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MHE Barton II Plan 🏗️ New Construction
B Composite 71.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,399

MHE Barton II Plan · North Branch, MI 48461
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured · 931 Days on market
Good condition ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This stunning home with all the finishing touches already in place. The entire house is adorned with beautifully finished drywall, giving it a polished and sleek appearance. The highlight of the home is the chef's kitchen, complete with large cabinets and a gorgeous island. The ample storage space provided by the cabinets ensures that all of your kitchen essentials will have a place. The island not only adds a touch of elegance but also serves as a convenient spot for meal preparation or casual dining. The home also features a designated dining room area, providing a separate space for formal meals and gatherings. The primary bedroom boasts a spacious walk-in closet, perfect for organizing and storing your wardrobe. Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $95,399, 10.55 APR, $3999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,401, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.

Key facts

  • Listed 931 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#393 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • North Branch Area Schools (rural): math 37% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #163 of 540 in MI (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 152 units permitted in Lapeer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $659 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lapeer County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 931 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $83,951 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 931 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
12.31%
Cash-on-cash
21.49%
DSCR
1.96
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$15,027
Equity at exit
$14,224
10-year hold
IRR
22.9%
Equity multiple
2.96×
Total profit
$52,402
Equity at exit
$8,248

Cash invested: $26,712 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48461

Home prices YoY
-33.3%
Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,440 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$500
Tax est. 1.5%
$119 /mo · $1,431/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$302
Net cashflow
$478

Break-even live

Break-even rent $835
Max offer price $95,399
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,850
Closing costs
$2,862
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6800 Lydia Blvd North Branch, MI 3.0 2.0 1456 $1,440 $0.99 1d 2 0.04mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,399 Active 931 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,399 Active 930 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,399 Active 929 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,399 Active 928 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,399 Active 926 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,399 Active 925 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,399 Active 922 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,399 Active 921 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,399 Active 920 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $95,399 Active 917 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,399 Active 916 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,399 Active 915 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,399 Active 914 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,399 Active 913 DOM
  15. 2025-05-08
    price $95,399 1332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1332 chars)

    This stunning home with all the finishing touches already in place. The entire house is adorned with beautifully finished drywall, giving it a polished and sleek appearance. The highlight of the home is the chef's kitchen, complete with large cabinets and a gorgeous island. The ample storage space provided by the cabinets ensures that all of your kitchen essentials will have a place. The island not only adds a touch of elegance but also serves as a convenient spot for meal preparation or casual dining. The home also features a designated dining room area, providing a separate space for formal meals and gatherings. The primary bedroom boasts a spacious walk-in closet, perfect for organizing and storing your wardrobe. Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $95,399, 10.55 APR, $3999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,401, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.

  16. 2024-07-04
    price $95,699 1332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1332 chars)

    This stunning home with all the finishing touches already in place. The entire house is adorned with beautifully finished drywall, giving it a polished and sleek appearance. The highlight of the home is the chef's kitchen, complete with large cabinets and a gorgeous island. The ample storage space provided by the cabinets ensures that all of your kitchen essentials will have a place. The island not only adds a touch of elegance but also serves as a convenient spot for meal preparation or casual dining. The home also features a designated dining room area, providing a separate space for formal meals and gatherings. The primary bedroom boasts a spacious walk-in closet, perfect for organizing and storing your wardrobe. Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $95,399, 10.55 APR, $3999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,401, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.

  17. 2024-05-15
    price $96,937 1332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1332 chars)

    This stunning home with all the finishing touches already in place. The entire house is adorned with beautifully finished drywall, giving it a polished and sleek appearance. The highlight of the home is the chef's kitchen, complete with large cabinets and a gorgeous island. The ample storage space provided by the cabinets ensures that all of your kitchen essentials will have a place. The island not only adds a touch of elegance but also serves as a convenient spot for meal preparation or casual dining. The home also features a designated dining room area, providing a separate space for formal meals and gatherings. The primary bedroom boasts a spacious walk-in closet, perfect for organizing and storing your wardrobe. Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $95,399, 10.55 APR, $3999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,401, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.

  18. 2023-12-01
    listed $98,472 Active 1332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1332 chars)

    This stunning home with all the finishing touches already in place. The entire house is adorned with beautifully finished drywall, giving it a polished and sleek appearance. The highlight of the home is the chef's kitchen, complete with large cabinets and a gorgeous island. The ample storage space provided by the cabinets ensures that all of your kitchen essentials will have a place. The island not only adds a touch of elegance but also serves as a convenient spot for meal preparation or casual dining. The home also features a designated dining room area, providing a separate space for formal meals and gatherings. The primary bedroom boasts a spacious walk-in closet, perfect for organizing and storing your wardrobe. Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $95,399, 10.55 APR, $3999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,401, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,280
− Mortgage interest
−$5,344
− Property taxes
−$1,431
− Insurance
−$477
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,382
− Management
−$1,382
− Depreciation
−$2,775
Taxable income
$4,488
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,077
After-tax cash flow
$4,663/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a cosmetic rehab level and requires minor updates to enhance its curb appeal and functionality.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Neutral paint can be refreshed to enhance curb appeal
  • Resale Replace blinds with modern window treatments — Modern window treatments can improve the home's curb appeal
  • Resale Install modern light fixtures in kitchen and bathrooms — Modern light fixtures can enhance the home's curb appeal and functionality
  • Rental Add a small rug in the kitchen — A small rug can add comfort and style to the kitchen
  • Rental Add a small rug in the bathroom — A small rug can add comfort and style to the bathroom

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Neutral paint can be refreshed to enhance curb appeal
  • Resale Replace blinds with modern window treatments — Modern window treatments can improve the home's curb appeal
  • Resale Install modern light fixtures in kitchen and bathrooms — Modern light fixtures can enhance the home's curb appeal and functionality
  • Rental Add a small rug in the kitchen — A small rug can add comfort and style to the kitchen
  • Rental Add a small rug in the bathroom — A small rug can add comfort and style to the bathroom

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Branch Area Schools
NCES district ID
2625680
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$52,914
Composite
37.22/100
National rank
#4465
State rank
#163 of 540 in MI

Livability — North Branch

Score
67/100
State rank
#393
US rank
#10591

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Branch, MI
Population (ZIP)
8,256

Population outlook (Lapeer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
89,826 people
By 2030
89,535 · -0.3%
By 2040
86,695 · -3.5%
By 2050
80,566 · -10.3%
By 2075
65,783 · -26.8%
By 2100
46,584 · -48.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 7% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Lapeer

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.8) · D 29.5% · R 69.3% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-36.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.0pp · 2024: -39.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.8 2020: R+36.3 2016: R+38.3 2012: R+11.5 2008: R+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.79%
Current HPI
230.1752
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-05-08 Price Changed $95,399 Zillow
  • 2024-07-04 Price Changed $95,699 Zillow
  • 2024-05-15 Price Changed $96,937 Zillow
  • 2023-12-01 Listed $98,472 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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