CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2050 W St Route 89a -- #226
C Composite 57.62
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,000

2050 W St Route 89a -- #226 · Cottonwood, AZ 86326
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,792 sqft · Manufactured · 91 Days on market
Built 1994 Good condition Est $240k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 BEDROOM WELL MAINTAINED HOME ROOF 3 YEARS OLD AC HEAT 2 YEARS OLD HOT WATER HEATER 1 YR OLD 8X30 SCREEN PORCH NATURAL GAS FIREPLACE PAINTED 1 YEAR AGO LOT RENT IS $572.19 A MONTH INCLUDES TRASH SEWER AND AMENITIES

Key facts

  • Spacious lot
  • Large walk-in closet
  • Mature landscaping

Tags

GENEROUSLY SIZED KITCHENREAL WOOD-BURNING FIREPLACEINTEGRATED DESK CABINET UNITLARGE WALK-IN CLOSETSPACIOUS LOTMATURE LANDSCAPING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Building area source: Assessor
  • HOA & community: Land lease (monthly); Land lease fee applies; Association covers grounds maintenance, street maintenance, trash and water; Community pool; Community spa (heated); Pickleball courts

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured / mobile home; Attached property; Leasehold ownership; Asphalt road access
  • Construction: Wood siding and wood frame construction; Composition roof; Home warranty included
  • Exterior features: Screened-in patio(s); Partial fencing; Gravel/stone front and back yards; Private maintained road; Desert and mountain views

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen island; Laminate counters; Pantry; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Built-in electric oven; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: Up to 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: No interior steps; Vaulted ceilings; Kitchen island; Pantry; Full bath in primary bedroom; Separate shower and tub; Laminate counters; Skylight(s); Dual-pane windows with vinyl frames; Has fireplace; Carpet, laminate and tile flooring; Refrigerator, Dishwasher, Disposal, Built-in Electric Oven

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $219k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $331 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $219k).
  • Recommended offer: $199k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.8% in Cottonwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#7 in AZ, #2,176 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, commute A, cost of living A; Watch: employment D, amenities F.
  • Cottonwood-Oak Creek Elementary District (4487) (town): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #174 of 249 in AZ (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 266 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,335/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 894% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $88k; list at $219k implies a 149% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $199,290 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.11%
Cash-on-cash
6.48%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$240,128
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2050 W State Route 89-a -- #344 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,680 (-6%) 2mo $200,000 $119 88
2050 W State Route 89a -- #345 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,800 (+0%) 6mo $240,300 $134 86
2050 W State Route 89a -- #320 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,960 (+9%) 2mo $175,000 $89 82
2050 W State Route 89a -- #8 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,782 (-1%) 9mo $95,000 $53 79
2050 W SR 89-a -- #96 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,568 (-12%) 1mo $155,000 $99 78
1181 Sunrise Dr 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,739 (-3%) 8mo $345,000 $198 71
1024 Rankin Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,605 (-10%) 2mo $199,900 $125 63
1040 Calle Tomallo -- 0.58mi 3/3.0 1,716 (-4%) 0mo $324,000 $189 62
1216 Hogan Dr 0.38mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (-11%) 1mo $248,000 $155 59
880 W On The Greens Blvd 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,620 (-10%) 2mo $249,900 $154 58
700 W On The Greens Blvd 0.65mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,720 (-4%) 1mo $277,500 $161 57
2050 W State Route 89-a #149 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,560 (-13%) 12mo $169,000 $108 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.8%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-21,213
Equity at exit
$32,654
10-year hold
IRR
-5.1%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-17,626
Equity at exit
$18,935

Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 86326

Home prices YoY
-32.2%
Rents YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
266
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,335 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,148
Tax est. 1.5%
$274 /mo · $3,285/yr
Insurance
$91
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$490
Net cashflow
$331

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,916
Max offer price $219,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,750
Closing costs
$6,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
992 Sterling Ln Cottonwood, AZ 3.0 2.0 1652 $2,395 $1.45 21d 1 0.44mi
1910 W Trail Blazer Dr Cottonwood, AZ 2.0 2.0 1278 $2,900 $2.27 13d 1 1.05mi
1121 Old Jerome Hwy Clarkdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1981 $2,185 $1.10 21d 1 1.07mi
255 S Cottonwood Ranch Rd Cottonwood, AZ 3.0 2.0 1695 $2,195 $1.29 13d 1 1.12mi
844 Tiablanca Rd Clarkdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1333 $1,995 $1.50 13d 1 1.13mi
832 Eugene Rd Clarkdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1709 $2,700 $1.58 13d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $219,000 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $219,000 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $219,000 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $219,000 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $219,000 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $219,000 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $219,000 Active 83 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,000 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,000 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,000 Active 80 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $219,000 Active 77 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $219,000 Active 76 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $219,000 Active 75 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $219,000 Active 74 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,000 Active 73 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $219,000 Active 72 DOM
  17. 2026-03-19
    listed $219,000 Active
  18. 2020-03-12
    soldstatus $87,900 235-char remark
    Show marketing remark (235 chars)

    3 BEDROOM WELL MAINTAINED HOME ROOF 3 YEARS OLD AC HEAT 2 YEARS OLD HOT WATER HEATER 1 YR OLD 8X30 SCREEN PORCH NATURAL GAS FIREPLACE PAINTED 1 YEAR AGO LOT RENT IS $572.19 A MONTH INCLUDES TRASH SEWER AND AMENITIES

  19. 2019-04-23
    listed $94,900 235-char remark
    Show marketing remark (235 chars)

    3 BEDROOM WELL MAINTAINED HOME ROOF 3 YEARS OLD AC HEAT 2 YEARS OLD HOT WATER HEATER 1 YR OLD 8X30 SCREEN PORCH NATURAL GAS FIREPLACE PAINTED 1 YEAR AGO LOT RENT IS $572.19 A MONTH INCLUDES TRASH SEWER AND AMENITIES

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,017
− Mortgage interest
−$12,267
− Property taxes
−$3,285
− Insurance
−$1,095
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,241
− Management
−$2,241
− Depreciation
−$6,371
Taxable income
$516
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$124
After-tax cash flow
$3,848/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is ready for a fresh coat of paint and flooring updates to enhance its curb appeal and resale value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both update flooring — carpet is outdated and could be replaced with tile or hardwood
  • Both update kitchen appliances — modernize the kitchen and make it more appealing

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both update flooring — carpet is outdated and could be replaced with tile or hardwood
  • Both update kitchen appliances — modernize the kitchen and make it more appealing

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cottonwood-Oak Creek Elementary District (4487)
NCES district ID
0402370
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,740
Composite
19.16/100
National rank
#8822
State rank
#174 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Cottonwood

Score
79/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#2176

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A Cost of living A Crime B+ Employment D Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cottonwood, AZ
County
Yavapai County · 190,406 people
City population
24,852
Metro
Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
Population (ZIP)
24,852
Household income
$57,378
Rent vs Own
34.5% rent · 65.5% own
Severe rent burden
894.0

Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
241,389 people
By 2030
249,523 · +3.4%
By 2040
259,966 · +7.7%
By 2050
264,736 · +9.7%
By 2075
269,334 · +11.6%
By 2100
256,505 · +6.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 14% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
2008→2024 swing
-9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -165.27%
Current HPI
347.5058
Rent YoY
▼ -0.22%
Metro
Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+130.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $219,000 ARMLS
  • 2020-03-12 Sold (MLS) $87,900 ARMLS
  • 2019-04-23 Listed $94,900 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…