1022 Wood Creek Unit 5 Dr · Fayetteville, NC 28314

$77,950

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,086 sqft · Condo · 170 Days on market

Built 1988 $220/mo HOA · 19% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +25.1/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +8.2/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +3.3/5.0
• Schools +3.1/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

-NICE 2 BED 2 BATH CONDO WITH GREAT ROOM, COMMUNITY POOL, TENANT OCCUPIED, RENT IS $575.00

Key facts

• Open floor plan
• Newer flooring
• Renovated condo

Tags

• RENOVATED CONDO
• NEWER PAINT
• NEWER FLOORING
• NEWER APPLIANCES
• UPDATED BATHROOMS
• OPEN FLOOR PLAN

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $78k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
• Recommended offer: $69k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.9% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
• Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Westover Middle (math 20% / reading 30%, grade F, #396 of 475 statewide, top 84%, 784 students, 100% FRL); Westover High (math 42% / reading 39%, grade F, #387 of 535 statewide, top 73%, 1,202 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 55% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 429 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $538 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 12 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 8105% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
• Current owner paid $30k; list at $78k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $68,596 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.51% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.93%
• Cash-on-cash: 9.43%
• DSCR: 1.42
• GRM: 5.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.11% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -1.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.93×
• Total profit: $-1,428
• Equity at exit: $11,623

10-year hold

• IRR: 8.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.64×
• Total profit: $13,975
• Equity at exit: $6,740

Cash invested: $21,826 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State North Carolina: 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 28314

• Home prices YoY: -15.7%
• Rents YoY: 3.1%
• Active inventory: 429
• Price-to-rent: 5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,177 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$409
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$97 /mo · $1,169/yr
• Insurance: −$32
• HOA: −$220
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$247
• Net cashflow: $171

Break-even live

Break-even rent $960

Max offer price $77,950

Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,488
• Closing costs: $2,338
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1018 Wood Creek Dr #9 Fayetteville, NC	3.0	2.0	1101	$1,195	$1.09	23d	1	0.03mi
1000 Wood Creek Dr #9 Fayetteville, NC	2.0	2.0	1100	$1,175	$1.07	23d	1	0.03mi
1022 Brookhollow Dr #5 Fayetteville, NC	2.0	2.0	1086	$1,050	$0.97	23d	1	0.08mi
6792 Willowbrook Dr Fayetteville, NC	1.0	1.0	900	$795	$0.88	13d	1	0.09mi
6792 Willowbrook Dr #16 Fayetteville, NC	1.0	1.0	800	$795	$0.99	23d	1	0.09mi
6809 Willowbrook Dr Fayetteville, NC	2.0	2.0	1050	$990	$0.94	23d	1	0.10mi
6804 Willowbrook Dr Fayetteville, NC	1.0	1.0	800	$890	$1.11	23d	1	0.11mi
1014 Brookhollow Dr Fayetteville, NC	2.0	2.0	1050	$1,000	$0.95	13d	1	0.12mi
6748 Willowbrook Dr #9 Fayetteville, NC	2.0	2.0	1157	$1,100	$0.95	23d	1	0.12mi
942 Stewarts Creek Dr #9 Fayetteville, NC	3.0	2.0	1250	$1,250	$1.00	23d	1	0.14mi
942 Stewarts Creek Dr #8 Fayetteville, NC	2.0	2.0	1020	$1,055	$1.03	23d	1	0.14mi
1002 Brookhollow Dr #5 Fayetteville, NC	3.0	2.0	1311	$1,290	$0.98	21d	1	0.20mi
6720 Willowbrook Dr #5 Fayetteville, NC	2.0	2.0	1200	$1,150	$0.96	13d	1	0.20mi
1001 Brookhollow Dr #4 Fayetteville, NC	3.0	2.0	1311	$1,550	$1.18	23d	1	0.24mi
6855 Shawcross Ln Fayetteville, NC	3.0	2.0	1100	$1,495	$1.36	23d	1	0.30mi
6848 Torrance Ln Fayetteville, NC	3.0	2.5	1290	$3,295	$2.55	13d	1	0.32mi
244 Wickford Ct Unit 6 Fayetteville, NC	2.0	1.5	1141	$995	$0.87	23d	1	0.35mi
6734 Winchester St Fayetteville, NC	3.0	2.0	1068	$3,195	$2.99	13d	1	0.44mi
205 Brookford Ct Fayetteville, NC	3.0	2.0	1196	$1,640	$1.37	23d	1	0.49mi
916 Glen Reilly Dr Fayetteville, NC	3.0	2.0	1071	$1,400	$1.31	23d	1	0.49mi
605 S Reilly Rd Fayetteville, NC	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	992	$1,110	$1.12	13d	1	0.66mi
621 Marshtree Ln #305 Fayetteville, NC	2.0	2.0	1140	$1,500	$1.32	23d	1	0.71mi
625 Marshtree Ln Fayetteville, NC	2.0–3.0	2.0	1170	$1,200	$1.03	13d	2	0.75mi
6535 Jefferey Dr Fayetteville, NC	1.0	1.0	700	$905	$1.29	13d	3	0.80mi
6521 Cissna Dr Fayetteville, NC	3.0	2.0	1456	$1,375	$0.94	13d	1	0.82mi
6407 Wallaby Ct Fayetteville, NC	2.0	1.5	1100	$1,200	$1.09	13d	1	0.84mi
338 Milburn Dr Fayetteville, NC	3.0	1.5	1128	$1,550	$1.37	23d	1	0.84mi
6510 Cissna Dr Fayetteville, NC	3.0	1.5	1100	$1,095	$1.00	13d	1	0.86mi
6445 Independence Pl Dr Fayetteville, NC	1.0–3.0	1.0–3.0	1106	$1,529	$1.38	13d	18	0.87mi
111 Grande Oaks Dr Fayetteville, NC	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1205	$1,412	$1.17	13d	46	0.98mi
540 Auburndale Ln Fayetteville, NC	3.0	2.0	1100	$1,600	$1.45	13d	1	0.99mi
6793 Candlewood Dr Fayetteville, NC	3.0	2.0	1240	$1,475	$1.19	13d	1	1.00mi
7252 Ainsley St Fayetteville, NC	3.0	1.0	1265	$1,299	$1.03	23d	1	1.05mi
307 Family Lodge Dr Unit 5 Fayetteville, NC	2.0	2.5	1200	$1,100	$0.92	13d	1	1.08mi
278 Crabapple Cir #57 Fayetteville, NC	2.0	1.0	796	$990	$1.24	23d	1	1.11mi
567 Cutchen Ln Fayetteville, NC	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	975	$1,175	$1.20	13d	61	1.15mi
202 Bertram Pl Fayetteville, NC	3.0	2.0	1175	$1,300	$1.11	13d	1	1.18mi
7639 Fletcher Ave Fayetteville, NC	3.0	2.0	1300	$1,400	$1.08	23d	1	1.22mi
495 Stiles Pl Fayetteville, NC	3.0	2.0	1300	$1,250	$0.96	13d	1	1.23mi
7526 Bridgeman Dr Fayetteville, NC	3.0	2.0	1300	$1,450	$1.12	23d	1	1.28mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $220 · $2,640/yr
• Likely covers: pool
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 27 events

1. 2026-02-21
   historical $950
2. 2026-02-13
   status Pending
3. 2026-02-03
   price $77,950
4. 2026-02-02
   status Active
5. 2026-01-29
   listed $950
6. 2025-12-13
   price $78,850
7. 2025-11-10
   price $85,000
8. 2025-08-18
   price $89,900
9. 2025-07-25
   listed $95,000 Active
10. 2025-03-31
    historical $1,100
11. 2025-03-28
    listed $1,100
12. 2025-03-28
    historical $1,100
13. 2025-03-09
    listed $1,100
14. 2025-03-09
    historical $1,100
15. 2025-02-18
    listed $1,100
16. 2025-02-18
    historical $1,100
17. 2025-01-21
    listed $1,100
18. 2025-01-21
    historical $1,100
19. 2024-08-13
    listed $1,100
20. 2024-05-29
    historical $1,100
21. 2024-04-04
    listed $1,100
22. 2024-04-04
    historical $1,100
23. 2024-04-02
    listed $1,100
24. 2018-02-28
    soldstatus $30,000 90-char remark

    Show marketing remark (90 chars)

    -NICE 2 BED 2 BATH CONDO WITH GREAT ROOM, COMMUNITY POOL, TENANT OCCUPIED, RENT IS $575.00

25. 2018-01-07
    listed $35,000 90-char remark

    Show marketing remark (90 chars)

    -NICE 2 BED 2 BATH CONDO WITH GREAT ROOM, COMMUNITY POOL, TENANT OCCUPIED, RENT IS $575.00

26. 2014-09-15
    soldstatus $40,000 238-char remark

    Show marketing remark (238 chars)

    GREAT 2BR 2BA CONDO THATS HAS BEEN COMPLETELY REMODELED FRESH PAINT, RECENTLY INSTALLED CARPET, NEW CABINETS AND COUNTERTOPS, UPDATED FIXTURES THROUGH OUT, BRAND NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, FAUX WOOD BLINDS, THIS IS A MUST SEE CONDO!!

27. 2013-05-30
    listed $53,500 238-char remark

    Show marketing remark (238 chars)

    GREAT 2BR 2BA CONDO THATS HAS BEEN COMPLETELY REMODELED FRESH PAINT, RECENTLY INSTALLED CARPET, NEW CABINETS AND COUNTERTOPS, UPDATED FIXTURES THROUGH OUT, BRAND NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, FAUX WOOD BLINDS, THIS IS A MUST SEE CONDO!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,129
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,366
• − Property taxes: −$1,169
• − Insurance: −$390
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,130
• − Management: −$1,130
• − HOA: −$2,640
• − Depreciation: −$2,268
• Taxable income: $1,035
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$248
• After-tax cash flow: $1,809/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Cumberland County Schools
• NCES district ID: 3700011
• Math proficiency: 32% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $44,168
• Composite: 31.0/100
• National rank: #6096
• State rank: #126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Fayetteville

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #45
• US rank: #4031

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Fayetteville, NC
• County: Cumberland County · 265,314 people
• City population: 226,118
• Metro: Fayetteville, NC
• Population (ZIP): 55,834
• Household income: $62,249
• Rent vs Own: 52.6% rent · 47.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 2511.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 330,855 people
• By 2030: 333,523 · +0.8%
• By 2040: 335,583 · +1.4%
• By 2050: 335,325 · +1.4%
• By 2075: 342,853 · +3.6%
• By 2100: 340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 49% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 84% English-only · Spanish 10% Korean 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

• 2024 margin: D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -43.20%
• Current HPI: 231.873
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.11%
• Metro: Fayetteville, NC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	2	$213B
▸Retail	2	$95B
▸Industrial Conglomerate	1	$38B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$35B
▸Utilities	1	$30B
▸Industrial Machinery	1	$19B

Price history

+45.7% since first listed

27 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-21 Rental Removed $950 TMLS
• 2026-02-13 Pending — LPRMLS
• 2026-02-03 Price Changed $77,950 LPRMLS
• 2026-02-02 Relisted — LPRMLS
• 2026-01-29 Listed for Rent $950 TMLS
• 2025-12-13 Price Changed $78,850 LPRMLS
• 2025-11-10 Price Changed $85,000 LPRMLS
• 2025-08-18 Price Changed $89,900 LPRMLS
• 2025-07-25 Listed $95,000 LPRMLS
• 2025-03-31 Rental Removed $1,100 APPFOLIO
• 2025-03-28 Listed for Rent $1,100 APPFOLIO
• 2025-03-28 Rental Removed $1,100 TMLS
• 2025-03-09 Listed for Rent $1,100 TMLS
• 2025-03-09 Rental Removed $1,100 LPRMLS
• 2025-02-18 Listed for Rent $1,100 LPRMLS
• 2025-02-18 Rental Removed $1,100 TMLS
• 2025-01-21 Listed for Rent $1,100 TMLS
• 2025-01-21 Rental Removed $1,100 APPFOLIO
• 2024-08-13 Listed for Rent $1,100 APPFOLIO
• 2024-05-29 Rental Removed $1,100 TMLS
• 2024-04-04 Listed for Rent $1,100 TMLS
• 2024-04-04 Rental Removed $1,100 LPRMLS
• 2024-04-02 Listed for Rent $1,100 LPRMLS
• 2018-02-28 Sold (MLS) $30,000 LPRMLS
• 2018-01-07 Listed $35,000 LPRMLS
• 2014-09-15 Sold (MLS) $40,000 LPRMLS
• 2013-05-30 Listed $53,500 LPRMLS