $-58 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-116 | -0.5pp $-164 | base $-214 | +0.5pp $-264 | +1.0pp $-316 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $195,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $195,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $195,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $195,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $195,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $195,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $195,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $195,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $195,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $195,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-01$195,000 Active
-
2023-05-04soldstatus $205,500 Closed 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
Move in ready 3 bed/2 bath home on a corner lot in Spring Valley. Bring all your toys as this property features a site built 2 car garage with 220 and lots of storage. It has an RV gate, RV hookups, 2 driveways, a carport, and a fully fenced backyard. The home features raised beamed ceilings and laminate wood flooring throughout. The open and split bedroom floorplan and large kitchen makes this home a must see. Bedrooms are good sized and the interior is freshly painted. See private remarks for financing options.
-
2023-05-04soldstatus $205,500
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
Move in ready 3 bed/2 bath home on a corner lot in Spring Valley. Bring all your toys as this property features a site built 2 car garage with 220 and lots of storage. It has an RV gate, RV hookups, 2 driveways, a carport, and a fully fenced backyard. The home features raised beamed ceilings and laminate wood flooring throughout. The open and split bedroom floorplan and large kitchen makes this home a must see. Bedrooms are good sized and the interior is freshly painted. See private remarks for financing options.
-
2023-04-28soldstatus $205,500 Closed 518-char remark
Show marketing remark (518 chars)
Move in ready 3 bed/2 bath home on a corner lot in Spring Valley. Bring all your toys as this property features a site built 2 car garage with 220 and lots of storage. It has an RV gate, RV hookups, 2 driveways, a carport, and a fully fenced backyard. The home features raised beamed ceilings and laminate wood flooring throughout. The open and split bedroom floorplan and large kitchen makes this home a must see. Bedrooms are good sized and the interior is freshly painted. See private remarks for financing options.
-
2023-03-29status Pending 518-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
Move in ready 3 bed/2 bath home on a corner lot in Spring Valley. Bring all your toys as this property features a site built 2 car garage with 220 and lots of storage. It has an RV gate, RV hookups, 2 driveways, a carport, and a fully fenced backyard. The home features raised beamed ceilings and laminate wood flooring throughout. The open and split bedroom floorplan and large kitchen makes this home a must see. Bedrooms are good sized and the interior is freshly painted. See private remarks for financing options.
-
2023-03-29historical Active with Contingency 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
Move in ready 3 bed/2 bath home on a corner lot in Spring Valley. Bring all your toys as this property features a site built 2 car garage with 220 and lots of storage. It has an RV gate, RV hookups, 2 driveways, a carport, and a fully fenced backyard. The home features raised beamed ceilings and laminate wood flooring throughout. The open and split bedroom floorplan and large kitchen makes this home a must see. Bedrooms are good sized and the interior is freshly painted. See private remarks for financing options.
-
2023-03-14$197,000 Active 518-char remark
Show marketing remark (518 chars)
Move in ready 3 bed/2 bath home on a corner lot in Spring Valley. Bring all your toys as this property features a site built 2 car garage with 220 and lots of storage. It has an RV gate, RV hookups, 2 driveways, a carport, and a fully fenced backyard. The home features raised beamed ceilings and laminate wood flooring throughout. The open and split bedroom floorplan and large kitchen makes this home a must see. Bedrooms are good sized and the interior is freshly painted. See private remarks for financing options.
-
2023-03-09$197,000 Active 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
Move in ready 3 bed/2 bath home on a corner lot in Spring Valley. Bring all your toys as this property features a site built 2 car garage with 220 and lots of storage. It has an RV gate, RV hookups, 2 driveways, a carport, and a fully fenced backyard. The home features raised beamed ceilings and laminate wood flooring throughout. The open and split bedroom floorplan and large kitchen makes this home a must see. Bedrooms are good sized and the interior is freshly painted. See private remarks for financing options.
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2023-01-29status Active
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2023-01-19historical Active with Contingency
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2023-01-10status Active
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2023-01-06historical Active with Contingency
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2022-12-29price $198,000
-
2022-11-15status Active
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2022-10-27status Pending
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2022-10-27historical
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2022-10-01status Active
-
2022-10-01price $210,000
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2022-08-03historical Active with Contingency
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2022-08-02status Active
-
2022-07-02status Pending
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2022-06-19status Active
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2022-06-14historical Active with Contingency
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2022-06-07$198,000 Active
-
2020-07-15soldstatus $125,000
-
2000-12-11soldstatus $10,000
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1990-06-08soldstatus $5,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,699
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$2,925
- − Insurance
- −$6,094
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,896
- − Management
- −$1,896
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable loss
- −$5,707
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,370
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,198/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mayer Unified School District (4473)
- NCES district ID
- 0404820
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,108
- Composite
- 20.22/100
- National rank
- #8627
- State rank
- #165 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Spring Valley
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #117
- US rank
- #15515
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spring Valley, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,425
Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 241,389 people
- By 2030
- 249,523 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 259,966 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 264,736 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 269,334 · +11.6%
- By 2100
- 256,505 · +6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Iranian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 55.51%
- Current HPI
- 376.0374
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
+3800.0% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $195,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $205,500 Public Records
- 2023-05-04 Sold (MLS) $205,500 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-28 Sold (MLS) $205,500 ARMLS
- 2023-03-29 Pending — ARMLS
- 2023-03-29 Contingent — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-14 Listed $197,000 ARMLS
- 2023-03-09 Listed $197,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-29 Relisted — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-19 Contingent — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-10 Relisted — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-06 Contingent — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-29 Price Changed $198,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-15 Relisted — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-27 Pending — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-27 Listing Removed — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-01 Relisted — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-01 Price Changed $210,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-03 Contingent — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-02 Relisted — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-02 Pending — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-19 Relisted — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-14 Contingent — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-07 Listed $198,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2000-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 1990-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $339 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…