5040 Jackson St #59 · North Highlands, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 34 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 38 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.8/15.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully maintained and spacious 1,392 sq ft double-wide manufactured home located in a desirable 55+ North Highlands community. This 1976 Sunny home features thoughtful upgrades, abundant natural light, and a comfortable open layout that makes the home feel warm and inviting from the moment you walk in. Enjoy generous living spaces perfect for relaxing or entertaining, along with updates that add both charm and functionality. The well-designed floor plan provides plenty of room to live comfortably while offering great potential for buyers to make it their own. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, medical facilities, and major commuter routes, providing easy access
Key facts
- Parking
- Built 1976
- Listed 99 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 4.1% in North Highlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#523 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, crime F.
- Twin Rivers Unified (suburban): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #970 of 1,400 in CA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 108 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 52.99%
- DSCR
- 3.36
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $83,743
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- 1.50%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5040 Jackson St #60 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+3%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $52 | 86 |
| 5040 Jackson St #110 | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+3%) | 12mo | $81,500 | $57 | 80 |
| 5064 - 5477 S Valley Forge Ln #25 | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+1%) | 7mo | $88,900 | $64 | 74 |
| 5040 Jackson St #54 | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+9%) | 10mo | $75,000 | $50 | 72 |
| 5040 Jackson St #76 | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,584 (+14%) | 9mo | $85,000 | $54 | 68 |
| 4133 Potomac Ln | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,298 (-7%) | 10mo | $100,000 | $77 | 62 |
| 5040 Jackson St #149 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-10%) | 12mo | $88,000 | $71 | 62 |
| 5040 Jackson St #44 | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,536 (+10%) | 9mo | $74,000 | $48 | 62 |
| 4139 Minute Man Ln | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,283 (-8%) | 11mo | $92,000 | $72 | 62 |
| 4130 Annapolis Ln #159 | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,225 (-12%) | 9mo | $107,500 | $88 | 56 |
| 4963 Eleven Oaks Ln | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+10%) | 6mo | $140,000 | $91 | 56 |
| 4125 Potomac Ln #129 | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-14%) | 8mo | $58,000 | $48 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.69% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 54.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.48×
- Total profit
- $58,955
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 60.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.83×
- Total profit
- $162,647
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95660
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 108
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,074 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$436
- Net cashflow
- $1,051
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5123 Shell St North Highlands, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,950 | $2.14 | 2d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 3731 Scallop Ct North Highlands, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $2,150 | $2.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 4008 Tricia Way North Highlands, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 12d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 4020 Tricia Way Unit 4688001002 North Highlands, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,495 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 4930 Polk St North Highlands, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 938 | $1,795 | $1.91 | 2d | 3 | 0.43mi |
| 3609 Myrtle Ave North Highlands, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,795 | $1.99 | 2d | 2 | 0.55mi |
| 3517 Myrtle Ave North Highlands, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,750 | $1.94 | 3d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 5516 Palmdale Way Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $2,250 | $2.02 | 20d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 5625 San Vincente Way North Highlands, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $2,150 | $2.46 | 2d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4215 Palm Ave Sacramento, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,660 | $2.14 | 2d | 3 | 0.78mi |
| 5733 San Vincente Way North Highlands, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $2,195 | $2.37 | 2d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 5800 Hamilton St Sacramento, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 823 | $1,770 | $2.15 | 2d | 4 | 0.96mi |
| 5001 Date Ave Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $2,400 | $2.17 | 2d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4561 Ashcroft Ave Unit 52 Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 2d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4561 Ashcroft Ave Apt 49 Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,499 | $1.69 | 2d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 5614 Hillsdale Blvd Unit A Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 933 | $1,450 | $1.55 | 22d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5048 Date Ave Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,588 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5674 Hillsdale Blvd Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 933 | $1,600 | $1.71 | 2d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 6037 N Haven Dr North Highlands, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $2,150 | $2.43 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5728 Luce Ave McClellan Park, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1058 | $2,190 | $2.07 | 2d | 3 | 1.10mi |
| 5600 Walerga Rd #4 Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,700 | $1.84 | 2d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4716 Tulane Ct Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $2,450 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5415 College Oak Dr Sacramento, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,725 | $2.03 | 2d | 3 | 1.20mi |
| 4815 Mary Kate Dr Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 5443 College Oak Dr Sacramento, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 821 | $1,850 | $2.25 | 44d | 3 | 1.22mi |
| 4821 Mary Kate Dr Unit 4823 Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,675 | $1.60 | 2d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 5525 Missie Way Unit 8346003001/85 Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,985 | $1.99 | 2d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4815 College Oak Dr Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1000 | $1,662 | $1.66 | 8d | 2 | 1.29mi |
| 4440 Oakhollow Dr Sacramento, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $1,590 | $1.89 | 2d | 8 | 1.31mi |
| 4255 Winding Way Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,995 | $1.53 | 8d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 6209 Claussen Way North Highlands, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,550 | $1.59 | 15d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4758 Greenholme Dr Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,595 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5966 Walerga Rd #4 Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,550 | $1.68 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4901 Little Oak Ln Sacramento, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 915 | $1,832 | $2.00 | 2d | 7 | 1.38mi |
| Venuto Way North Highlands, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $2,095 | $2.31 | 11d | 2 | 1.38mi |
| 5012 Sunshine Ln Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,775 | $1.83 | 11d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5720 Brett Dr Sacramento, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1567 | $2,650 | $1.69 | 20d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 81 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 38 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,886
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,991
- − Management
- −$1,991
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $11,970
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,873
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,738/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Twin Rivers Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0601332
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,481
- Composite
- 30.67/100
- National rank
- #11437
- State rank
- #970 of 1400 in CA
Livability — North Highlands
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #523
- US rank
- #17613
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Highlands, CA
- County
- Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
- City population
- 56,900
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,451
- Household income
- $68,235
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1300.0
Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,660,763 people
- By 2030
- 1,732,990 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,855,755 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,941,335 · +16.9%
- By 2075
- 2,046,162 · +23.2%
- By 2100
- 1,961,444 · +18.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 16% Black 9% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Subsaharan African 5% Scotch-Irish 2% Scandinavian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 56% English-only · Spanish 25% Russian/Polish/Slavic 9% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -273.83%
- Current HPI
- 438.1022
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.69%
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…