585 Pippins Rd · Meridian, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1984
- Listed 121 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/0.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#141 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Lauderdale County School District (rural): math 37% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #39 of 130 in MS (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 18 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lauderdale County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.30%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,259
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $25,342
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39301
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,465 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $826/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $324
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2701 Willow Bend Dr Meridian, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 962 | $1,264 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $135,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $135,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $135,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-02-17$135,000 Active
-
2004-07-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $826 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,066 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$241/yr (+$20/mo · 29.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,580
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$826
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,406
- − Management
- −$1,406
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $1,777
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$426
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,465/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lauderdale County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802430
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,778
- Composite
- 33.25/100
- National rank
- #5517
- State rank
- #39 of 130 in MS
Livability — Meridian
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #141
- US rank
- #14839
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Meridian, MS
- County
- Lauderdale County · 42,445 people
- City population
- 42,445
- Metro
- Meridian, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,807
- Household income
- $41,766
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 566.0
Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 75,158 people
- By 2030
- 72,770 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 67,309 · -10.4%
- By 2050
- 61,797 · -17.8%
- By 2075
- 49,790 · -33.8%
- By 2100
- 39,797 · -47.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (56%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 40% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.2) · D 39.0% · R 60.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -21.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.2 2020: R+16.0 2016: R+23.0 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.11%
- Current HPI
- 116.4831
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Meridian, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-17 Listed $135,000 EMR
- 2004-07-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $826 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…