🏗️ New Construction
MHE Barton II Plan · North Branch, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,399
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This stunning home with all the finishing touches already in place. The entire house is adorned with beautifully finished drywall, giving it a polished and sleek appearance. The highlight of the home is the chef's kitchen, complete with large cabinets and a gorgeous island. The ample storage space provided by the cabinets ensures that all of your kitchen essentials will have a place. The island not only adds a touch of elegance but also serves as a convenient spot for meal preparation or casual dining. The home also features a designated dining room area, providing a separate space for formal meals and gatherings. The primary bedroom boasts a spacious walk-in closet, perfect for organizing and storing your wardrobe. Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $95,399, 10.55 APR, $3999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,401, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.
Key facts
- Listed 931 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#393 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- North Branch Area Schools (rural): math 37% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #163 of 540 in MI (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 152 units permitted in Lapeer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $659 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lapeer County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 931 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 931 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.49%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $15,027
- Equity at exit
- $14,224
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $52,402
- Equity at exit
- $8,248
Cash invested: $26,712 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48461
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,440 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$500
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,431/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$302
- Net cashflow
- $478
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,850
- Closing costs
- $2,862
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6800 Lydia Blvd North Branch, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,440 | $0.99 | 1d | 2 | 0.04mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,399 Active 931 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $95,399 Active 930 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $95,399 Active 929 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $95,399 Active 928 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $95,399 Active 926 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $95,399 Active 925 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $95,399 Active 922 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $95,399 Active 921 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $95,399 Active 920 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $95,399 Active 917 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $95,399 Active 916 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $95,399 Active 915 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $95,399 Active 914 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $95,399 Active 913 DOM
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2025-05-08price $95,399 1332-char remark
Show marketing remark (1332 chars)
This stunning home with all the finishing touches already in place. The entire house is adorned with beautifully finished drywall, giving it a polished and sleek appearance. The highlight of the home is the chef's kitchen, complete with large cabinets and a gorgeous island. The ample storage space provided by the cabinets ensures that all of your kitchen essentials will have a place. The island not only adds a touch of elegance but also serves as a convenient spot for meal preparation or casual dining. The home also features a designated dining room area, providing a separate space for formal meals and gatherings. The primary bedroom boasts a spacious walk-in closet, perfect for organizing and storing your wardrobe. Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $95,399, 10.55 APR, $3999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,401, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.
-
2024-07-04price $95,699 1332-char remark
Show marketing remark (1332 chars)
This stunning home with all the finishing touches already in place. The entire house is adorned with beautifully finished drywall, giving it a polished and sleek appearance. The highlight of the home is the chef's kitchen, complete with large cabinets and a gorgeous island. The ample storage space provided by the cabinets ensures that all of your kitchen essentials will have a place. The island not only adds a touch of elegance but also serves as a convenient spot for meal preparation or casual dining. The home also features a designated dining room area, providing a separate space for formal meals and gatherings. The primary bedroom boasts a spacious walk-in closet, perfect for organizing and storing your wardrobe. Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $95,399, 10.55 APR, $3999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,401, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.
-
2024-05-15price $96,937 1332-char remark
Show marketing remark (1332 chars)
This stunning home with all the finishing touches already in place. The entire house is adorned with beautifully finished drywall, giving it a polished and sleek appearance. The highlight of the home is the chef's kitchen, complete with large cabinets and a gorgeous island. The ample storage space provided by the cabinets ensures that all of your kitchen essentials will have a place. The island not only adds a touch of elegance but also serves as a convenient spot for meal preparation or casual dining. The home also features a designated dining room area, providing a separate space for formal meals and gatherings. The primary bedroom boasts a spacious walk-in closet, perfect for organizing and storing your wardrobe. Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $95,399, 10.55 APR, $3999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,401, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.
-
2023-12-01$98,472 Active 1332-char remark
Show marketing remark (1332 chars)
This stunning home with all the finishing touches already in place. The entire house is adorned with beautifully finished drywall, giving it a polished and sleek appearance. The highlight of the home is the chef's kitchen, complete with large cabinets and a gorgeous island. The ample storage space provided by the cabinets ensures that all of your kitchen essentials will have a place. The island not only adds a touch of elegance but also serves as a convenient spot for meal preparation or casual dining. The home also features a designated dining room area, providing a separate space for formal meals and gatherings. The primary bedroom boasts a spacious walk-in closet, perfect for organizing and storing your wardrobe. Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $95,399, 10.55 APR, $3999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,401, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,280
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,344
- − Property taxes
- −$1,431
- − Insurance
- −$477
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,382
- − Management
- −$1,382
- − Depreciation
- −$2,775
- Taxable income
- $4,488
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,077
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,663/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a cosmetic rehab level and requires minor updates to enhance its curb appeal and functionality.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Neutral paint can be refreshed to enhance curb appeal
- Resale Replace blinds with modern window treatments — Modern window treatments can improve the home's curb appeal
- Resale Install modern light fixtures in kitchen and bathrooms — Modern light fixtures can enhance the home's curb appeal and functionality
- Rental Add a small rug in the kitchen — A small rug can add comfort and style to the kitchen
- Rental Add a small rug in the bathroom — A small rug can add comfort and style to the bathroom
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Neutral paint can be refreshed to enhance curb appeal ↑
- Resale Replace blinds with modern window treatments — Modern window treatments can improve the home's curb appeal ↑
- Resale Install modern light fixtures in kitchen and bathrooms — Modern light fixtures can enhance the home's curb appeal and functionality ↑
- Rental Add a small rug in the kitchen — A small rug can add comfort and style to the kitchen ↑
- Rental Add a small rug in the bathroom — A small rug can add comfort and style to the bathroom ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Branch Area Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2625680
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,914
- Composite
- 37.22/100
- National rank
- #4465
- State rank
- #163 of 540 in MI
Livability — North Branch
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #393
- US rank
- #10591
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Branch, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,256
Population outlook (Lapeer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 89,826 people
- By 2030
- 89,535 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 86,695 · -3.5%
- By 2050
- 80,566 · -10.3%
- By 2075
- 65,783 · -26.8%
- By 2100
- 46,584 · -48.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 7% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Lapeer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.8) · D 29.5% · R 69.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.0pp · 2024: -39.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.8 2020: R+36.3 2016: R+38.3 2012: R+11.5 2008: R+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.79%
- Current HPI
- 230.1752
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-3.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2025-05-08 Price Changed $95,399 Zillow
- 2024-07-04 Price Changed $95,699 Zillow
- 2024-05-15 Price Changed $96,937 Zillow
- 2023-12-01 Listed $98,472 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…