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17336 E Apricot Ln
B- Composite 65.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$195,000

17336 E Apricot Ln · Spring Valley, AZ 86333
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured public records · 50 Days on market
Built 1983 8,276 sqft lot Est $248k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move in ready 3 bed/2 bath home on a corner lot in Spring Valley. Bring all your toys as this property features a site built 2 car garage with 220 and lots of storage. It has an RV gate, RV hookups, 2 driveways, a carport, and a fully fenced backyard. The home features raised beamed ceilings and laminate wood flooring throughout. The open and split bedroom floorplan and large kitchen makes this home a must see. Bedrooms are good sized and the interior is freshly painted. See private remarks for financing options.

Key facts

  • Covered deck
  • Fenced back yard
  • Split floor plan

Tags

CORNER LOTSPLIT FLOOR PLANVAULTED CEILINGSFENCED BACK YARDCOVERED DECK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is approximately 0.19 acres; Corner, level lot with trees in a rural setting; Zoned R1-10; County-maintained paved road frontage; Subdivision: Spring Valley
  • HOA & community: Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Total parking for 2 vehicles; RV parking available; Garage door opener
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Private water; Natural gas water heater; 220 volt electric service; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Conventional septic (WWT - Septic Conv)
  • Home design: Residential manufactured home; Double wide; Single-story
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Piers foundation; Built as a double wide manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Gravel driveway; Back yard fencing; Workshop (outbuilding)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced gas heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Beamed ceilings; Solid surface counters; Living/dining combo; Single-level living; Master suite on main level; Walk-in closet(s); Washer/dryer connection
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer/dryer connection

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-214 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (15.9% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#117 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mayer Unified School District (4473) (rural): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #165 of 249 in AZ (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mayer Elementary School (math 26% / reading 32%, grade F, #570 of 1,109 statewide, top 52%, 373 students, 93% FRL); Mayer High School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #364 of 381 statewide, top 100%, 200 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools at 79% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $164,044 (15.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.60%
Cash-on-cash
4.67%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$247,680
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17231 E Panorama Dr 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,441 (+0%) 7mo $225,000 $156 81
17202 E Bob White Rd 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,349 (-6%) 2mo $275,000 $204 72
17272 E Apricot Ln 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,316 (-9%) 13mo $225,000 $171 69
17442 E Bob White Rd 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,431 (-1%) 24mo $253,000 $177 69
17527 E Trails End Rd 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,575 (+9%) 8mo $256,000 $163 68
17240 E Lakeview Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,621 (+13%) 24mo $279,000 $172 53
13602 S Bob White Ct 0.44mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,537 (+7%) 16mo $225,000 $146 50
17217 E Fairway Dr 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,233 (-14%) 20mo $260,000 $211 49
14130 S Spring Ln 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,620 (+12%) 22mo $279,900 $173 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.0%
Equity multiple
2.70×
Total profit
$92,869
Equity at exit
$175,671
10-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
6.22×
Total profit
$284,778
Equity at exit
$378,842

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 86333

Home prices YoY
17.3%
Active inventory
244
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,975 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax est. 1.5%
$244 /mo · $2,925/yr
Insurance
$81
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$415
Net cashflow
$-214

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,246
Max offer price $164,044
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-79 -5% $-147 +0% $-214 +5% $-281 +10% $-349
Rent -10% $-370 -5% $-292 +0% $-214 +5% $-136 +10% $-58
Rate -1.0pp $-116 -0.5pp $-164 base $-214 +0.5pp $-264 +1.0pp $-316

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 43 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $195,000 Active 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $195,000 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $195,000 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $195,000 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $195,000 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $195,000 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $195,000 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $195,000 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $195,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $195,000 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $195,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $195,000 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $195,000 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $195,000 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $195,000 Active 29 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $195,000 Active 28 DOM
  17. 2026-05-01
    listed $195,000 Active
  18. 2023-05-04
    soldstatus $205,500 Closed 523-char remark
    Show marketing remark (523 chars)

    Move in ready 3 bed/2 bath home on a corner lot in Spring Valley. Bring all your toys as this property features a site built 2 car garage with 220 and lots of storage. It has an RV gate, RV hookups, 2 driveways, a carport, and a fully fenced backyard. The home features raised beamed ceilings and laminate wood flooring throughout. The open and split bedroom floorplan and large kitchen makes this home a must see. Bedrooms are good sized and the interior is freshly painted. See private remarks for financing options.

  19. 2023-05-04
    soldstatus $205,500
    Show marketing remark (523 chars)

    Move in ready 3 bed/2 bath home on a corner lot in Spring Valley. Bring all your toys as this property features a site built 2 car garage with 220 and lots of storage. It has an RV gate, RV hookups, 2 driveways, a carport, and a fully fenced backyard. The home features raised beamed ceilings and laminate wood flooring throughout. The open and split bedroom floorplan and large kitchen makes this home a must see. Bedrooms are good sized and the interior is freshly painted. See private remarks for financing options.

  20. 2023-04-28
    soldstatus $205,500 Closed 518-char remark
    Show marketing remark (518 chars)

    Move in ready 3 bed/2 bath home on a corner lot in Spring Valley. Bring all your toys as this property features a site built 2 car garage with 220 and lots of storage. It has an RV gate, RV hookups, 2 driveways, a carport, and a fully fenced backyard. The home features raised beamed ceilings and laminate wood flooring throughout. The open and split bedroom floorplan and large kitchen makes this home a must see. Bedrooms are good sized and the interior is freshly painted. See private remarks for financing options.

  21. 2023-03-29
    status Pending 518-char remark
    Show marketing remark (523 chars)

    Move in ready 3 bed/2 bath home on a corner lot in Spring Valley. Bring all your toys as this property features a site built 2 car garage with 220 and lots of storage. It has an RV gate, RV hookups, 2 driveways, a carport, and a fully fenced backyard. The home features raised beamed ceilings and laminate wood flooring throughout. The open and split bedroom floorplan and large kitchen makes this home a must see. Bedrooms are good sized and the interior is freshly painted. See private remarks for financing options.

  22. 2023-03-29
    historical Active with Contingency 523-char remark
    Show marketing remark (523 chars)

    Move in ready 3 bed/2 bath home on a corner lot in Spring Valley. Bring all your toys as this property features a site built 2 car garage with 220 and lots of storage. It has an RV gate, RV hookups, 2 driveways, a carport, and a fully fenced backyard. The home features raised beamed ceilings and laminate wood flooring throughout. The open and split bedroom floorplan and large kitchen makes this home a must see. Bedrooms are good sized and the interior is freshly painted. See private remarks for financing options.

  23. 2023-03-14
    listed $197,000 Active 518-char remark
    Show marketing remark (518 chars)

    Move in ready 3 bed/2 bath home on a corner lot in Spring Valley. Bring all your toys as this property features a site built 2 car garage with 220 and lots of storage. It has an RV gate, RV hookups, 2 driveways, a carport, and a fully fenced backyard. The home features raised beamed ceilings and laminate wood flooring throughout. The open and split bedroom floorplan and large kitchen makes this home a must see. Bedrooms are good sized and the interior is freshly painted. See private remarks for financing options.

  24. 2023-03-09
    listed $197,000 Active 523-char remark
    Show marketing remark (523 chars)

    Move in ready 3 bed/2 bath home on a corner lot in Spring Valley. Bring all your toys as this property features a site built 2 car garage with 220 and lots of storage. It has an RV gate, RV hookups, 2 driveways, a carport, and a fully fenced backyard. The home features raised beamed ceilings and laminate wood flooring throughout. The open and split bedroom floorplan and large kitchen makes this home a must see. Bedrooms are good sized and the interior is freshly painted. See private remarks for financing options.

  25. 2023-01-29
    status Active
  26. 2023-01-19
    historical Active with Contingency
  27. 2023-01-10
    status Active
  28. 2023-01-06
    historical Active with Contingency
  29. 2022-12-29
    price $198,000
  30. 2022-11-15
    status Active
  31. 2022-10-27
    status Pending
  32. 2022-10-27
    historical
  33. 2022-10-01
    status Active
  34. 2022-10-01
    price $210,000
  35. 2022-08-03
    historical Active with Contingency
  36. 2022-08-02
    status Active
  37. 2022-07-02
    status Pending
  38. 2022-06-19
    status Active
  39. 2022-06-14
    historical Active with Contingency
  40. 2022-06-07
    listed $198,000 Active
  41. 2020-07-15
    soldstatus $125,000
  42. 2000-12-11
    soldstatus $10,000
  43. 1990-06-08
    soldstatus $5,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,699
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$2,925
− Insurance
−$6,094
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,896
− Management
−$1,896
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable loss
−$5,707
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,370
After-tax cash flow
$-1,198/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mayer Unified School District (4473)
NCES district ID
0404820
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$35,108
Composite
20.22/100
National rank
#8627
State rank
#165 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Spring Valley

Score
63/100
State rank
#117
US rank
#15515

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Spring Valley, AZ
Population (ZIP)
6,425

Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
241,389 people
By 2030
249,523 · +3.4%
By 2040
259,966 · +7.7%
By 2050
264,736 · +9.7%
By 2075
269,334 · +11.6%
By 2100
256,505 · +6.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Iranian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
2008→2024 swing
-9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 55.51%
Current HPI
376.0374
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3800.0% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $195,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $205,500 Public Records
  • 2023-05-04 Sold (MLS) $205,500 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-28 Sold (MLS) $205,500 ARMLS
  • 2023-03-29 Pending ARMLS
  • 2023-03-29 Contingent PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-03-14 Listed $197,000 ARMLS
  • 2023-03-09 Listed $197,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-29 Relisted PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-19 Contingent PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-10 Relisted PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-06 Contingent PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-29 Price Changed $198,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-15 Relisted PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-27 Pending PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-27 Listing Removed PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-01 Relisted PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-01 Price Changed $210,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-03 Contingent PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-02 Relisted PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-02 Pending PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-19 Relisted PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-14 Contingent PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-07 Listed $198,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2000-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
  • 1990-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $339 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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