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3980 S 1950 W #31
B Composite 71.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,900

3980 S 1950 W #31 · Roy, UT 84067
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 975 sqft · Manufactured · 48 Days on market
Built 2022 Good condition 4,356 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Clean and well-maintained 2 bed, 2 bath home in a quiet Roy community. Functional layout with spacious living area and private primary suite. Conveniently located near parks, shopping, dining, Hill Air Force Base, and easy freeway access. Affordable, low-maintenance living-great opportunity!

Key facts

  • Near dining
  • Near shopping
  • Spacious living area

Tags

SPACIOUS LIVING AREAPRIVATE PRIMARY SUITENEAR PARKSNEAR SHOPPINGNEAR DININGEASY FREEWAY ACCESS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected ( culinary )
  • Home design: Mobile home; Built and currently standing
  • Construction: Asphalt construction materials; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Residential lot of about 0.1 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Fire alarm

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $543 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#32 in UT, #1,449 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: amenities F.
  • Weber District (suburban): math 36% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #56 of 80 in UT (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: North Park School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #419 of 585 statewide, top 72%, 467 students, 50% FRL); Sand Ridge Jr High (math 26% / reading 26%, grade F, #119 of 138 statewide, top 87%, 857 students, 40% FRL); Roy High (math 15% / reading 39%, grade F, #131 of 171 statewide, top 79%, 1,834 students, 28% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,630 units permitted in Weber County in 2024 (521 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Weber County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $82,353 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
13.97%
Cash-on-cash
27.43%
DSCR
2.22
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$16,675
Equity at exit
$12,659
10-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$42,965
Equity at exit
$7,341

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Utah
86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 84067

Rents YoY
-0.5%
Active inventory
203
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,430 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax est. 1.5%
$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$543

Break-even live

Break-even rent $743
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $602 -5% $573 +0% $543 +5% $514 +10% $485
Rent -10% $430 -5% $487 +0% $543 +5% $600 +10% $656
Rate -1.0pp $586 -0.5pp $565 base $543 +0.5pp $521 +1.0pp $499

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4449 S 1900 W Roy, UT 2.0 1.0 620 $999 $1.61 15d 3 0.59mi
4449 S 1900 W Unit 4 Roy, UT 2.0 1.0 900 $999 $1.11 24d 1 0.59mi
2405 Hinckley Dr Unit L203 West Haven, UT 2.0 2.0 988 $1,416 $1.43 24d 1 0.61mi
4499 S 1930 W Roy, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1106 $1,930 $1.75 15d 11 0.67mi
3560 Midland Dr West Haven, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 932 $1,437 $1.54 15d 22 0.81mi
2002 W 4700 S Apt 2 Roy, UT 2.0 1.0 837 $1,185 $1.42 24d 1 0.88mi
3330 S Midland Dr West Haven, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1000 $1,500 $1.50 15d 3 0.92mi
90 West Roy, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1075 $1,445 $1.34 15d 11 0.94mi
3405 S 2400 W West Haven, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 978 $1,525 $1.56 24d 5 0.94mi
2112 W 3300 S West Haven, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 975 $1,686 $1.73 15d 15 1.06mi
1775 W 4800 S Roy, UT 1.0–2.0 1.0 770 $1,250 $1.62 15d 4 1.13mi
1184 W 4400 S Riverdale, UT 2.0 1.0 864 $1,299 $1.50 15d 3 1.13mi
1551 W Riverdale Rd Unit J12 Ogden, UT 2.0 1.0 803 $1,450 $1.81 24d 1 1.48mi
5197 S 1900 W Unit A Roy, UT 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,900 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,900 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,900 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,900 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $84,900 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    pricedays on market $84,900 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $93,000 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $93,000 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $93,000 Active 37 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $93,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $93,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $93,000 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $93,000 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $93,000 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $93,000 Active 29 DOM
  16. 2026-05-01
    listed $93,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,165
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$1,274
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,373
− Management
−$1,373
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$5,495
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,319
After-tax cash flow
$5,201/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained and updated manufactured home in Roy, UT offers a good investment opportunity with minimal repairs needed.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace carpet in bedrooms — Fresh carpet improves comfort and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace carpet in bedrooms — Fresh carpet improves comfort and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Weber District
NCES district ID
4901200
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$65,750
Composite
32.28/100
National rank
#5757
State rank
#56 of 80 in UT

Livability — Roy

Score
81/100
State rank
#32
US rank
#1449

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A Cost of living B+ Crime A- Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Roy, UT
County
Weber County · 260,557 people
City population
38,794
Metro
Ogden-Clearfield, UT
Population (ZIP)
38,794
Household income
$91,115
Rent vs Own
16.0% rent · 84.0% own
Severe rent burden
216.0

Population outlook (Weber County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
274,329 people
By 2030
288,577 · +5.2%
By 2040
314,848 · +14.8%
By 2050
338,710 · +23.5%
By 2075
384,412 · +40.1%
By 2100
409,305 · +49.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 4% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Weber

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.5) · D 36.8% · R 60.3% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+4.1pp toward D · 2008: -27.6pp · 2024: -23.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.5 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+46.0 2008: R+27.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -284.84%
Current HPI
323.642
Rent YoY
▼ -0.45%
Metro
Ogden-Clearfield, UT
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.54%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $93,000 WFRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…